*Primary Election Results for Tuesday May 17*

Dave Wasserman explains why Madison Cawthorn has a small edge tonight:

[quote]Election rules matter: if NC’s primary runoff threshold were 50% or even 40%, #NC11 Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) would be the underdog for renomination. Because it’s just 30%, he enters tonight the slight favorite.

I’m sure Sitler’s “poor widdle me” act will play well among NC GQP primary voters.

Sen. Rand Paul wins Republican nomination in Kentucky.

And he will face Charles Booker, R3

The election was stolen from me! Incredible fraud!

North Carolina polls now closed.

First results from the Madison Cawthorn race!

Edwards (33.8% )

Cawthorn (33.6% )

Cawthorn pulling ahead of Edwards:

Cawthorn (33.2%)

Edwards (30.7% )

How terrible do you have to be if you can’t beat Cornhole in a primary?

R9, as Dave Wasserman said above, because the threshold is only 30%, it gives the edge to Cawthorn. Plus the anti-Cawthorn vote is divided between multiple candidates. If there was only one anti-Cawthorn candidate, he would probably be losing right now.

Harry Enten says Cawthorn trails by 11 points in the Early Vote, but he could win the Election Day vote tonight:

Whoops. I meant to say Nate Cohn.

[quote] Madison Cawthorn has a small edge tonight

Only if Cousin Stephen gets busy.

Chuck Edwards now pulling ahead of Madison Cawthorn:

Edwards (41.1%)

Cawthorn (28.8)

Budd defeats McCrory for Republican North Carolina Senate nomination.

Cawthorn now trailing by more than 10 points with 36% of the vote in.

Maddy, you in danger gurl!

[quote] In #NC11, Jasmine Beach-Ferrara (D) wins the Dem primary and will face either state Sen. Chuck Edwards (R) or Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) in the fall.

[quote] @CookPolitical November rating: Solid R.

Interesting that she got the nod. It might be interesting to see a race pitting a lesbian clergy against MadCaw.

Pennsylvania polls now closed.

Cancel culture is coming for HotWheelz.

Sorry Clay

Does Charles Booker stand a prayer of beating Rand Paul? Rand Paul is such a worthless piece of shit, he doesn't deserve a Senate seat for another 6 years.

Josh Shapiro, Dem PA Attorney General, (running unopposed), wins nomination for PA GOV.

Josh Shapiro is hot and has BDE.

Dave Wasserman says Edwards' lead over Cawthorn is going to tighten since the strongest Edwards areas are now in:

One one hand I agree with you, R23; Rand Paul is a mentally unstable traitor.

I'm just not looking forward to the the gloating from progressives when Booker wins and "we told you so" re-litigating the Booker/Amy McGrath primary (to face McTurtle)

McCormick leading Oz in the first results from PA.

Steve Kornacki said Cawthorne is going to need to "pound" Edwards.

Tee hee, R29! 😂

Fetterman for the win

Most of you here will be thrilled to learn that Brian Sims got crushed in his primary.

Nate Cohn explains why Madison still has some hope:

^ Time for Brian Sims to open that Only Fans account.

As I was saying at R27...

Kentucky is a corrupt shithole. They'll re-elect Rand Paul.

As Dave Wasserman and Nate Cohn predicted above, Cawthorn is starting to close the gap with Edwards now that the Election Day vote is coming in. Trump's late endorsement of Cawthorn as deserving a "second chance" may help him.

Was that expected (Budd) PollTroll? Was he way ahead in the polls?

R38, yes, in recent days Budd has been building momentum because of his Trump endorsement, so his win is not a big surprise.

We’re NEVER gonna get rid of tRump, are we……

R40 Doesn't look like it.

The PA ads were a horror show. Basically, it was "TRUMP LOVES ME MORE!!! VOTE FOR ME!!!" for every Republican candidate.

Dave Wasserman says the Edwards vs. Cawthorn race will continue to tighten, but that Edwards is a slight favorite to win:

I'm always hopeful he'll stroke out R40.

You rang, R40?

Well, we wonder why Republicans kiss Dump’s ass. We are seeing why playing out in these primaries. It’s like a large portion of them have fallen under the devil’s spell.

If it's what you say R44, I LOVE IT!!!

Edwards' lead over Cawthorn shrinks to less than 6 points with 55% now in.

Polltroll... I'm happy to see you! How've you been?

Hi, R48. 😊 I took a little break from following polls & politics for a few months, but I'm back now.

[quote]We’re NEVER gonna get rid of tRump, are we……

No. They had the opportunity to vanquish him and didn't. His endorsement still carries weight and gets people to the polls. It is one of the disappointing things about where we are right now as a country.

McCormick is leading in PA in the early returns because the vote so far is the Mail-in vote. His lead is likely to drop once the E-Day vote comes in for Oz.

64% of the vote now in, and Edwards' lead over Cawthorn drops to 4.6%

I hope tonight is the last we ever hear from Dr. Oz

Dave Wasserman:

Right now, Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) is winning 12/15 counties in #NC11. But state Sen. Chuck Edwards (R) is ahead in the three populous counties that make up his state senate district, and it just might be enough.

It's official: LT-GOV JOHN FETTERMAN wins DEM PA SENATE primary.

I think Pennsylvanians realized Barnette would be a disaster in the general election. And , much as they love Trump, they just never warmed to Oz. I wouldn't be surprised to see McCormick win. If there is a red wave in November, he'd be the least controversial.

71% of the vote now in, and Edwards' lead over Cawthorn shrinks to 3.6%

Agree r53

Welcome Back PollTroll! 😘

Thanks, R58. 😊

I like the think of the Poll Troll as sort of like the Great Pumpkin--he rises from the voting booth on Election Eve to interpret the results for us

Kasie Hunt looks like a fat Kristen Powers.

Wasserman says Edwards is still the narrow favorite:

As appealing as Jeff Jackson is/was as a candidate, I do think there is a sea change in perception about who is "electable". Being the boring white guy just isn't enough anymore (on either side).

Moreover, it's great to see Jackson actively and energetically campaigning for Beasley. He's still young so hopefully he'll get another shot soon.

What happens to Marys' little Lamb now?

Example number 4,372 that Politico is a horrible chaos agent.

Rightwing extremists win the GOP gubernatorial race in PA as the senatorial primary continues to be a shitshow and the darling psycho is going down in flames in NC...so they run with a Dems In Disarray story:

"The PA ads were a horror show. Basically, it was "TRUMP LOVES ME MORE!!! VOTE FOR ME!!!" for every Republican candidate."

Same for Ohio. The Repug candidates all said they were thisclose to Turd.

Dave Wasserman says CHUCK EDWARDS has *DEFEATED* MADISON CAWTHORN.

Maddy now joins Clay Aiken...

Pat "no tranny toilets" McCrory is losing bigly in NC. Maybe he can run for school board or something next; politics is addictive.

NFW! Ha ha ha. Fox will sign him tomorrow.

There is a "The Official Madison Cawthorn Primary Election Results Thread" and it has more replies than this thread. Go figure.

Yup, R71. I've been posting results to that one, too. 😉

McCrory is less conservative than the winner Budd who got Trump’s support. So NC is a win for Trump. Also Budd is favored over his Dem opponent.

Any word on Oz/McCormick?

R74, Oz is still trailing McCormick, but it's close. Oz is only 1.4% behind with 43% of the vote in.

Turn on your TV R74.

Thanks PT! It won't he easy for Fetterman if it's McCormick.

[quote] Perhaps the best electoral news for John Fetterman (D) tonight: the live possibility Dave McCormick (R) & Mehmet Oz (R) could end up in recount territory.

This might be a dumb question but why is that good r78?

Brain Simms lost? That stinks. He was a good one.

Because REPUBLICANS IN DISARRAY!, r79

A close result, bitter recount and the loser’s voters don’t show up in November. Hopefully.

CNN says Cawthorn has conceded.

Unbelievable but unsurprising that BrokenBack Mountain's thisclose to keeping his seat.

R80, Sims was a pretty face but a shitty politician.

If Oz doesn't win with Trump's enthusiastic support, that should be tomorrow's big story.

[quote]A close result, bitter recount and the loser’s voters don’t show up in November. Hopefully.

Doubtful. All the Republicans ran on "I'm the trumpiest trumper who ever trumped". And it's hardly like a Kemp/Walker situation in PA.

With 99% of precincts in, McCormick is leading Oz by approximately 3,800 votes.

Dr Oz has a slight lead now

R89 Yes, very slim. PA doesn't start counting mailed ballots until tomorrow.

The Trump-endorsed gubernatorial candidate in Idaho lost.

[quote]Yes, very slim. PA doesn't start counting mailed ballots until tomorrow.

That's not correct. For these primaries it's up to the individual counties as to when to count the mail in ballots. Most started on primary day at 7 am with only a few counties, Mercer being the most notable, starting their count the day after the primary. Mist of the mail in totals are already reflected.

[quote] So the Republican #PASen R primary will likely be decided by the late mail votes that all the Republican candidates say should not have been counted in 2020 and were the illegal votes Biden used to steal Pa.

[quote] Got it.

With 94% of the vote in for PA, Dr. Oz leads by 2,564 votes

Oz (31.3% ) 411,872

McCormick (31.1%) 409,308

Barnette (24.8%) 325,835

It would be great if Oz is the candidate. There is no enthusiasm for him among Republican voters. He comes off as incredibly fake. Fetterman will easily be able to beat him.

I think it wasn't dramatic, but Trump's hold on the Republican party was weakened last night. He didn't deliver a grand slam. There are plenty of Trump inspired freaks still running but I still hold it's all down hill for the Trump wing of the part from here. It just probably won't be a rapid descent.

Republicans don't need Trump to tell them what to do. Lots of competition for MAGA out there now. Kind of like Netflix before all the other streaming services got going.

If Fuckface von Cuntstick hadn’t entered the PA primary, who would have gotten her votes?

[quote] PA GOP Senate candidate Kathy Barnette is blaming Sean Hannity for her loss: “Never forget what Sean Hannity did in this race. Almost single-handedly, Sean Hannity sowed the seeds of disinformation, flat-out lies every night for the past 5 days, and that was .. hard to overcome.”

^ They're always such gracious losers, but at least they're chewing on their own tails.

Does Barnette not realize that Republicans are racist? She thought Shawn Hannity was going to help her?

Sean Hannity should be cancelled!!!

r91 Thanks. Another example of not believing everything you read.

Trump's gubernatorial candidate in Idaho lost. Next week, David Perdue will lose in Georgia.

Even if Meh met gets the nomination, almost 69 percent of the party didn't vote for him.

That is a key point that needs to be reiterated R103

Yes, the primaries were crowded but his candidates all won by small percentage and with around only 1/3 of the GOP vote

Follow-up: Meh met leads by 1,242 votes with 97% of precincts reported.

Earlier today tRump started sowing seeds of doubt about a McCormick victory: "cheating" blah blah blah.

Fetterman would crush Öz.

Pics, please!

Since most of the absentee ballots were mailed before Trump's endorsement of Oz, and since Allegheny County still has a lot of outstanding ballots, I think McCormick might win.

[quote] tRump started sowing seeds of doubt about a McCormick victory: "cheating" blah blah blah.

YES!!

Georgia 2.0

They are all going to think the elections are rigged and stay home. Or at least a good-sized chunk of them, enough to give us Ws in toss up races.

Thank you "President Tee"

[quote]Fetterman would crush Öz.

I certainly think he could provide a home for some Republican voters. He might even be able to rise above the awful mess of bad luck circumstance that will threaten to engulf the Democrats (as it would the Republicans if they held the majority. Things are a mess and parties in power get punished. The Republicans probably can't believe their luck.)

"Fetterman would crush Öz."

Hmm, who's healthier?

Meh met's lead has shrunk to 1,070 ballots.

A laugh:

Did Oprah endorse Dr. Oz? I'm guessing the answer is no.

Cheri Beasley comes out swinging!

r115 She's only one point behind Budd.

[quote]Did Oprah endorse Dr. Oz?

No. She made this vague statement:

[quote]“One of the great things about our democracy is that every citizen can decide to run for public office. Mehmet Oz has made that decision,” Winfrey said, as reported by The Jasmine Brand. “And now it’s up to the residents of Pennsylvania to decide who will represent them.”

Any sense of when this might be resolved Poll Troll?

Latest totals. Philadelphia and Bucks Counties going for Oz. Allegheny going for McCormick.

Oz lives in Jersey.

[quote]Oz lives in Jersey.

Everyone knows. That’s why he’s barely winning among Republicans. Many of the Trump-supporters went for Barnette instead. He’ll lose terribly in the general election.

If he is worth hundreds of millions, he should have bought a house in Pennsylvania before announcing his candidacy. It makes it seem like he doesn't have faith in his own campaign.

I'm presuming Oz will do well in the runofffs as most of Barnette's voters will vote for him. As much as I hate him winning, he should be a lot easier for Fetterman to knock off than McCormick.

[quote]I'm presuming Oz will do well in the runofffs as most of Barnette's voters will vote for him.

There won't be a runoff in PA. There will be a mandatory recount if it ends up being 0.5% or less separating the top two. After the recount, the winner will be declared, and that's that.

r123 I'm not sure, I've read PA doesn't have runoffs? They have an automatic recount when the margin of victory is this close.

Does Miriam Webster list "irony" and "bullshit" as synonyms?

[quote] NEWS: @DaveMcCormickPA has filed a lawsuit in Pennsylvania court to compel counting of GOP mail-in ballots submitted ON TIME but w/out a handwritten date on the outside envelope, in a bid to close #PASEN gap w/ @DrOz .

sorry ^^^

Merriam