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This is why it’s so hard for Democrats to win Florida

FLORIDA Among Hispanic Voters: Trump 45% (+2) Biden 43%

@QuinnipiacPoll, LV, 8/28-9/1

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by Anonymousreply 3238 hours ago

Because many of the people in Florida vote according to how well the stock market is doing.

by Anonymousreply 109/03/2020

FLORIDA Biden 48% (+3) Trump 45%

@QuinnipiacPoll, LV, 8/28-9/1

by Anonymousreply 209/03/2020

Florida has a heavy cuban population and they still hate Obama for going to Cuba - as well as most cubans who come here are republicans.

by Anonymousreply 309/03/2020

There aren't many Cubans outside the south east. But yes, they are Rubugs and were so before Obama. They regard the GOP as the business party.

by Anonymousreply 409/03/2020

Venezuelans also tend to be Republicans

by Anonymousreply 509/03/2020

I know columbians in florida - big Obama supporters who were pissed he went to cuba. Not only Cubans hate castro

by Anonymousreply 609/03/2020

"Look at those Republicans, up to no good I'll be bound."

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by Anonymousreply 709/03/2020

Floridians LOVE that Trump is threatening to deplete their Social Security.

by Anonymousreply 809/03/2020

The 'Cubans' in Miami and environs are all business. They're US citizens, most of them, that's why I use the inverted commas.

by Anonymousreply 909/03/2020

Biden will win Florida.

by Anonymousreply 1009/03/2020

Which is why you don’t see people flip out about Cuban or Venezuelan immigrants. They vote red. It’s all about who they vote for. Conservatives demonize any group who doesn’t buy their bad policies. Yes, they are the business party-for only business and not 99% of us who are workers.

by Anonymousreply 1109/03/2020

Fear, uncertainty, doom!!

by Anonymousreply 1209/03/2020

There are huge communities of Puerto Ricans in Hillsborough County and the Orlando area (seminole/orange).

by Anonymousreply 1309/03/2020

The Cuban-Americans flip out about non-Cuban arrivals all the time.

by Anonymousreply 1409/03/2020

Some people feel safer with a Big Daddy at the helm, bossing everyone around. Look how many dark-skinned countries have dictators.

by Anonymousreply 1509/03/2020

Puerto Ricans and Dominicans are not turning out to vote anywhere near their numbers in Florida

by Anonymousreply 1609/03/2020

One of my favorite things Obama did was revoke the Wet Foot, Dry Foot policy which favored Cuban exceptionalism.

by Anonymousreply 1709/03/2020

There's a reason Orlando leans left--the only county (two counties) that is reliably democratic outside of Brow, West Palm, and M-D.

by Anonymousreply 1809/03/2020

Why aren't whites voting their best interest in Florida?! Fuck! They are stupid.

by Anonymousreply 1909/03/2020

Big Daddy with Pretty. South, not FL. This is your entr'acte before you start eating each other for dinner like reptiles.

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by Anonymousreply 2009/03/2020

Hispanics can be just as, if not more, racist than whites against blacks. The prioritization of the BLM message is admirable - but Dems are idiots for using it as a campaign slogan. They seem set on losing elections on principle - I’m sick of it.

by Anonymousreply 2109/03/2020

R21 Sooo cowtow to racists? Hispanics are just as dull as whites if they think most conservatives think they are anything above a servant.

by Anonymousreply 2209/03/2020

There's not a race problem in America really. There's a wealth disparity problem. Cops earn 80k on average. That's a good fuckin job! They are arresting poor people that can't make a living

by Anonymousreply 2309/03/2020

[quote] That's a good fuckin job!

It's danger money.

[quote] They are arresting poor people that can't make a living

They are killing them, esp if they are black.

All part of the price built into the checks and balances of the Founding Fathers.

by Anonymousreply 2409/03/2020

The rich play everybody for fools. My god we’re stupid. How do people vote republican? They offer nothing to anybody earning less than 10 million.

by Anonymousreply 2509/03/2020

Cops make 80k - retire at 48 - and then get 80k for the REST of their lives without working, it’s not the salary - it’s the pension that makes it a golden job. Yes, they take on risk - but that’s why they get pensions worth millions. Why we treat cops like self-sacrificing volunteer firefighters when they are well-paid public employees of US is the issue. Cops sign up for the benefits - and the power trip. We need different cops.

by Anonymousreply 2609/03/2020

[quote] They offer nothing to anybody earning less than 10 million.

It's called Deliverance

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by Anonymousreply 2709/03/2020

God only knows what you’re trying to say there, R20.

by Anonymousreply 2809/03/2020

AND YET, BIDEN HAS BEEN WINNING FLORIDA POLLS FOR 2 YEARS.

Trump's neglect of the pandemic and all the senior citizens dying there makes it easy for Democrats to win Florida.

Boris OP = FAKE NEWS

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by Anonymousreply 2909/03/2020

Why I think Florida will vote for Biden:

1. Florida voted for Obama/Biden in 2008 and 2012. 2. Trump won FL in 2016 by just 1.2 percent and Joe Biden is a much different candidate than HRC. 3. Yesterday's Opinium poll has Biden +7. 4. A proposition on the ballot to raise the minimum wage to $15 per hour will lead to high turnout among poor voters. 5. 75,000 Puerto Ricans moved to FL after Hurricane Maria and I don't think they liked his paper towel stunt. 6. Hundreds of thousands of elderly white people have passed on since 2016 (not COVID-related). 7. The unemployment rate is 11.4 percent due to COVID.

by Anonymousreply 3009/03/2020

538's FL forecast: Trump 41 in 100, Biden 59 in 100.

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by Anonymousreply 3109/03/2020

All I remember are the ancient Jews in the old days, through their Rodenstock Senators, telling the networks that they didn't understand what a chad was and they had no idea about the difference between dimpled and hanging. Quaint.

by Anonymousreply 3209/03/2020

R31, you still believe in those wack forecasts? For real, bruh???!!! 🙄

by Anonymousreply 3309/03/2020

[quote]that's why I use the inverted commas.

They're called quotation marks, dumbass R9.

by Anonymousreply 3409/03/2020

High falutin commas.

by Anonymousreply 3509/03/2020

Nate Silver: Given rapid improvement in many economic indicators, and fairly high approval for Trump on the economy, the idea that Trump is doomed to lose because of the economy seems pretty miscast at this point. It really might be a *comparative* strength of his.

by Anonymousreply 3609/04/2020

Trump’s budget has a $2 TRILLION cut for Medicare, Medicaid, and social security.

Will the Floridian elderly love that?

by Anonymousreply 3709/04/2020

Will democrats know how to use that as a potent political weapon?

by Anonymousreply 3809/04/2020

Hispanics tend not to have much common sense in general.

by Anonymousreply 3909/04/2020

Nate Cohn: One thing that seems pretty real: Arizona to the left of Florida. It was true in 2018. With the exception of a fleeting period in July, it's been true in the polling for most of this cycle. Arizona is not a huge state, but under the right circumstances it's a very important shift

by Anonymousreply 4009/23/2020

Why is it so hard for Republicans to stay within their mandate?

NEW POLLING AFTER GINSBURG'S DEATH SHOWS BIDEN WINNING FLORIDA AGAIN:

FLORIDA:

BIDEN: 49%

TRUMP: 46%

ARIZONA:

BIDEN: 49%

TRUMP: 43%

[quote]The poll shows that a majority of likely voters nationally — 57 percent — do not believe that Trump should be able to nominate a replacement for Ginsburg. A little more than a third of respondents — 37 percent — say that he should fill the open seat.

Change Research/CNBC 9/18 - 9/20 = 100% polling after Ginsburg's death and Republican intentions announced.

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by Anonymousreply 4109/23/2020

Those Hispanic voters are Cuban. They make great food, but man, are they stupid. And racist.

by Anonymousreply 4209/23/2020

[quote] One of my favorite things Obama did was revoke the Wet Foot, Dry Foot policy which favored Cuban exceptionalism.

How’s that?

by Anonymousreply 4309/23/2020

[quote] Hispanics tend not to have much common sense in general

They are easily fooled. Next thing you know they are on a one way ticket to the UK for a long life of servitude to me.

by Anonymousreply 4409/23/2020

r42 is correct, those Latino republican voters are mostly white Cubans and Venezuelans. I live in South Florida. These are white Cubans who have done well for themselves, because South Florida is a haven for Latinos. Marilyn Milian of the People's Court is a great example. Big donor to the Republican party.They vote Republican because their parents did.

The Republican party at large could give two shits about people of Cuban descent in Florida, but Cubans don't realize it because they have only ever lived in South Florida where Republican Latinos hold office. Hopefully now they will see the true nature of the Republican party.

by Anonymousreply 4509/23/2020

If the Democrats can't fix tap water contamination in Florida, they will never win there. You can't reason with people with dysfunctional brains. Floridian kids suffer from brain cancer the most in the country. SAD!!!!

by Anonymousreply 4609/23/2020

Oh yes, Trump is going to save their water!

by Anonymousreply 4709/23/2020

Based on his record, no way should Trump be polling anywhere above the teens. He's failed at everything for four long years.

If they re-elect him, they deserve every misery known to mankind.

by Anonymousreply 4809/23/2020

But we all will suffer

by Anonymousreply 4909/24/2020

God, how I wish Cuba were “liberated” so they could return “home”. F Castro.

by Anonymousreply 5009/24/2020

Biden should make it a point of ending Cuba’s current regime. That’s one overseas intervention I’d be ok with. Florida will turn blue in a year.

by Anonymousreply 5109/24/2020

[post redacted because independent.co.uk thinks that links to their ridiculous rag are a bad thing. Somebody might want to tell them how the internet works. Or not. We don't really care. They do suck though. Our advice is that you should not click on the link and whatever you do, don't read their truly terrible articles.]

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by Anonymousreply 5209/24/2020

Maybe stop calling them "LatinX" and they will come around.

by Anonymousreply 5309/24/2020

Yeah, R53, I'm sure middle-aged Cuban Boomers have heard that term before.

by Anonymousreply 5409/24/2020

R53 stinx.

Fuck off, cunt.

by Anonymousreply 5509/24/2020

Cubans are the deplorables of the Latino population.

by Anonymousreply 5609/24/2020

Those aren't all Cubans in that poll, R56.

by Anonymousreply 5709/24/2020

Cubans either washed-up on the shores in an innertube and got citizenship- or they are the offspring of the boatlifts when Castro cleaned out his insane asylums.

by Anonymousreply 5809/24/2020

Something's in the water': Florida Republicans see surge in voter registration'

Source: Politico

MIAMI — Republicans have closed the traditional voter registration gap with Democrats to an historically small margin in Florida, triggering a wave of Democratic apprehension in the nation’s biggest swing state.

Top Florida Democrats and longtime activists have increasingly groused in private that they feel pressure from Joe Biden’s campaign to refrain from door-to-door canvassing or holding voter registration drives due to the potential spread of the coronavirus and fears of muddying his messaging on the pandemic.

In the absence of such efforts, a concerted drive by President Donald Trump’s Florida campaign to register voters has helped cut the state’s long-standing Democratic advantage to fewer than 185,000 voters, a gap of just 1.3 percentage points, according to data from the Florida Division of Elections released this week.

“It’s late in the game now,” said state Sen. Jason Pizzo, a Miami Democrat. “There’s been no pushback from us, meaning that for every 100 doors that Republicans have proverbially knocked on, it’s not like they pissed people off to the point where they’ve run to the Democratic Party because they’re pissed at the GOP. It’s shown to be effective.”

by Anonymousreply 5909/24/2020

Going door to door works. Yes, even in a pandemic. Now Democrats are panicking. Told ya so

by Anonymousreply 6009/24/2020

Dems always seem to drop the ball in FL, covid or no covid. The party for some reason doesn't seem to get how important a state it is. We can still win without it but if we won it the GOP would have a difficult (almost impossible) time winning the presidency. We also need to be able to win statewide there as Rubio's seat is coming up in 2022.

by Anonymousreply 6109/24/2020

Why couldn't the Democrats in Florida do what Beto's group has done in Texas--all online? I don’t remember the numbers now, but I think Beto’s group has registered over a million new voters. We need a lot of new blood in the Democratic Party, people who are tech savvy and eager to try new ways of doing things.

by Anonymousreply 6209/24/2020

The Cubans vote predominantly Republican.

by Anonymousreply 6309/24/2020

Of course

by Anonymousreply 6409/24/2020

[quote]Dems always seem to drop the ball in FL, covid or no covid. The party for some reason doesn't seem to get how important a state it is.

I just can't figure out why this is always the case. After the year 2000, you would think that they'd spend a sizable amount of time making sure Florida is a sure thing.

by Anonymousreply 6509/24/2020

I agree. Even this year, it’s seems Democrats are half-hearted about winning Florida and ready to concede the state. It’s disconcerting

by Anonymousreply 6609/24/2020

The FL Democratic Party is a poorly run mess. I think they only have a couple thousand in the bank. The DNC needs to clean house and completely revamp. There’s no reason whatsoever that both Gillium and Nelson had to lose in 2018.

by Anonymousreply 6709/24/2020

Stop blaming hispanics. They mostly live in south florida and that area is reliably blue. The main problem is the northern part of florida (panhandle, jacksonville etc). I believe Jacksonville is the largest red city in America

by Anonymousreply 6809/24/2020

No blame them r68. They are the ones who put Deathsantis over the top and caused Andrew Gillum to run with nasty hoes on meth.

by Anonymousreply 6909/24/2020

I just saw on MSNBC about how a lot of Democrats in Nevada are upset that Republicans have been going to door registrant a lot new Republican voters, but Democrats haven’t done anything like it. There is a feeling that Democrats unwisely unilaterally disarmed On the ground voter contact while Republicans have put the pedal to the metal.

by Anonymousreply 7009/24/2020

[quote] Beto’s group has registered over a million new voters.

Registered doesn't mean they vote, nor does it guarantee they vote Dem.

by Anonymousreply 7109/24/2020

R68 you know what they say about Florida...the further north you go, the more southern it gets

by Anonymousreply 7209/24/2020

Republican registrations skyrocketing in Florida

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by Anonymousreply 7309/24/2020

F&F the lying Fake News troll @ r67..

The Democrats have five times as much cash as the Republicans at this point and stealing RBG's seat is only increasing their haul!

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by Anonymousreply 7409/24/2020
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by Anonymousreply 7509/24/2020
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by Anonymousreply 7609/24/2020

I am always amazed at the hatred of Cuba when we have China’s dick so far up our ass it is touching our lungs. Since Trump has been in off Putin’s dick is so far down his throat it might rot off from gastric juices. Yet Cuba is evil in carnate.

by Anonymousreply 7709/24/2020

Don't tell me Trump isn't a "poorly run mess."

Trump bankrupts everything he touches. He has 6 corporate bankruptcies and he added $7 trillion to the U.S. national debt. He had to turn to Russian mafia rackets to bail his business failures out.

No banks will loan to him; no professionals will work with his companies. Trump is crazy and full of shit and he throws everyone he works with under the bus. That's why the Trump Organization is a sad, family crime operation.

Now this"economic genius" can't afford ads in Ohio and Arizona!

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by Anonymousreply 7809/24/2020

Trump is a sociopath, a grifter and a traitor:

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by Anonymousreply 7909/24/2020

The Demcrats are so flush with cash right now, they're going to flush the Republicans STRAIGHT DOWN THE SHITTER.

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by Anonymousreply 8009/24/2020

[bold]Because the Democratic Party in FL is hopeless.[/bold] As a result, the last time we had a functioning government was under Charlie Crist in 2010.

Just a few notes, the experts can tell you more --

* The [bold]Democratic party runs what I call "great black hopes" for Governor[/bold]. None of them stand a chance in the northern part of the state.

* Other than Obama, [bold]no one has patrolled the I-4 corridor to GOTV, especially the Puerto Rican vote.[/bold] OTOH, slippery eels like Rick Scott do PR outreach.

* [bold]Old Democratic Bulls like former Senator Bill Nelson barely campaign.[/bold]Rick Wilson couldn't believe it.

* [bold]Voter suppression [/bold]- it is what it is. Can't be changed, the Democrats need to win despite the suppression. When I went to vote, I worried my signature might be different than it was all those years ago. The poll worker told me "Don't worry about that, we don't care." Guess what - we had a recount and ballots were thrown out for not having matching signatures.

* [bold]The Tell [/bold]

*[bold]Why did no one vet Andrew Gillum?[/bold] Bisexual meth addict. Reckless lifestyle. Why did the Democratic Party allow him to run? Why didn't the Republican Party drop oppo research on him? B/c the Republicans knew they were going to win. According to Rick Wilson, a Democratic candidate needs to poll 10% ahead to make up for the "structural problems." (Voter suppression, lack of GOTV, lack poll worker training, bad candidates, unwillingness to campaign, open racism.)

*[bold]But the Cubans! [/bold] Hialeah, the most Cuban area in Dade, is represented in Congress by Donna Shalala - personal friend of Hillary, lesbian and liberal. She beat a Republican, second-generation Cuban-American woman. So, when the Democratic party wants to, it can. It just doesn't seem to want to.

by Anonymousreply 8109/24/2020

[quote] Why did no one vet Andrew Gillum? Bisexual meth addict. Reckless lifestyle. Why did the Democratic Party allow him to run?

Anyone can run for office. Literally, anyone can register as a democrat--or republican--and either get enough signatures or sign a check, and presto, they're a candidate.

[quote] *But the Cubans! Hialeah, the most Cuban area in Dade, is represented in Congress by Donna Shalala

Hialeah is represented by Diaz-Balart who is a republican. There is a tiny portion of "industrial" Hialeah--mostly warehouses and auto parts sellers and junk like that--that is part of Shalala's district.

Your other points are true.

by Anonymousreply 8209/24/2020

This is Shalala's district.

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by Anonymousreply 8309/24/2020

Is this Cubans? Didn't someone say here that Cubans don't associate themselves with Mexican Hispanics?

You know, because I base my political theories on random DL posts.

Good Damn, people. He's an asshat who would laugh and laugh if he saw your grandmother have a seizure just before getting hit by a bus. He'd do imitations of her at rallies if she wasn't one of his cult members.

Here's my new plan-let's have Trump interact with dogs on camera. My money is on the dogs sensing he's a fucker and not being comfortable around him. He'd show how terrible he is at interacting with kind, trusting souls.

We just have to put the dogs in witness protection afterward, because he'd definitely have them killed for embarrassing him publicly.

by Anonymousreply 8409/24/2020

Remember the video of him with the eagle?

It will be like that, only a sweet golden retriever cowering, then maybe biting his tiny balls.

by Anonymousreply 8509/24/2020

R74 hey galaxy brain, I was talking about the FLORIDA Democratic Party having no cash. That’s why I said the DNC needs to step in and clean up the mess of the party otherwise down ballot dems are going to get killed in FL

“ That issue appears to have continued with the party’s latest report. In one column of the report, Florida Democrats reported holding $741,829 in the bank at the end of August. In another column, the party said it had just $127,044”

The Republicans had $8 million

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by Anonymousreply 8609/25/2020

DNC has plenty of national cash. They should be flooding FL with money and staff

by Anonymousreply 8709/25/2020

I agree that it's a huge mistake for Biden not to do door-to-door canvassing, voter registration and turnout efforts in the battleground states.

You can have the volunteers wear N95 masks, gloves, face shields and use temperature scanners.

The destruction of America, democracy, our economy and the plague are too important to toe the strictest social distancing lines.

If Biden loses, it will be because of this huge mistake.

So far, the polls say Biden just has to not be Trump.

by Anonymousreply 8809/25/2020

The state Democratic Party doesn't need the cash for the crucial contest. There are no senators up for re-election and only one House seat in question, which won't affect the House majority and probably remain blue.

The Biden campaign, the DNC and SuperPacs are the ones who handle the Presidential campaigning and they are flush with plenty of cash.

They're swamping Republican advertising right now.

by Anonymousreply 8909/25/2020

Same story in North Carolina, where aggressive door to door voter registration and engagement is yielding big gains for Republicans, especially in the populace Piedmont region of The state.

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by Anonymousreply 9009/25/2020

Populous

by Anonymousreply 9109/25/2020

It’s a huge mistake to unilaterally suspend door-to-door campaigning and ground engagement. Republicans are doing it more than ever, While Democrats have been virtually doing none of it. It can be done safely, and it’s stupid not to do so.

by Anonymousreply 9209/25/2020

You should not unilaterally stop doing something that helps win elections while the other side is going gangbusters doing that very activity.

by Anonymousreply 9309/25/2020

NEW Data for Progress poll puts Biden ahead of Trump in Florida, as usual for the last 4 years!

BIDEN: 46%

TRUMP: 43%

Date for Progress Sept. 15-22.

Tell us what a "trash" pollster Data for Progress is, Boris! Tell us how the Margin of Error is going to save The Godtoddler!

Tell us these numbers are just going to boost Trump when only polls with data AFTER Ginsburg's death come out.

COME ON, BORIS! TELL US!

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by Anonymousreply 9409/25/2020

No lies detected

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by Anonymousreply 9509/25/2020

Florida goes red a lot because the state has many carpetbaggers who dont vote. They have no real connections or history in the state, so they don't feel it's important to vote. As long as they don't have to pay state income taxes. South Florida in particular is a very weird place, very disconnected from the realities of the rest of the state, and really the rest of America.

by Anonymousreply 9609/26/2020

media is owned by republican donors. People hear right wing propaganda all day every day.

by Anonymousreply 9709/26/2020
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by Anonymousreply 9810/06/2020

He's got FL.

by Anonymousreply 9910/06/2020

Well, Florida has 21 million people. 1.2 million in Miami are Cuban or Cuban-descended.

by Anonymousreply 10010/06/2020

Tuesday Puerto Rican governor Wanda Vázquez Garced endorsed Trump

by Anonymousreply 10110/06/2020

John King said tonight that Biden has a comfortable lead most swings states according to polls. Florida is still close

by Anonymousreply 10210/06/2020

WTF. How much did they pay her?

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by Anonymousreply 10310/06/2020

Her opponent won the election, but the court installed her instead.

Perfect for Trump.

by Anonymousreply 10410/06/2020

Is she a "she"?

by Anonymousreply 10510/06/2020

All incoming Cubans automatically receive government assistance and welfare. How galling these these cunts vote Republican.

by Anonymousreply 10610/06/2020

[quote] All incoming Cubans automatically receive government assistance and welfare. How galling these these cunts vote Republican.

They do not vote until they become citizens.

The ones of working age have jobs.

by Anonymousreply 10710/06/2020

R107 Obnoxious white wannabe Republican people.

by Anonymousreply 10810/06/2020

Is anyone shocked that people coming from Venezuela vote Republican? They have experienced the perfect implementation of socialism and are dying from it. The lucky few that can escape will never vote for a Democrat.

by Anonymousreply 10910/06/2020

I think the DNC should start movements to educate Latino voters in Florida about the true horrors of the Republican party, and that it is not the Republican party of 1980s anymore. The candidates never spend enough time doing it and Florida's elections are too close to continue letting Republicans blindly get the votes.

Hopefully if the next debate happens in Miami, Biden can shut down Trump over some Latino-centric issues. Cubans and Puerto Ricans have no reason to vote for Republicans in 2020, its asinine. Not even for this bitch with 10 chins.

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by Anonymousreply 11010/06/2020

R106

Most Cuban immigrants only use social welfare systems for a few months, if at all. They look around and see the parasites living generation after generation off of taxpayer cash and say “fuck that shit“.

Hispanics that have legally immigrated to United States are supporters of the loathsome Donald Trump because they don’t want lazy family members immigrating freely.

by Anonymousreply 11110/06/2020

R109 Venezuelans number 100,000 total in Florida. Fewer than that are voting. They're not as important as you or they think.

by Anonymousreply 11210/06/2020

R111 You sound like a MAGAt. Glad your boy is losing in a few weeks.

by Anonymousreply 11310/06/2020

R113

Strategically, I prefer Biden.

Realistically, the chances of him winning are negligible.

Four years of demonization of potential Trump voters has grossly distorted polling numbers. A significant minority of people contacted by telephone or “in person” pollsters will lie about their intentions.

When any indication of supporting Trump can potentially end your career, voters take caution.

Ignore this at your peril.

by Anonymousreply 11410/07/2020

r112 you are aware that Trump won Florida in 2016 by only 112,911 votes

by Anonymousreply 11510/07/2020

R114 I see your MAGAt posts all over your history. You fool no one, MAGAt.

by Anonymousreply 11610/07/2020

R53 "LatinX" sounds like a laxative for Hispanics.

by Anonymousreply 11710/07/2020

You know what’s hilarious and dangerous? If you’re in Miami in even the wokest liberal, hipster, second and third generation Cubano mix group, drop something about Castro at least giving black folks literacy, healthcare and basic housing.

Watch them turn into screaming fascists.

by Anonymousreply 11810/07/2020

Whenever I see latinx I think it's pronounced latincs.

by Anonymousreply 11910/07/2020

R118 The good doesn't wash away the bad.

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by Anonymousreply 12010/07/2020

Well, they’re idiots.

by Anonymousreply 12110/07/2020

“Biden moves ahead of Trump in poll of Miami-Dade's Hispanic voters” Miami Herald – October 1 thru 4, 2020 Biden – 57% Trump – 37%

by Anonymousreply 12210/07/2020

[quote]Most Cuban immigrants only use social welfare systems for a few months, if at all.

Most Cuban immigrants assume that any day now they will hop on a plane to Havana, move back into the ancestral casa and dig up abuela's silverware in the backyard.

by Anonymousreply 12310/07/2020

God, I hope Cuba is "liberated" soon, so they can move back.

by Anonymousreply 12410/07/2020

Florida Poll: Biden 49% (+5) Trump 44% Cherry Communications (R) 9/23-9/29 LV

by Anonymousreply 12510/07/2020

Any slippage for Biden among AA and Latin voters, may be more than compensated by Biden’s vast improvement among the more numerous White and Senior voters.

by Anonymousreply 12610/07/2020

The seniors don’t seem to be particularly enamored of Cheatolini. They may cancel out a lot of those recalcitrant Cubans.

by Anonymousreply 12710/07/2020

Exactly

by Anonymousreply 12810/07/2020

I heard that Biden was allowing door-to-door canvassing but I'm not sure in which state? Anyone know?

by Anonymousreply 12910/07/2020

Yes they really need to do it in Florida, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina.

by Anonymousreply 13010/07/2020
by Anonymousreply 13110/07/2020

These legal immigrants are in for a rude awakening when the Supreme Court strips their citizenship and rolls back their rights.

by Anonymousreply 13210/07/2020

In ALL states.

by Anonymousreply 13310/07/2020

The lying, shitstain OP with his antiquated poll can lie about the "superior Republican ground game game" in Florida all he wants to.

The truth is, the Florida Republican Party wins by extreme voter suppression tactics as ruthless as the days of Jim Crow.

Florida made it illegal for anyone with a former felony conviction to vote, disenfranchising 1.4 MILLION VOTERS who are largely minorities who vote for Democrats.

THAT IS HOW TRUMP NARROWLY WON IN 2016.

Horrified Floridians overturned the voter suppression by passing Amendment 4.

But then, crooked Republican elites in the state legislature and Governor DeSantis amended the amendment — to force felons to pay off all legal fines and complete the terms of their sentences before being allowed to vote. It's a poll tax.

This is not a "good ground game" apparatus. This is CHEATING. This is elite power-stealing and people-fucking and contempt for democracy.

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by Anonymousreply 13410/07/2020
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by Anonymousreply 13510/07/2020

lots of flies in florida

by Anonymousreply 13610/07/2020

The good news is that 280,000 new voters DID pay off their fines and are now eligible to vote. And Michael Bloomberg has raised $16 million to pay off even more felons' poll taxes before this year's election.

Donald Trump only won Florida by 112,911 votes in 2016. The Republicans no longer have this cheating advantage or some illusory "ground game" advantage.

Combine this with Trump's extreme corruption, pandemic neglect and Supreme Court power grabs infuriating voters, TRUMP AND THE REPUBLICANS ARE TOAST IN FLORIDA 2020.

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by Anonymousreply 13710/07/2020

That's why pollsters like Quinnipiac, Ipsos, Saint Leo U., Cherry Communications, Global Strategy, Change Research, Siena College/NY Times and the U. of North Florida keep showing commanding leads for Biden in Florida in polls:

FLORIDA:

BIDEN: 51%

TRUMP: 40%

Oct. 1-5

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by Anonymousreply 13810/07/2020

This is why the polls are skewed.

11.7% of Republicans say they would not report their true opinions about their preferred presidential candidate on telephone polls.

In contrast, just 5.4% of Democrats say they’d be reluctant to share their true voting intentions — roughly half the number of Republicans reluctant to tell the truth on phone polls.

10.5% of Independents fell into the “shy voter” category, just a percentage point lower than how Republicans react to phone polls.

by Anonymousreply 13910/07/2020

R139, do you see the error in your logic? How was this poll conducted?

by Anonymousreply 14010/07/2020

Forget about Florida. There are more important states.

by Anonymousreply 14110/08/2020

Florida is the most important state. It's the biggest swing state and it has the power to kill Donald Trump's campaign unilaterally. Trump simply can't win without Florida.

Florida's also trending at higher margins for Biden than Ohio is.

Trump is FUCKED.

by Anonymousreply 14210/08/2020

Are you ready to place your $100 bet for who will win the Florida election, r139?

I am. We can put the money into an online escrow account / gambling vendor now.

by Anonymousreply 14310/08/2020

Florida is not the most important state and it's barely even a swing state anymore Dems don't need it to win and shouldn't waste time there.

by Anonymousreply 14410/08/2020

Democrats should go all in on winning Florida

by Anonymousreply 14510/08/2020

After the year 2000, everyone should know that Florida is the most important state, by numbers alone. It has by more electoral college votes than any other swing state in United States. You can call any presidential race once Florida's votes are in. The networks always wait to until after Florida's numbers are in, and then right after the winner is called.

by Anonymousreply 14610/08/2020

im cuban, this is what democrats should do to win cuban votes. it is easy, do what republicans do, but better. first, start talking about how they will destroy the communists in cuba by harshening the embargo, fully restrict the entrance of cubans to the country and deport them all back to cuba. remember that cubans are not very smart people, trust me they will be very happy.

by Anonymousreply 14710/08/2020

R147 "remember that cubans are not very smart people"

Your post has made that point abundantly clear.

by Anonymousreply 14810/08/2020

A lot of wishful thinking on this thread.

by Anonymousreply 14910/08/2020

Wishful thinking by naive, Republican trolls.

by Anonymousreply 15010/08/2020

Both

by Anonymousreply 15110/08/2020

Th PR endorsement isn't got to help.

by Anonymousreply 15210/12/2020

Imagine being Puerto Rican and voting for Trump after all he said about PR and his apathy for the people after the hurricane.

by Anonymousreply 15310/13/2020

You'd be surprised, R153.

by Anonymousreply 15410/13/2020

The Sanford, Florida rally was insane, thousands turned out

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by Anonymousreply 15510/13/2020

Wow, R155: cult members in a very red area turned out to see their god in person.

by Anonymousreply 15610/13/2020

Sadly, r155, Biden just keeps climbing higher above the margins of error in Florida. This is the state that will kill Donald Trump's delusions on Election Night and those of all of his Deplorable suckers. Biden's growth trend here is simply amazing:

FLORIDA:

BIDEN: 51%

TRUMP: 46%

Oct. 2-11 Morning Consult

THANK YOU, FLORIDA, FOR SAVING AMERICA!

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by Anonymousreply 15710/13/2020

Why is that "sad", R157?

by Anonymousreply 15810/14/2020

Not feeling super great about the weighted average of +4.5. I get that FL is always close, and this is huge compared to the normal split, but the media are putting forth the narrative about Latinos, and basically nudging Latinos to vote for Trump. They're making Latinos for Trump "a thing". Venezuelans, Cubans, etc.

by Anonymousreply 15910/14/2020

Ah some good news, though.

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by Anonymousreply 16010/14/2020

Maybe.

by Anonymousreply 16110/14/2020

Democrats are kicking Republican ass in early voting in Florida.

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by Anonymousreply 16210/14/2020

R162

This is why Hillary will win in a LANDSLIDE!

by Anonymousreply 16310/14/2020

Thank you, Tyler Perry!

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by Anonymousreply 16410/15/2020

Sorry. - Tyler P. story

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by Anonymousreply 16510/15/2020

There are too many shenanigans going on by both Trump and individual state election secretaries . I won't believe Democrats will win in typically red leaning states until the election results are officially in.

by Anonymousreply 16610/15/2020

WTF is R164's story?!

by Anonymousreply 16710/15/2020

No need now.

by Anonymousreply 16810/16/2020

INDOOR Trump seniors' rally right now. They're--no joke--dancing to YMCA waiting for the Cheeto in Chief.

Total DL catnip.

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by Anonymousreply 16910/16/2020

Trump live on CNN now at FL seniors' rally, lying through his teeth.

His face is weirdly sunken.

by Anonymousreply 17010/16/2020

Correction: CNN cut away from live coverage after 5 minutes because there were too many lies to fact check.

by Anonymousreply 17110/16/2020

The puffiness in his face is gettin' real weird lately.

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by Anonymousreply 17210/16/2020

That was hilarious, R169.

by Anonymousreply 17310/16/2020

R1699 Ironic how only the Village People are the only music act that is allowing Trump to use their songs at his rallies. Also ironic that Trump's homophobic anti-gay marriage supporters are dancing along to a song about gay men hooking up at the local athletic club.

by Anonymousreply 17410/17/2020

Florida Latinos are prime targets for receiving disinformation from bots on social media apps

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by Anonymousreply 17510/17/2020

Those bots are laughable.

by Anonymousreply 17610/19/2020

Wake up Democrats!

Florida EV as of 10:30 AM

Dem 34,825 Rep 28,888

Total 75,680

48/67 counties reporting

by Anonymousreply 17710/19/2020

[quote] Democrats are kicking Republican ass in early voting in Florida.

Today on Politico:

There is uncertainty, especially, about younger voters, who are returning ballots at a slower rate than older ones. That is typical, wrote Michael McDonald, who directs the Elections Project, in an analysis of the early vote last week.

Still, he said, “I predict in the coming weeks the Democratic narrative will change from euphoria over the apparent large leads in early voting to concern that a disproportionately large number of younger voters have yet to return their mail ballots.”

In any other year, Democrats would have a time-tested, if imperfect way to address their turnout concerns — thousands of volunteers and organizers knocking on doors to register voters and prod them to return their ballots. But Biden abandoned a door-knocking campaign due to concerns about the coronavirus until the final month of the election, ceding traditional field operations to Trump.

The effect that decision will have on the outcome will be impossible to fully quantify until the election is over. But it is one likely reason that Republicans have been able to make registration gains in several states, including Florida, where the GOP has significantly narrowed the party’s voter registration gap with Democrats.

“One big known unknown right now is how many Democrats return their ballots,” said Nick Trainer, the Trump campaign's director of battleground strategy. “In ‘16, you would have had a Democrat volunteer or operative knocking on a voter’s door in Orlando reminding them to return the ballot on their kitchen table or go to the polls. That’s not happening today.”

Yet many Democrats continue to suspect so-called quiet or shy Trump voters still exist — those who refuse to tell pollsters they support a deeply polarizing president. Many Republican Party leaders, especially at the local level, are convinced of it.

In addition, while Trump is behind in critical states, he is close to or within the margin of error in many of them. And that’s “after a f---ing historically awful year,” said Jeff Roe, the Republican strategist who steered Ted Cruz’s 2016 presidential campaign.

For Trump, he said, “The path ain’t closed.”

by Anonymousreply 17810/19/2020

There are a couple of reasons you see a large Republicunt presence in the Cuban community. For a start they fled a socialist country and they worry that the Dems will lean too far in that direction and it likely makes them nervous. Another reason is many of them are Catholic and have conservative religious beliefs and think abortion is wrong. That’s just what I figure their reasoning might be.

by Anonymousreply 17910/19/2020

This is how you win Florida

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by Anonymousreply 18010/19/2020

Final Florida EV Update:

Rep 134,349 (+2,937) Dem 131,412 NPA/Others 48,169

Total 313,930

Miami-Dade/Sarasota voted today but their returns will be available at 8am tomorrow

by Anonymousreply 18110/19/2020

#BREAKING @NBC6 Over 40,000 votes were cast in Miami Dade County on the first day of #EarlyVoting surpassing 2016 numbers. The final numbers will post online after all sites close.

by Anonymousreply 18210/19/2020

Florida Vote-by-Mail (VBM) Requests at 5,768,904 (45-31 DEM) with D advantage of 801,504

VBM Return Rate at 45% statewide

by Anonymousreply 18310/19/2020

Florida: In-Person Early: 313,930 (Rep +3k)

Vote-By-Mail: 2,631,580 (Dem +476k)

Statewide turnout is at 20%

by Anonymousreply 18410/19/2020

Early returns in Florida show the pre-Election Day electorate is currently trending younger than four years ago.

Florida voters under 65 years old accounted for about half the ballots cast, marking a 12-point uptick compared to this time in 2016.

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by Anonymousreply 18510/19/2020

Duval County Early Voting Day 1:

In-person: Democrats: 15,866 GOP: 9,512 NPA: 2,837

VBM: Democrats: 42,014 GOP: 23,761 NPA: 11,969

Total: Democrats: 57,883 GOP: 33,289 NPA: 14,810

by Anonymousreply 18610/19/2020

You girls just "leaning" left, might wanna take a hint from those cubans in Florida. Just sayin'

by Anonymousreply 18710/19/2020

What's NPA?

by Anonymousreply 18810/19/2020

I wouldn't blindly assume early-voting registered Republicans are Trump voters. Party membership in Florida is a public record, and there are a lot of Floridian Republicans who are closet Democrats because they'd otherwise take HELL from their families if they officially switched.

On the other hand, I'd say Florida's INDEPENDENT voters are a major wildcard. A lot of true-believer Trumpets without family pressures quietly switched to 'independent' a year or two ago to avoid scorn from coworkers & customers, but have houses whose front yards are shrines to Donald Trump.

That said, I think it's safe to say that 99.997% of ballots cast by Florida's registered Democrats will be votes for Biden.

IMHO, 5-10% of registered Republicans in Florida will be voting for Biden. There are a lot of "never-Trump" Republicans in Miami, Orlando, and Tampa... and probably twice as many "never-AGAIN Trump" Republicans in the same cities.

Southwest & Northeast Florida are the hardest of hard-core Trump coastal strongholds. In my parents' city, a Biden bumper sticker would probably get your car keyed in a parking lot. But... that same pressure to not publicly dare to show support is quietly turning into angry grim determination to secretly vote for Biden, if only for the sheer joy of watching their neighbors cry when Trump loses.

It's also noteworthy that Trump's message of, "vote for me, or angry black people will riot in your town" elicits chuckles in Naples. Even my pro-Trump dad cracked a joke about how if Biden wins, MAYBE a black kid from Port Royal will get in his dad's Bentley & drive around Pelican Bay (blowing the horn) for an hour or two. Black protest, Naples-style. :-D

by Anonymousreply 18910/19/2020

[quote] I wouldn't blindly assume early-voting registered Republicans are Trump voters.

True. It's counterpart to places like Penn (with registered Dems).

by Anonymousreply 19010/20/2020

NC still has a lot of registered Democrats who vote Republican

by Anonymousreply 19110/20/2020

This election is going to be so tight and they rethugs have all kinds of stunts at the ready.

But the main play in the last 7 days will come out of nowhere. They will change the topic entirely.

This week, they are focused on picking off the the black vote and depressing turnout.

But there will be a new script

by Anonymousreply 19210/20/2020

They probably will drop their October Surprise Wednesday or Thursday so that it will be the big debate topic. They also could be waiting to drop it Friday or Saturday just in case Trump has a catastrophic performance and to make it the big Sunday show topic. They likely don’t want to wait until after Sunday to drop it because many millions more will have voted by then.

by Anonymousreply 19310/20/2020

[quote] But the main play in the last 7 days will come out of nowhere.

This.

by Anonymousreply 19410/20/2020

[quote] they rethugs have all kinds of stunts at the ready.

Yeah r192, The Republicans hahahahahahahaha. Com' on!!

by Anonymousreply 19510/20/2020

Too close to call.

by Anonymousreply 19610/20/2020

This year, at least 75,000 Venezuelans are eligible to vote in Florida. One study found that 66% of Venezuelan voters in the state intend to vote for Trump

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by Anonymousreply 19710/20/2020

Bloomberg’s Spending In Florida Reverberates

October 20, 2020 at 8:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 91 Comments

“Michael Bloomberg’s $100 million investment in Florida to defeat Donald Trump is recasting the presidential contest in the president’s must-win state, forcing his campaign to spend big to shore up his position and freeing up Democratic cash to expand the electoral map elsewhere,” Politico reports.

“Bloomberg’s massive advertising and ground-game spending, which began roughly a month ago, has thrown Trump into a defensive crouch across the arc of Sunbelt states. As a result, the president‘s campaign has scaled back its TV ad buys in crucial Northern swing states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan — a vacuum being filled by a constellation of outside political groups backing Joe Biden.”

by Anonymousreply 19810/20/2020

So Bloomberg is actually fulfilling his promise?

by Anonymousreply 19910/20/2020

Yep. But who is helping in Pennsylvania!?

by Anonymousreply 20010/20/2020

Biden raked in a lot of money last month and is still bringing in big bucks. He has money to spend. He’s running ads here in DC, which is completely unnecessary, because he will absolutely get most of the votes from DC, Northern Virginia, and the Maryland suburbs. So, I can’t believe that Biden’s campaign is hurting.

by Anonymousreply 20110/20/2020

R68 I used to think the same thing. I live in broward and have found that in past elections the wealthy neighborhoods just to the east of me had a republican candidate sign in every yard. Now I am seeing huge trump signs and huge flags in my neighborhood. The usual trump no more bull*hit flags. It’s horrifying. I would have never guessed that most of these people leant that way. Quite frankly I think that they hang those flags cause they don’t dare hang a confederate flag over their homes

by Anonymousreply 20210/20/2020

I forgot to add, the Trump yard signs with wire posts are really good for sounding down my piss slit.

But who can do that all the time? I need the wooden stakes attached to my imaginary Trump signs stacked together, 4 stakes or more, in order to stretch out my rectum, hit my prostate and cum.

Those are more expensive, so they're harder for me to find ‚— even in the never-ending ocean of Trump signs that is Florida.

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by Anonymousreply 20310/20/2020

Child pron on the laptop won’t hurt his chances...

by Anonymousreply 20410/20/2020

Ouch

by Anonymousreply 20510/20/2020

Floridians care about child rape, especially because Epstein committed so many of his crimes in Florida right next door to Trump, while Trump was partying with Epstein.

Now that we know Trump tried to rape 13-year-old Katie Johnson at one of Epstein's parties, Trump won't be able to overcome Biden's lead.

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by Anonymousreply 20610/20/2020

The lies flow freely through the liberal tears. I'll put money up that Trump will win. Its mind boggling people actually think Biden has a chance. There's going to be a lot of upset on here come election day.

by Anonymousreply 20710/20/2020

Where will you put up money, r207?

Are you ready to put up $100 now that Trump will win this election on BuddyBet?

by Anonymousreply 20810/20/2020

r114 ignores this at his own peril:

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by Anonymousreply 20910/20/2020

Democrats being nearly matched by GOP in Dade County is bad sign

MIAMI-DADE Day 2 Early Vote: Rep 16,521 Dem 16,146 NPA/Other 9,263 Total 41,930 MIAMI-DADE Day 2 VBM: Dem 19,425 Rep 9,010 NPA/Other 8,779 Total 37,214

by Anonymousreply 21010/21/2020

President (Florida) Biden (D) 51% Trump (R) 47% 10/17-10/20 by Civiqs (B/C) 863 LV

by Anonymousreply 21110/21/2020

Biden's pulling ahead BIG in Florida!

Back to a 5-point lead in multiple polls:

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by Anonymousreply 21210/21/2020

If Trump loses Florida his odds of winning reelection diminish considerably.

by Anonymousreply 21310/21/2020

R213, 99% of those following the election here already know that.

by Anonymousreply 21410/21/2020

Pundits on CNN discuss his other electoral college options with Ohio and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin being a likely path.

by Anonymousreply 21510/21/2020

cubans have an anti democrat propaganda youtube chanel made alex otaola. he tried to make it seem like blm are marxist that want to destroy our cities. now, they are linking blm with some far left riots in chile to prove that the democrats wants to bring these kinds of riots to the united states and start burning churches etc like communists are doing in chile.

by Anonymousreply 21610/21/2020

R210, do those numbers include both in-person voting and voting by mail?

by Anonymousreply 21710/21/2020

California tech millionaires/billionaires have been donating to a Democratic PAC. I read about this yesterday, but cannot find the article now. One of the guys was Moskowitz from Google. And they're supporting Hegar for Senate in Texas against Cornyn.

by Anonymousreply 21810/21/2020

biden has to clearly debunk the republican strategies toward venezuela and cuba. the democratic party must explain the readon why santions do not work to bring down those regimes. most venezuelan and cubans still believe the republican' promise that their sanctions will destroy those regimes. biden has to clearly say that all the united states can do, since it wont go to war with any of these two countries, is to sanction those countries and that these measures just wont work at all.

democrats will have a better chance of succeess with the cubans. as many cubans are already seeing that after more than 60 years those republicans economic sanctions for cuba are simply a failure. democrats can say that since the population of cuba is only 11 millions that it is extremely easy for the goverment to make that amount on a yearly basis and that the governement doesnt even spend 5000 dollar per capita. we dont have democrat politicians in miami who can truly explain this to cubans and break obce and for all their expectations on republican sanctions, which they use to gain votes.

by Anonymousreply 21910/21/2020

Latest from Florida.

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by Anonymousreply 22010/21/2020

It fukin changes every day.

by Anonymousreply 22110/21/2020

Now tie.

by Anonymousreply 22210/22/2020

@umichvoter99 BTW there are 628,412 registered Democrats in Miami-Dade county. Which means there are 408,076 raw Democratic votes still sitting out there. If you know anyone who knows anyone, please work on making sure they vote. That's the entire focus.

by Anonymousreply 223Last Friday at 4:50 AM

We need emergency intervention in Florida. Get these Democrats to the polls!!! Now!!!

by Anonymousreply 224Last Friday at 4:50 AM

I agree

by Anonymousreply 225Last Friday at 5:01 AM

FLORIDA Biden 49% (+2) Trump 47%

@StPetePolls/@Fla_Pol, LV, 10/21-22

by Anonymousreply 226Last Friday at 5:16 AM

Any post debate polls?

by Anonymousreply 227Last Friday at 5:26 AM

Florida Presidential Polling:

Trump (R): 50% Biden (D): 46%

Rasmussen / October 21, 2020 / n=800 / Online

by Anonymousreply 228Last Friday at 7:28 AM

R228, that would translate into 2-4 point lead for Biden in all other polls, which is consistently stable for the past months.

by Anonymousreply 229Last Friday at 7:31 AM

Florida

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by Anonymousreply 230Last Friday at 7:33 AM

Florida correct link

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by Anonymousreply 231Last Friday at 7:34 AM

Biden, Harris, Obamas should camp out in Miami/Orlando, Philly/Pittsburgh, Dallas/Houston, ATL, Detroit, Cleveland/Columbus, Milwaukee, and RDU/Charlotte/Winston-Salem.

by Anonymousreply 232Last Friday at 7:35 AM

Florida: Turnout by party (as of last night - obviously has grown since then):

Dem: 39.8% GOP: 32.5% NPA: 24.7%

by Anonymousreply 233Last Friday at 7:43 AM

From Meredith College:

NORTH CAROLINA: Biden 48%, Trump 46% From Susquehanna Polling & Research:

FLORIDA: Biden 46%, Trump 46%

by Anonymousreply 234Last Friday at 11:14 AM

Projected shifts in Florida electorate Since Trump won by 1.2 points in 2016: ...Whites with no degree: -2.1% ...Whites with a degree: +0.1% ...Blacks: +0.6% ...Hispanics: +0.9% none of these shifts are favorable to the president

by Anonymousreply 235Last Friday at 1:23 PM

Dave Wasserman: Dems are deluding themselves if they think rural white voters aren’t going to turn out. It’ll be through the roof.

To me, the biggest remaining question mark is rural *nonwhite* turnout - esp. in FL/GA/NC/TX.

by Anonymousreply 236Last Friday at 1:32 PM

Both sides are depending on turnout at this point.

by Anonymousreply 237Last Friday at 4:15 PM

Although 85-90% of republicans are voting for Trump, the percentage of Republicans not supporting him is twice the percentage of Democrats not voting for Biden. Thus, it’s not entirely accurate to assume party registration equals a vote for the corresponding candidate.

by Anonymousreply 238Last Friday at 4:22 PM

Here's the summary from a Times article:

"Among Latina women, Biden leads Trump by a whopping 34 percentage points (59 percent to 25 percent). Among Latino men, Biden’s lead is only eight points (47 percent to 39 percent). These patterns are similar across both Latino college graduates and those without a degree.

"Stephanie Valencia, the president of Equis Research, which focuses on Latino voters, told us that its polls suggest that Latino men may have even moved slightly toward Trump this year. If so, they are the only large demographic group to do so."

"… what has alienated so many older, female and suburban voters is a key part of Mr. Trump’s appeal to these men, interviews with dozens of Mexican-American men supporting Mr. Trump shows: To them, the macho allure of Mr. Trump is undeniable. He is forceful, wealthy and, most important, unapologetic. In a world where at any moment someone might be attacked for saying the wrong thing, he says the wrong thing all the time and does not bother with self-flagellation."

***

If those numbers hold up, and the undecideds split, then Biden would win the Hispanic vote nationally by something like 22 points, roughly 60-38, given a couple of points to third party. Hillary won Hispanics by 38 points, 66-28. That's the reason a state like Florida is tighter than it otherwise should be, given so many areas that have shifted toward Biden.

This survey is interesting because Hispanics always tilt unusually toward a presidential incumbent, but I had never seen it broken down by gender. Maybe it has always been the males who are accounting for the bulk of that change.

by Anonymousreply 239Last Friday at 5:02 PM

The media are making Biden’s innocuous comment re phasing out oil eventually the top story. Not all of Trump’s crimes and lies. Jesus. They found their angle to bring it to the wire.

by Anonymousreply 240Last Friday at 5:07 PM

Sorry, guys, better start planning for 2024, it ain't happening this year. All the cool candidates from across the board and Biden is whom you came up with?

Go find your next charismatic Bill Clinton and start now. Four more years and the country will be ready to swing back to something new as usual.

by Anonymousreply 241Last Friday at 5:13 PM

[quote] "In a world where at any moment someone might be attacked for saying the wrong thing, he says the wrong thing all the time and does not bother with self-flagellation."

This summed it up.

by Anonymousreply 242Last Friday at 5:16 PM

Today's turnout numbers in #Florida (w/o Miami-Dade):

Dems: 156,902 (34.53%) Reps: 199,216 (43.84%) NPA/O: 98,310 (21.63%) Total votes: 454,428

#flapol #sayfie #election2020

by Anonymousreply 243Last Friday at 5:34 PM

Once Florida breaks off and sinks, we, as a nation, can rejoice.

by Anonymousreply 244Last Friday at 5:37 PM

Of course not.

Why would Boris want to include Florida's most populous county in his turnout numbers?

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by Anonymousreply 245Last Friday at 7:06 PM

Sorry, psycho @ r241, the Turd Reich ain't happening this year. All the cool candidates from across the board and a batshit, failed casino owner agent of the Russian mafia who shits his pants before his dictator role models is whom you came up with?

Sorry, Boris, better start planning for 2024. I hear Godzilla and Voldemort are available. Go find your next charismatic psychopath and start now. Four more years and the country will be ready to swing back to the Bronze Age in your mind again. But you won't win.

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by Anonymousreply 246Last Friday at 7:16 PM

Oh, look, St. Pete polls just put Biden ahead of Trump today, just like Survey Monkey.

Just like most of the other pollsters before Rasmussen rigged their results as usual to favor the Republican.

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by Anonymousreply 247Last Friday at 7:18 PM

Uh-oh, looks like Florida added 1.1 million young voters between ages 18 and 34 since 2016 and 65% of them are voting for Biden!

What's going to happen when those 1.1 million liberal voters are added to the 1.4 million liberal voters freed after Florida repealed the voter suppression with Amendment 4 in 2018 and those are added to the millions of Florida seniors who don't want to die early, Boris?

OOPS, BITCH, YOU LOSE!

Toodle-loo, Turd Reich!

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by Anonymousreply 248Last Friday at 8:00 PM

Look what happens to the early voter turnout in Florida when you DO include Miami-Dade County and all ballots cast so far:

FLORIDA 2020 GENERAL ELECTION EARLY VOTER TURNOUT AS OF 10/23/20:

DEMOCRAT: 2,110,366

REPUBLICAN: 1,682,849

Nice try, Boris! It's too bad Republicans can only run on lies anymore.

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by Anonymousreply 249Last Friday at 8:10 PM

Yes!

by Anonymousreply 250Last Friday at 8:15 PM

Miami-Dade's yesterday numbers:

Vote-By-Mail (21,966) Dem: 9,324 NPA/Other: 6,480 Rep: 6,162

In-person Early (42,929) Rep: 16,402 Dem: 14,989 NPA/Other: 11,538

CUMULATIVE MIAMI-DADE Dem: 244,649 Rep: 167,442 NPA/Other: 140,954

Total: 553,045

by Anonymousreply 251Last Saturday at 5:17 AM

@umichvoter99 Democrats only netted 1431 ballots yesterday in Miami-Dade. Republicans have not only made strong inroads in the early in person voting. They are now getting a decent portion of VBM.

by Anonymousreply 252Last Saturday at 5:18 AM

Florida‼️- 5.2 million Floridians have voted, 55% of all who voted in 2016.

By party affiliation: Democrats - 2,289,645 Republicans - 1,899,530 No Party - 1,029,570

Usually the GOP outvotes us early, but this is a close race. We need to work to get out the vote in FL!

by Anonymousreply 253Last Saturday at 6:16 AM

🚨TODAY is the last day to request a mail-in ballot if you live in Florida. Democrats lead over Republicans of already cast votes is shrinking by the day. Make your voice heard. #VoteBlueToSaveAmerica

Democrat > GOP lead margin:

10/22- 462,774 10/23- 427,517 10/24- 390,115

by Anonymousreply 254Last Saturday at 8:06 AM

"Toodle-loo, Turd Reich!"

One of our more "special" posters. Try to imagine what he/she looks like.

by Anonymousreply 255Last Saturday at 10:11 AM

Florida news.

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by Anonymousreply 256Last Saturday at 1:48 PM

Yep, Repubs crashed NC’s early vote too

by Anonymousreply 257Last Saturday at 2:01 PM

[quote] By party affiliation: Democrats - 2,289,645 Republicans - 1,899,530 No Party - 1,029,570

"No Party" usually means Repub (or Bernie supporters).

by Anonymousreply 258Last Saturday at 2:02 PM

I’m getting worried about reports of massive turnout of Trump goons intimidating voters with raucous noise and in your face antics at polling places, especially in Pennsylvania

by Anonymousreply 259Last Saturday at 2:24 PM

The Florida Democratic Party is a disaster. They don't reach out for voter registration or turnout.

I wish Democrats would realize that and replace their leadership.

by Anonymousreply 260Last Saturday at 2:27 PM

WRONG

Independents and "No Parties" are breaking for Biden this year: 46% versus Trump's 44%.

Not enough to win, President Cuck á l'Orange!

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by Anonymousreply 261Last Saturday at 2:27 PM

r256 owned himself with:

[quote]The Democratic advantage was still huge as of Saturday morning: 387,000 ballots.

WOMP, WOMP, Boris!

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by Anonymousreply 262Last Saturday at 2:31 PM

‘Florida Man Wouldn’t Even Do This Stuff’

- Barack Obama on Trump at rally

by Anonymousreply 263Last Saturday at 2:34 PM

Back of the envelop math for Florida. Dems lead ballots cast. By raw vote the lead is 364,162. By percent, it is 42.89% Dem, 36.43% GOP, 20.67% others.

GOP has more remaining registered voters who have not vote yet. The margin there is 234,158. (1/2)

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by Anonymousreply 264Last Saturday at 3:09 PM
by Anonymousreply 265Last Saturday at 5:17 PM

Gillum was far too liberal for Florida. Socialism fear exploded. The Miami Herald and other Florida media reported on that immediately. Nominating Gillum was like nominating Sanders. Nominating Gwen Graham would have been like nominating Biden. All the difference in the world in terms of teflon, calm, and margin for error. Socialism would not have stuck. Florida Cubans are more right wing right now due to that idiotic nomination and the theme it enabled, of all Democrats as radical socialists. Graham led every pre-primary poll against DeSantis. Gillum trailed those polls. He got a bump of euphoria after the primary and everyone tried to pretend the ideology didn't matter. Then an astounding 46% of Floridians said Gillum was too liberal for the state.

That is a world record number. It should not be possible. It should not be possible even if Gillum's campaign theme was, "I am too liberal for this state."

Florida midterms are always much older, much whiter, and much more conservative than presidential years. The conservative liberal relationship shifted wildly from 36-25 in 2016 to 39-22 in 2018. That is all the difference between a swing state and a conservative state. But since our primary voters were totally clueless toward that type of shift in a Florida midterm, they brainstormed to nominate Andrew Gillum in a conservative landscape.

It doesn't matter if Gillum gave good speeches and was passionate. He was a poor ideological fit. For example, that 39-22 is almost exactly like an Ohio or Iowa ideological breakdown in a presidential year. Ohio 2016 was 39-20. Iowa 2016 was 40-23. Does anyone honestly believe we could get away with nominating Andrew Gillum in Ohio or Iowa? It was only the ineptitude of Ron DeSantis and the national slant of 2018 that made the race as close as it was. But now we're stuck with DeSantis and all these deaths and disaster due to bypassing Gwen Graham for an Andrew Gillum who obviously hadn't even been competently vetted within our own party.

I will never get over it. Obviously not as devastating as Hillary but I think about it every day.

by Anonymousreply 266Last Sunday at 5:42 AM

FL counties w/ highest turnout of registered voters so far:

1. SUMTER: 58% 2. Collier: 55% 3. Martin: 50% 4. Lee: 47% 5. St. Johns: 46% 6. Nassau: 46% 7. Indian River: 46% 8. Monroe: 45% 9. Charlotte: 45% 10. Sarasota: 45%

by Anonymousreply 267Last Sunday at 9:02 AM

So what’s the path if Biden loses Florida, North Carolina, Texas and Arizona? What if he loses Pennsylvania, is that it?

We need to get rid of the electoral college if he wins. This wouldn’t be a nail biter at all if there was no electoral college.

by Anonymousreply 268Last Sunday at 9:06 AM

Other than high turnout, what are the party splits in Sumter? Seems to be bellwether of whether 45 can win FL

by Anonymousreply 269Last Sunday at 9:08 AM

[quote] So what’s the path if Biden loses Florida, North Carolina, Texas and Arizona?

Those are all traditionally red states, R268. Biden doesn't need to win them and isn't expected to. If he does, then it's a landslide. The focus is on Mich, Pa, Wis - the swing states, where he seems to be leading.

by Anonymousreply 270Last Sunday at 9:20 AM

2016: Sumter, 69% for Trump, 39% Clinton

by Anonymousreply 271Last Sunday at 10:16 AM

Collier was 62% Trump

by Anonymousreply 272Last Sunday at 10:16 AM

Lee was 59% Trump

by Anonymousreply 273Last Sunday at 10:17 AM

St Johns was 65% Trump

by Anonymousreply 274Last Sunday at 10:18 AM

Nassau was 74% Trump

by Anonymousreply 275Last Sunday at 10:18 AM

Sarasota was 54% Trump

by Anonymousreply 276Last Sunday at 10:19 AM

Monroe was 52% Trump

by Anonymousreply 277Last Sunday at 10:19 AM

Charlotte County was 62% Trump

by Anonymousreply 278Last Sunday at 10:20 AM

Only nine of Florida’s 67 counties voted for Hillary

by Anonymousreply 279Last Sunday at 10:21 AM

R268, I would think if Biden doesn't win PA and Florida he would be in some trouble.

And it would make a Trump victory more likely.

by Anonymousreply 280Last Sunday at 10:24 AM

Winning Florida is super difficult. Biden is more likely to win Arizona, Maybe even NC

by Anonymousreply 281Last Sunday at 10:26 AM

We used to hope for huge Democratic votes in Miami-Dade to offset Republican totals elsewhere, but this year Republicans are running unusually strong in early voting in M-D.

by Anonymousreply 282Last Sunday at 10:27 AM

Miami Dade : 608K Votes 40% of total reg Broward : 509K votes 41.2% of total reg Palm Beach 393K Votes 39.4% of total reg

Florida Total 5.7M Votes

by Anonymousreply 283Last Sunday at 10:31 AM

Did anybody read that dense, right-wing Fake News feed @ r266? What's the Cliff's Notes version?

by Anonymousreply 284Last Sunday at 1:47 PM

Politico calls Florida for Biden.

POOR BORIS!

Offsite Link
by Anonymousreply 285Last Sunday at 2:02 PM

Fuck party registration.

Exit polls of ACTUAL EARLY VOTERS show 58% HAVE VOTED FOR BIDEN.

TRUMP ONLY HAS 39% OF THE VOTE SO FAR.

Poor Boris.

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by Anonymousreply 286Last Sunday at 2:06 PM

R285, not really. He’s ahead right now, but Trump will get the majority of his votes on Election Day. Biden needs to run up his firewall as high as he can get it. It all depends on turnout.

by Anonymousreply 287Last Sunday at 2:07 PM

Another problem for Boris and Il Douche is that 68% of Floridians voted before Election Day in 2016 and Florida announces its vote tallies daily.

We know that Biden is going to win the early vote and we'll see the supermajority on Monday, Nov. 2 in Florida.

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by Anonymousreply 288Last Sunday at 2:25 PM

Oh but let’s keep letting Cubans into the country.

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by Anonymousreply 289Last Sunday at 3:41 PM

SW Florida is *so* hardcore-Trump, there was literally not a single Republican for ANY office in the primary back in August who even dared to damn Trump with faint praise. Had the primary been porn, every candidate would have been shoving each other aside to eagerly service him and take his load on their face & in every hole possible.

We're talking about an area that's had shouting matches at county commission meetings between old people terrified of dying from c19 and libertarian nutjobs trying to make it a criminal act for businesses to refuse entry or service to the non-masked. One guy was literally foaming at the mouth when a commissioner asked him how he reconciled his anti-government-interference-with-private-businesses ideology with demands for the government to force businesses to accommodate their demands. I wish someone had gotten the guy's reaction on video as the other commissioners chuckled. It was truly Youtube/TikTok-worthy. I swear people like him have literally no self-aware sense of irony or hypocrisy. Gub'mint bad, bad, evil... until Home Depot & McDonalds corporate offices decree nobody can enter without a mask... then, the gub'mint needs to ban masks.

by Anonymousreply 290Last Sunday at 10:29 PM

R282 Cubans!! That’s a big reason why.

by Anonymousreply 291Last Monday at 1:54 AM

48% of democrats and 43% of republicans have voted in Florida

74/81 breakdown in 2016

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by Anonymousreply 292Last Monday at 5:41 AM

🌴🏖️ FLORIDA 🏖️🌴

5,960,798 votes cast (mail + in-person EV)

Democratic: 2,534,813 (42.5%) Republican: 2,179,256 (36.6%) NPA/Other: 1,246,729 (20.9%)

Dem lead decreases to 355,557

~314,141 ballots were processed today

by Anonymousreply 293Last Monday at 5:45 AM

Cuba - 85

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by Anonymousreply 294Last Monday at 6:02 AM

Man accused of stealing bulldozer to destroy Biden signs in Florida

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by Anonymousreply 295Last Monday at 8:12 AM

Democrats are playing in a battleground map of 17 states—when all they needs to do is flip the right three.

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by Anonymousreply 296Last Monday at 8:12 AM

BREAKING: Trump Pulls Florida Ads as Cash-Poor Campaign Enters Final Week @MarioDParker via @bpolitics

by Anonymousreply 297Last Tuesday at 11:07 AM

WOMP WOMP, Brokeahontas!

by Anonymousreply 298Last Tuesday at 11:46 AM

RCP moved FL in Trump's column

by Anonymousreply 299Last Tuesday at 1:04 PM

The guy in that photo is NOT a younger Cuban.

At my polling place in Broward, there were about 50 cars parked in the lot. Two had enormous Trump flags mounted on the pick-up park.

They have to add the fanfare, or everyone would realize it's literally just two guys.

by Anonymousreply 300Last Tuesday at 1:23 PM

Deplorables, that’s why.

by Anonymousreply 301Last Tuesday at 1:57 PM

[quote] RCP moved FL in Trump's column

I saw that as well. He's pulled into lead, but barely.

by Anonymousreply 302Last Tuesday at 2:24 PM

R299, stop fucking lying. It keeps moving back and forth and it was always a toss up state in RCP. Not that I care much about RCP.

by Anonymousreply 303Last Tuesday at 2:42 PM

Florida VOTE-BY-MAIL (9:15 PM UPDATE)

Democratic: 1,939,852 (+628,557) Republican: 1,311,295 NPA/Other: 948,456 Total 4,199,603

UNRETURNED BALLOTS: Democratic: 741,195 (+182,613) Republican: 558,582 NPA/Other: 496,168 Total: 1,795,945

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by Anonymousreply 304Yesterday at 5:28 PM

@KevinCate

·

18h

GOP turnout advantage in Miami-Dade is still increasing. 55% of MD GOPs have voted vs. 49% of

@FlaDems

. That's compared to 48% GOP turnout statewide and 51% Dem turnout. That's 39k extra votes Dems would have right now if we were just matching GOP turnout there.

by Anonymousreply 30516 hours ago

NBC/Marist poll of Florida Biden 51% (+3 from Sept) Trump 47% (-1) Oct 25-27, +/- 4.4%

by Anonymousreply 30616 hours ago

Nail biter.

by Anonymousreply 30715 hours ago

How many times do we have to talk about the damn Cubans as if it's new? They've always leaned Republican.

by Anonymousreply 30815 hours ago

Because we're looking for generational change, r308. I belonged to a group that outsiders expect to be conservative/ Republican. It was more Democratic (including me) than most would guess. So, while I realize stereotypes may have a grain of truth, they're not always right.

by Anonymousreply 30913 hours ago

People forget that radical or significant generational change is the exception not the rule. Most young generations end up adopting the beliefs and views of their ancestors. They grow up in our in and absorb the values of their parents and grandparents.

by Anonymousreply 31013 hours ago

Well, Democrats still have more registered voters in Florida overall, more early votes in and Biden is winning all the latest polls.

by Anonymousreply 31112 hours ago

But Democrats need to turn out more voters in pivotal Miami-Dade

by Anonymousreply 31212 hours ago

Florida demo is shifting, look where Biden campaign makes stops in the final days. It's not Miami or Broward. We get too obsessed over every little detail. Like Cubans and trying to convince every lazy Dem voter to vote. While Dem turnout is important, in swing states like FL, it's not them who deliver the win. Biden's strategy has been to target white voters who voted Trump or didnt vote last time. Based on all data its working.

by Anonymousreply 31312 hours ago

How is Orange County doing)

by Anonymousreply 31412 hours ago

In the Monmouth Florida poll, 58 percent of voters have already voted.

Among those who already voted, Biden leads by 20 points, 59% to 39%.

Among those who have yet to vote, Trump leads by 15 points, 53% to 38%.

by Anonymousreply 31511 hours ago

[quote] Based on all data its working.

Link?

by Anonymousreply 31610 hours ago

r315 So based on these #'s, assuming 100% turnout for those who have yet to vote and 0% rejected of those who voted, 50% for Biden, 45% for Trump and 5% for neither. It is indeed close but 5% seems high for the rest

by Anonymousreply 31710 hours ago

TOTAL REGISTERED DEMOCRATS IN FLORIDA: 5,203,795

TOTAL REGISTERED REPUBLICANS IN FLORIDA: 5,020,199

TOTAL REGISTERED UNAFFILIATED: 14,065,627

Boris's beloved "ground game" in Florida couldn't register more voters than the Democrats have, especially with all the new and independent voters the primary brought in.

Why didn't the Florida GOP attract more registered voters if they "knocked on a million knobs per day?" There might be a chance that a Republican lied.

And those 14 million Unaffiliated voters are skewing BIDEN nowadays. What's a Boris to do?

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by Anonymousreply 31810 hours ago

In-person voting doesn't matter if the Democrats' voters still outnumber Republican votes. As of today:

Florida Democrats with a 206K vote lead over Republicans (2.99M vs 2.78M). 1.77M mailed ballots to be counted.

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by Anonymousreply 31910 hours ago

Unsurprisingly, this reflects how the surveys say everyone is going to vote:

FLORIDA:

BIDEN: 50% TRUMP: 48%

Oct. 24-28 Monmouth University

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by Anonymousreply 32010 hours ago

Florida looks like a gun cocked to Biden's head in that photo above.

by Anonymousreply 3219 hours ago

Broward Co., FL just passed the turnout mark of 60% of all registered Democrats having voted. Overall turnout stands at 54% of all registered voters and almost 83% of 2016's total vote. Reminder: greater turnout in Broward = greater margin for Dems (why Biden is there today).

by Anonymousreply 3228 hours ago

r318 your math is incorrect. The entire population of Florida (including teens and children is 21,000,000. The registered voters you listed add up to 24,000,000. I suspect that the non-party affiliated voters number is a misprint. There are probably 4,500,000 unaffiliated

by Anonymousreply 3238 hours ago
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