FLORIDA Among Hispanic Voters: Trump 45% (+2) Biden 43%
@QuinnipiacPoll, LV, 8/28-9/1
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FLORIDA Among Hispanic Voters: Trump 45% (+2) Biden 43%
@QuinnipiacPoll, LV, 8/28-9/1
|by Anonymous||reply 323||8 hours ago|
Because many of the people in Florida vote according to how well the stock market is doing.
|by Anonymous||reply 1||09/03/2020|
FLORIDA Biden 48% (+3) Trump 45%
@QuinnipiacPoll, LV, 8/28-9/1
|by Anonymous||reply 2||09/03/2020|
Florida has a heavy cuban population and they still hate Obama for going to Cuba - as well as most cubans who come here are republicans.
|by Anonymous||reply 3||09/03/2020|
There aren't many Cubans outside the south east. But yes, they are Rubugs and were so before Obama. They regard the GOP as the business party.
|by Anonymous||reply 4||09/03/2020|
Venezuelans also tend to be Republicans
|by Anonymous||reply 5||09/03/2020|
I know columbians in florida - big Obama supporters who were pissed he went to cuba. Not only Cubans hate castro
|by Anonymous||reply 6||09/03/2020|
"Look at those Republicans, up to no good I'll be bound."
|by Anonymous||reply 7||09/03/2020|
Floridians LOVE that Trump is threatening to deplete their Social Security.
|by Anonymous||reply 8||09/03/2020|
The 'Cubans' in Miami and environs are all business. They're US citizens, most of them, that's why I use the inverted commas.
|by Anonymous||reply 9||09/03/2020|
Biden will win Florida.
|by Anonymous||reply 10||09/03/2020|
Which is why you don’t see people flip out about Cuban or Venezuelan immigrants. They vote red. It’s all about who they vote for. Conservatives demonize any group who doesn’t buy their bad policies. Yes, they are the business party-for only business and not 99% of us who are workers.
|by Anonymous||reply 11||09/03/2020|
Fear, uncertainty, doom!!
|by Anonymous||reply 12||09/03/2020|
There are huge communities of Puerto Ricans in Hillsborough County and the Orlando area (seminole/orange).
|by Anonymous||reply 13||09/03/2020|
The Cuban-Americans flip out about non-Cuban arrivals all the time.
|by Anonymous||reply 14||09/03/2020|
Some people feel safer with a Big Daddy at the helm, bossing everyone around. Look how many dark-skinned countries have dictators.
|by Anonymous||reply 15||09/03/2020|
Puerto Ricans and Dominicans are not turning out to vote anywhere near their numbers in Florida
|by Anonymous||reply 16||09/03/2020|
One of my favorite things Obama did was revoke the Wet Foot, Dry Foot policy which favored Cuban exceptionalism.
|by Anonymous||reply 17||09/03/2020|
There's a reason Orlando leans left--the only county (two counties) that is reliably democratic outside of Brow, West Palm, and M-D.
|by Anonymous||reply 18||09/03/2020|
Why aren't whites voting their best interest in Florida?! Fuck! They are stupid.
|by Anonymous||reply 19||09/03/2020|
Big Daddy with Pretty. South, not FL. This is your entr'acte before you start eating each other for dinner like reptiles.
|by Anonymous||reply 20||09/03/2020|
Hispanics can be just as, if not more, racist than whites against blacks. The prioritization of the BLM message is admirable - but Dems are idiots for using it as a campaign slogan. They seem set on losing elections on principle - I’m sick of it.
|by Anonymous||reply 21||09/03/2020|
R21 Sooo cowtow to racists? Hispanics are just as dull as whites if they think most conservatives think they are anything above a servant.
|by Anonymous||reply 22||09/03/2020|
There's not a race problem in America really. There's a wealth disparity problem. Cops earn 80k on average. That's a good fuckin job! They are arresting poor people that can't make a living
|by Anonymous||reply 23||09/03/2020|
[quote] That's a good fuckin job!
It's danger money.
[quote] They are arresting poor people that can't make a living
They are killing them, esp if they are black.
All part of the price built into the checks and balances of the Founding Fathers.
|by Anonymous||reply 24||09/03/2020|
The rich play everybody for fools. My god we’re stupid. How do people vote republican? They offer nothing to anybody earning less than 10 million.
|by Anonymous||reply 25||09/03/2020|
Cops make 80k - retire at 48 - and then get 80k for the REST of their lives without working, it’s not the salary - it’s the pension that makes it a golden job. Yes, they take on risk - but that’s why they get pensions worth millions. Why we treat cops like self-sacrificing volunteer firefighters when they are well-paid public employees of US is the issue. Cops sign up for the benefits - and the power trip. We need different cops.
|by Anonymous||reply 26||09/03/2020|
[quote] They offer nothing to anybody earning less than 10 million.
It's called Deliverance
|by Anonymous||reply 27||09/03/2020|
God only knows what you’re trying to say there, R20.
|by Anonymous||reply 28||09/03/2020|
AND YET, BIDEN HAS BEEN WINNING FLORIDA POLLS FOR 2 YEARS.
Trump's neglect of the pandemic and all the senior citizens dying there makes it easy for Democrats to win Florida.
Boris OP = FAKE NEWS
|by Anonymous||reply 29||09/03/2020|
Why I think Florida will vote for Biden:
1. Florida voted for Obama/Biden in 2008 and 2012. 2. Trump won FL in 2016 by just 1.2 percent and Joe Biden is a much different candidate than HRC. 3. Yesterday's Opinium poll has Biden +7. 4. A proposition on the ballot to raise the minimum wage to $15 per hour will lead to high turnout among poor voters. 5. 75,000 Puerto Ricans moved to FL after Hurricane Maria and I don't think they liked his paper towel stunt. 6. Hundreds of thousands of elderly white people have passed on since 2016 (not COVID-related). 7. The unemployment rate is 11.4 percent due to COVID.
|by Anonymous||reply 30||09/03/2020|
538's FL forecast: Trump 41 in 100, Biden 59 in 100.
|by Anonymous||reply 31||09/03/2020|
All I remember are the ancient Jews in the old days, through their Rodenstock Senators, telling the networks that they didn't understand what a chad was and they had no idea about the difference between dimpled and hanging. Quaint.
|by Anonymous||reply 32||09/03/2020|
R31, you still believe in those wack forecasts? For real, bruh???!!! 🙄
|by Anonymous||reply 33||09/03/2020|
[quote]that's why I use the inverted commas.
They're called quotation marks, dumbass R9.
|by Anonymous||reply 34||09/03/2020|
High falutin commas.
|by Anonymous||reply 35||09/03/2020|
Nate Silver: Given rapid improvement in many economic indicators, and fairly high approval for Trump on the economy, the idea that Trump is doomed to lose because of the economy seems pretty miscast at this point. It really might be a *comparative* strength of his.
|by Anonymous||reply 36||09/04/2020|
Trump’s budget has a $2 TRILLION cut for Medicare, Medicaid, and social security.
Will the Floridian elderly love that?
|by Anonymous||reply 37||09/04/2020|
Will democrats know how to use that as a potent political weapon?
|by Anonymous||reply 38||09/04/2020|
Hispanics tend not to have much common sense in general.
|by Anonymous||reply 39||09/04/2020|
Nate Cohn: One thing that seems pretty real: Arizona to the left of Florida. It was true in 2018. With the exception of a fleeting period in July, it's been true in the polling for most of this cycle. Arizona is not a huge state, but under the right circumstances it's a very important shift
|by Anonymous||reply 40||09/23/2020|
Why is it so hard for Republicans to stay within their mandate?
NEW POLLING AFTER GINSBURG'S DEATH SHOWS BIDEN WINNING FLORIDA AGAIN:
[quote]The poll shows that a majority of likely voters nationally — 57 percent — do not believe that Trump should be able to nominate a replacement for Ginsburg. A little more than a third of respondents — 37 percent — say that he should fill the open seat.
Change Research/CNBC 9/18 - 9/20 = 100% polling after Ginsburg's death and Republican intentions announced.
|by Anonymous||reply 41||09/23/2020|
Those Hispanic voters are Cuban. They make great food, but man, are they stupid. And racist.
|by Anonymous||reply 42||09/23/2020|
[quote] One of my favorite things Obama did was revoke the Wet Foot, Dry Foot policy which favored Cuban exceptionalism.
|by Anonymous||reply 43||09/23/2020|
[quote] Hispanics tend not to have much common sense in general
They are easily fooled. Next thing you know they are on a one way ticket to the UK for a long life of servitude to me.
|by Anonymous||reply 44||09/23/2020|
r42 is correct, those Latino republican voters are mostly white Cubans and Venezuelans. I live in South Florida. These are white Cubans who have done well for themselves, because South Florida is a haven for Latinos. Marilyn Milian of the People's Court is a great example. Big donor to the Republican party.They vote Republican because their parents did.
The Republican party at large could give two shits about people of Cuban descent in Florida, but Cubans don't realize it because they have only ever lived in South Florida where Republican Latinos hold office. Hopefully now they will see the true nature of the Republican party.
|by Anonymous||reply 45||09/23/2020|
If the Democrats can't fix tap water contamination in Florida, they will never win there. You can't reason with people with dysfunctional brains. Floridian kids suffer from brain cancer the most in the country. SAD!!!!
|by Anonymous||reply 46||09/23/2020|
Oh yes, Trump is going to save their water!
|by Anonymous||reply 47||09/23/2020|
Based on his record, no way should Trump be polling anywhere above the teens. He's failed at everything for four long years.
If they re-elect him, they deserve every misery known to mankind.
|by Anonymous||reply 48||09/23/2020|
But we all will suffer
|by Anonymous||reply 49||09/24/2020|
God, how I wish Cuba were “liberated” so they could return “home”. F Castro.
|by Anonymous||reply 50||09/24/2020|
Biden should make it a point of ending Cuba’s current regime. That’s one overseas intervention I’d be ok with. Florida will turn blue in a year.
|by Anonymous||reply 51||09/24/2020|
[post redacted because independent.co.uk thinks that links to their ridiculous rag are a bad thing. Somebody might want to tell them how the internet works. Or not. We don't really care. They do suck though. Our advice is that you should not click on the link and whatever you do, don't read their truly terrible articles.]
|by Anonymous||reply 52||09/24/2020|
Maybe stop calling them "LatinX" and they will come around.
|by Anonymous||reply 53||09/24/2020|
Yeah, R53, I'm sure middle-aged Cuban Boomers have heard that term before.
|by Anonymous||reply 54||09/24/2020|
Fuck off, cunt.
|by Anonymous||reply 55||09/24/2020|
Cubans are the deplorables of the Latino population.
|by Anonymous||reply 56||09/24/2020|
Those aren't all Cubans in that poll, R56.
|by Anonymous||reply 57||09/24/2020|
Cubans either washed-up on the shores in an innertube and got citizenship- or they are the offspring of the boatlifts when Castro cleaned out his insane asylums.
|by Anonymous||reply 58||09/24/2020|
Something's in the water': Florida Republicans see surge in voter registration'
MIAMI — Republicans have closed the traditional voter registration gap with Democrats to an historically small margin in Florida, triggering a wave of Democratic apprehension in the nation’s biggest swing state.
Top Florida Democrats and longtime activists have increasingly groused in private that they feel pressure from Joe Biden’s campaign to refrain from door-to-door canvassing or holding voter registration drives due to the potential spread of the coronavirus and fears of muddying his messaging on the pandemic.
In the absence of such efforts, a concerted drive by President Donald Trump’s Florida campaign to register voters has helped cut the state’s long-standing Democratic advantage to fewer than 185,000 voters, a gap of just 1.3 percentage points, according to data from the Florida Division of Elections released this week.
“It’s late in the game now,” said state Sen. Jason Pizzo, a Miami Democrat. “There’s been no pushback from us, meaning that for every 100 doors that Republicans have proverbially knocked on, it’s not like they pissed people off to the point where they’ve run to the Democratic Party because they’re pissed at the GOP. It’s shown to be effective.”
|by Anonymous||reply 59||09/24/2020|
Going door to door works. Yes, even in a pandemic. Now Democrats are panicking. Told ya so
|by Anonymous||reply 60||09/24/2020|
Dems always seem to drop the ball in FL, covid or no covid. The party for some reason doesn't seem to get how important a state it is. We can still win without it but if we won it the GOP would have a difficult (almost impossible) time winning the presidency. We also need to be able to win statewide there as Rubio's seat is coming up in 2022.
|by Anonymous||reply 61||09/24/2020|
Why couldn't the Democrats in Florida do what Beto's group has done in Texas--all online? I don’t remember the numbers now, but I think Beto’s group has registered over a million new voters. We need a lot of new blood in the Democratic Party, people who are tech savvy and eager to try new ways of doing things.
|by Anonymous||reply 62||09/24/2020|
The Cubans vote predominantly Republican.
|by Anonymous||reply 63||09/24/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 64||09/24/2020|
[quote]Dems always seem to drop the ball in FL, covid or no covid. The party for some reason doesn't seem to get how important a state it is.
I just can't figure out why this is always the case. After the year 2000, you would think that they'd spend a sizable amount of time making sure Florida is a sure thing.
|by Anonymous||reply 65||09/24/2020|
I agree. Even this year, it’s seems Democrats are half-hearted about winning Florida and ready to concede the state. It’s disconcerting
|by Anonymous||reply 66||09/24/2020|
The FL Democratic Party is a poorly run mess. I think they only have a couple thousand in the bank. The DNC needs to clean house and completely revamp. There’s no reason whatsoever that both Gillium and Nelson had to lose in 2018.
|by Anonymous||reply 67||09/24/2020|
Stop blaming hispanics. They mostly live in south florida and that area is reliably blue. The main problem is the northern part of florida (panhandle, jacksonville etc). I believe Jacksonville is the largest red city in America
|by Anonymous||reply 68||09/24/2020|
No blame them r68. They are the ones who put Deathsantis over the top and caused Andrew Gillum to run with nasty hoes on meth.
|by Anonymous||reply 69||09/24/2020|
I just saw on MSNBC about how a lot of Democrats in Nevada are upset that Republicans have been going to door registrant a lot new Republican voters, but Democrats haven’t done anything like it. There is a feeling that Democrats unwisely unilaterally disarmed On the ground voter contact while Republicans have put the pedal to the metal.
|by Anonymous||reply 70||09/24/2020|
[quote] Beto’s group has registered over a million new voters.
Registered doesn't mean they vote, nor does it guarantee they vote Dem.
|by Anonymous||reply 71||09/24/2020|
R68 you know what they say about Florida...the further north you go, the more southern it gets
|by Anonymous||reply 72||09/24/2020|
Republican registrations skyrocketing in Florida
|by Anonymous||reply 73||09/24/2020|
F&F the lying Fake News troll @ r67..
The Democrats have five times as much cash as the Republicans at this point and stealing RBG's seat is only increasing their haul!
|by Anonymous||reply 74||09/24/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 75||09/24/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 76||09/24/2020|
I am always amazed at the hatred of Cuba when we have China’s dick so far up our ass it is touching our lungs. Since Trump has been in off Putin’s dick is so far down his throat it might rot off from gastric juices. Yet Cuba is evil in carnate.
|by Anonymous||reply 77||09/24/2020|
Don't tell me Trump isn't a "poorly run mess."
Trump bankrupts everything he touches. He has 6 corporate bankruptcies and he added $7 trillion to the U.S. national debt. He had to turn to Russian mafia rackets to bail his business failures out.
No banks will loan to him; no professionals will work with his companies. Trump is crazy and full of shit and he throws everyone he works with under the bus. That's why the Trump Organization is a sad, family crime operation.
Now this"economic genius" can't afford ads in Ohio and Arizona!
|by Anonymous||reply 78||09/24/2020|
Trump is a sociopath, a grifter and a traitor:
|by Anonymous||reply 79||09/24/2020|
The Demcrats are so flush with cash right now, they're going to flush the Republicans STRAIGHT DOWN THE SHITTER.
|by Anonymous||reply 80||09/24/2020|
[bold]Because the Democratic Party in FL is hopeless.[/bold] As a result, the last time we had a functioning government was under Charlie Crist in 2010.
Just a few notes, the experts can tell you more --
* The [bold]Democratic party runs what I call "great black hopes" for Governor[/bold]. None of them stand a chance in the northern part of the state.
* Other than Obama, [bold]no one has patrolled the I-4 corridor to GOTV, especially the Puerto Rican vote.[/bold] OTOH, slippery eels like Rick Scott do PR outreach.
* [bold]Old Democratic Bulls like former Senator Bill Nelson barely campaign.[/bold]Rick Wilson couldn't believe it.
* [bold]Voter suppression [/bold]- it is what it is. Can't be changed, the Democrats need to win despite the suppression. When I went to vote, I worried my signature might be different than it was all those years ago. The poll worker told me "Don't worry about that, we don't care." Guess what - we had a recount and ballots were thrown out for not having matching signatures.
* [bold]The Tell [/bold]
*[bold]Why did no one vet Andrew Gillum?[/bold] Bisexual meth addict. Reckless lifestyle. Why did the Democratic Party allow him to run? Why didn't the Republican Party drop oppo research on him? B/c the Republicans knew they were going to win. According to Rick Wilson, a Democratic candidate needs to poll 10% ahead to make up for the "structural problems." (Voter suppression, lack of GOTV, lack poll worker training, bad candidates, unwillingness to campaign, open racism.)
*[bold]But the Cubans! [/bold] Hialeah, the most Cuban area in Dade, is represented in Congress by Donna Shalala - personal friend of Hillary, lesbian and liberal. She beat a Republican, second-generation Cuban-American woman. So, when the Democratic party wants to, it can. It just doesn't seem to want to.
|by Anonymous||reply 81||09/24/2020|
[quote] Why did no one vet Andrew Gillum? Bisexual meth addict. Reckless lifestyle. Why did the Democratic Party allow him to run?
Anyone can run for office. Literally, anyone can register as a democrat--or republican--and either get enough signatures or sign a check, and presto, they're a candidate.
[quote] *But the Cubans! Hialeah, the most Cuban area in Dade, is represented in Congress by Donna Shalala
Hialeah is represented by Diaz-Balart who is a republican. There is a tiny portion of "industrial" Hialeah--mostly warehouses and auto parts sellers and junk like that--that is part of Shalala's district.
Your other points are true.
|by Anonymous||reply 82||09/24/2020|
This is Shalala's district.
|by Anonymous||reply 83||09/24/2020|
Is this Cubans? Didn't someone say here that Cubans don't associate themselves with Mexican Hispanics?
You know, because I base my political theories on random DL posts.
Good Damn, people. He's an asshat who would laugh and laugh if he saw your grandmother have a seizure just before getting hit by a bus. He'd do imitations of her at rallies if she wasn't one of his cult members.
Here's my new plan-let's have Trump interact with dogs on camera. My money is on the dogs sensing he's a fucker and not being comfortable around him. He'd show how terrible he is at interacting with kind, trusting souls.
We just have to put the dogs in witness protection afterward, because he'd definitely have them killed for embarrassing him publicly.
|by Anonymous||reply 84||09/24/2020|
Remember the video of him with the eagle?
It will be like that, only a sweet golden retriever cowering, then maybe biting his tiny balls.
|by Anonymous||reply 85||09/24/2020|
R74 hey galaxy brain, I was talking about the FLORIDA Democratic Party having no cash. That’s why I said the DNC needs to step in and clean up the mess of the party otherwise down ballot dems are going to get killed in FL
“ That issue appears to have continued with the party’s latest report. In one column of the report, Florida Democrats reported holding $741,829 in the bank at the end of August. In another column, the party said it had just $127,044”
The Republicans had $8 million
|by Anonymous||reply 86||09/25/2020|
DNC has plenty of national cash. They should be flooding FL with money and staff
|by Anonymous||reply 87||09/25/2020|
I agree that it's a huge mistake for Biden not to do door-to-door canvassing, voter registration and turnout efforts in the battleground states.
You can have the volunteers wear N95 masks, gloves, face shields and use temperature scanners.
The destruction of America, democracy, our economy and the plague are too important to toe the strictest social distancing lines.
If Biden loses, it will be because of this huge mistake.
So far, the polls say Biden just has to not be Trump.
|by Anonymous||reply 88||09/25/2020|
The state Democratic Party doesn't need the cash for the crucial contest. There are no senators up for re-election and only one House seat in question, which won't affect the House majority and probably remain blue.
The Biden campaign, the DNC and SuperPacs are the ones who handle the Presidential campaigning and they are flush with plenty of cash.
They're swamping Republican advertising right now.
|by Anonymous||reply 89||09/25/2020|
Same story in North Carolina, where aggressive door to door voter registration and engagement is yielding big gains for Republicans, especially in the populace Piedmont region of The state.
|by Anonymous||reply 90||09/25/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 91||09/25/2020|
It’s a huge mistake to unilaterally suspend door-to-door campaigning and ground engagement. Republicans are doing it more than ever, While Democrats have been virtually doing none of it. It can be done safely, and it’s stupid not to do so.
|by Anonymous||reply 92||09/25/2020|
You should not unilaterally stop doing something that helps win elections while the other side is going gangbusters doing that very activity.
|by Anonymous||reply 93||09/25/2020|
NEW Data for Progress poll puts Biden ahead of Trump in Florida, as usual for the last 4 years!
Date for Progress Sept. 15-22.
Tell us what a "trash" pollster Data for Progress is, Boris! Tell us how the Margin of Error is going to save The Godtoddler!
Tell us these numbers are just going to boost Trump when only polls with data AFTER Ginsburg's death come out.
COME ON, BORIS! TELL US!
|by Anonymous||reply 94||09/25/2020|
No lies detected
|by Anonymous||reply 95||09/25/2020|
Florida goes red a lot because the state has many carpetbaggers who dont vote. They have no real connections or history in the state, so they don't feel it's important to vote. As long as they don't have to pay state income taxes. South Florida in particular is a very weird place, very disconnected from the realities of the rest of the state, and really the rest of America.
|by Anonymous||reply 96||09/26/2020|
media is owned by republican donors. People hear right wing propaganda all day every day.
|by Anonymous||reply 97||09/26/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 98||10/06/2020|
He's got FL.
|by Anonymous||reply 99||10/06/2020|
Well, Florida has 21 million people. 1.2 million in Miami are Cuban or Cuban-descended.
|by Anonymous||reply 100||10/06/2020|
Tuesday Puerto Rican governor Wanda Vázquez Garced endorsed Trump
|by Anonymous||reply 101||10/06/2020|
John King said tonight that Biden has a comfortable lead most swings states according to polls. Florida is still close
|by Anonymous||reply 102||10/06/2020|
WTF. How much did they pay her?
|by Anonymous||reply 103||10/06/2020|
Her opponent won the election, but the court installed her instead.
Perfect for Trump.
|by Anonymous||reply 104||10/06/2020|
Is she a "she"?
|by Anonymous||reply 105||10/06/2020|
All incoming Cubans automatically receive government assistance and welfare. How galling these these cunts vote Republican.
|by Anonymous||reply 106||10/06/2020|
[quote] All incoming Cubans automatically receive government assistance and welfare. How galling these these cunts vote Republican.
They do not vote until they become citizens.
The ones of working age have jobs.
|by Anonymous||reply 107||10/06/2020|
R107 Obnoxious white wannabe Republican people.
|by Anonymous||reply 108||10/06/2020|
Is anyone shocked that people coming from Venezuela vote Republican? They have experienced the perfect implementation of socialism and are dying from it. The lucky few that can escape will never vote for a Democrat.
|by Anonymous||reply 109||10/06/2020|
I think the DNC should start movements to educate Latino voters in Florida about the true horrors of the Republican party, and that it is not the Republican party of 1980s anymore. The candidates never spend enough time doing it and Florida's elections are too close to continue letting Republicans blindly get the votes.
Hopefully if the next debate happens in Miami, Biden can shut down Trump over some Latino-centric issues. Cubans and Puerto Ricans have no reason to vote for Republicans in 2020, its asinine. Not even for this bitch with 10 chins.
|by Anonymous||reply 110||10/06/2020|
Most Cuban immigrants only use social welfare systems for a few months, if at all. They look around and see the parasites living generation after generation off of taxpayer cash and say “fuck that shit“.
Hispanics that have legally immigrated to United States are supporters of the loathsome Donald Trump because they don’t want lazy family members immigrating freely.
|by Anonymous||reply 111||10/06/2020|
R109 Venezuelans number 100,000 total in Florida. Fewer than that are voting. They're not as important as you or they think.
|by Anonymous||reply 112||10/06/2020|
R111 You sound like a MAGAt. Glad your boy is losing in a few weeks.
|by Anonymous||reply 113||10/06/2020|
Strategically, I prefer Biden.
Realistically, the chances of him winning are negligible.
Four years of demonization of potential Trump voters has grossly distorted polling numbers. A significant minority of people contacted by telephone or “in person” pollsters will lie about their intentions.
When any indication of supporting Trump can potentially end your career, voters take caution.
Ignore this at your peril.
|by Anonymous||reply 114||10/07/2020|
r112 you are aware that Trump won Florida in 2016 by only 112,911 votes
|by Anonymous||reply 115||10/07/2020|
R114 I see your MAGAt posts all over your history. You fool no one, MAGAt.
|by Anonymous||reply 116||10/07/2020|
R53 "LatinX" sounds like a laxative for Hispanics.
|by Anonymous||reply 117||10/07/2020|
You know what’s hilarious and dangerous? If you’re in Miami in even the wokest liberal, hipster, second and third generation Cubano mix group, drop something about Castro at least giving black folks literacy, healthcare and basic housing.
Watch them turn into screaming fascists.
|by Anonymous||reply 118||10/07/2020|
Whenever I see latinx I think it's pronounced latincs.
|by Anonymous||reply 119||10/07/2020|
R118 The good doesn't wash away the bad.
|by Anonymous||reply 120||10/07/2020|
Well, they’re idiots.
|by Anonymous||reply 121||10/07/2020|
“Biden moves ahead of Trump in poll of Miami-Dade's Hispanic voters” Miami Herald – October 1 thru 4, 2020 Biden – 57% Trump – 37%
|by Anonymous||reply 122||10/07/2020|
[quote]Most Cuban immigrants only use social welfare systems for a few months, if at all.
Most Cuban immigrants assume that any day now they will hop on a plane to Havana, move back into the ancestral casa and dig up abuela's silverware in the backyard.
|by Anonymous||reply 123||10/07/2020|
God, I hope Cuba is "liberated" soon, so they can move back.
|by Anonymous||reply 124||10/07/2020|
Florida Poll: Biden 49% (+5) Trump 44% Cherry Communications (R) 9/23-9/29 LV
|by Anonymous||reply 125||10/07/2020|
Any slippage for Biden among AA and Latin voters, may be more than compensated by Biden’s vast improvement among the more numerous White and Senior voters.
|by Anonymous||reply 126||10/07/2020|
The seniors don’t seem to be particularly enamored of Cheatolini. They may cancel out a lot of those recalcitrant Cubans.
|by Anonymous||reply 127||10/07/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 128||10/07/2020|
I heard that Biden was allowing door-to-door canvassing but I'm not sure in which state? Anyone know?
|by Anonymous||reply 129||10/07/2020|
Yes they really need to do it in Florida, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina.
|by Anonymous||reply 130||10/07/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 131||10/07/2020|
These legal immigrants are in for a rude awakening when the Supreme Court strips their citizenship and rolls back their rights.
|by Anonymous||reply 132||10/07/2020|
In ALL states.
|by Anonymous||reply 133||10/07/2020|
The lying, shitstain OP with his antiquated poll can lie about the "superior Republican ground game game" in Florida all he wants to.
The truth is, the Florida Republican Party wins by extreme voter suppression tactics as ruthless as the days of Jim Crow.
Florida made it illegal for anyone with a former felony conviction to vote, disenfranchising 1.4 MILLION VOTERS who are largely minorities who vote for Democrats.
THAT IS HOW TRUMP NARROWLY WON IN 2016.
Horrified Floridians overturned the voter suppression by passing Amendment 4.
But then, crooked Republican elites in the state legislature and Governor DeSantis amended the amendment — to force felons to pay off all legal fines and complete the terms of their sentences before being allowed to vote. It's a poll tax.
This is not a "good ground game" apparatus. This is CHEATING. This is elite power-stealing and people-fucking and contempt for democracy.
|by Anonymous||reply 134||10/07/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 135||10/07/2020|
lots of flies in florida
|by Anonymous||reply 136||10/07/2020|
The good news is that 280,000 new voters DID pay off their fines and are now eligible to vote. And Michael Bloomberg has raised $16 million to pay off even more felons' poll taxes before this year's election.
Donald Trump only won Florida by 112,911 votes in 2016. The Republicans no longer have this cheating advantage or some illusory "ground game" advantage.
Combine this with Trump's extreme corruption, pandemic neglect and Supreme Court power grabs infuriating voters, TRUMP AND THE REPUBLICANS ARE TOAST IN FLORIDA 2020.
|by Anonymous||reply 137||10/07/2020|
That's why pollsters like Quinnipiac, Ipsos, Saint Leo U., Cherry Communications, Global Strategy, Change Research, Siena College/NY Times and the U. of North Florida keep showing commanding leads for Biden in Florida in polls:
|by Anonymous||reply 138||10/07/2020|
This is why the polls are skewed.
11.7% of Republicans say they would not report their true opinions about their preferred presidential candidate on telephone polls.
In contrast, just 5.4% of Democrats say they’d be reluctant to share their true voting intentions — roughly half the number of Republicans reluctant to tell the truth on phone polls.
10.5% of Independents fell into the “shy voter” category, just a percentage point lower than how Republicans react to phone polls.
|by Anonymous||reply 139||10/07/2020|
R139, do you see the error in your logic? How was this poll conducted?
|by Anonymous||reply 140||10/07/2020|
Forget about Florida. There are more important states.
|by Anonymous||reply 141||10/08/2020|
Florida is the most important state. It's the biggest swing state and it has the power to kill Donald Trump's campaign unilaterally. Trump simply can't win without Florida.
Florida's also trending at higher margins for Biden than Ohio is.
Trump is FUCKED.
|by Anonymous||reply 142||10/08/2020|
Are you ready to place your $100 bet for who will win the Florida election, r139?
I am. We can put the money into an online escrow account / gambling vendor now.
|by Anonymous||reply 143||10/08/2020|
Florida is not the most important state and it's barely even a swing state anymore Dems don't need it to win and shouldn't waste time there.
|by Anonymous||reply 144||10/08/2020|
Democrats should go all in on winning Florida
|by Anonymous||reply 145||10/08/2020|
After the year 2000, everyone should know that Florida is the most important state, by numbers alone. It has by more electoral college votes than any other swing state in United States. You can call any presidential race once Florida's votes are in. The networks always wait to until after Florida's numbers are in, and then right after the winner is called.
|by Anonymous||reply 146||10/08/2020|
im cuban, this is what democrats should do to win cuban votes. it is easy, do what republicans do, but better. first, start talking about how they will destroy the communists in cuba by harshening the embargo, fully restrict the entrance of cubans to the country and deport them all back to cuba. remember that cubans are not very smart people, trust me they will be very happy.
|by Anonymous||reply 147||10/08/2020|
R147 "remember that cubans are not very smart people"
Your post has made that point abundantly clear.
|by Anonymous||reply 148||10/08/2020|
A lot of wishful thinking on this thread.
|by Anonymous||reply 149||10/08/2020|
Wishful thinking by naive, Republican trolls.
|by Anonymous||reply 150||10/08/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 151||10/08/2020|
Th PR endorsement isn't got to help.
|by Anonymous||reply 152||10/12/2020|
Imagine being Puerto Rican and voting for Trump after all he said about PR and his apathy for the people after the hurricane.
|by Anonymous||reply 153||10/13/2020|
You'd be surprised, R153.
|by Anonymous||reply 154||10/13/2020|
The Sanford, Florida rally was insane, thousands turned out
|by Anonymous||reply 155||10/13/2020|
Wow, R155: cult members in a very red area turned out to see their god in person.
|by Anonymous||reply 156||10/13/2020|
Sadly, r155, Biden just keeps climbing higher above the margins of error in Florida. This is the state that will kill Donald Trump's delusions on Election Night and those of all of his Deplorable suckers. Biden's growth trend here is simply amazing:
Oct. 2-11 Morning Consult
THANK YOU, FLORIDA, FOR SAVING AMERICA!
|by Anonymous||reply 157||10/13/2020|
Why is that "sad", R157?
|by Anonymous||reply 158||10/14/2020|
Not feeling super great about the weighted average of +4.5. I get that FL is always close, and this is huge compared to the normal split, but the media are putting forth the narrative about Latinos, and basically nudging Latinos to vote for Trump. They're making Latinos for Trump "a thing". Venezuelans, Cubans, etc.
|by Anonymous||reply 159||10/14/2020|
Ah some good news, though.
|by Anonymous||reply 160||10/14/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 161||10/14/2020|
Democrats are kicking Republican ass in early voting in Florida.
|by Anonymous||reply 162||10/14/2020|
This is why Hillary will win in a LANDSLIDE!
|by Anonymous||reply 163||10/14/2020|
Thank you, Tyler Perry!
|by Anonymous||reply 164||10/15/2020|
Sorry. - Tyler P. story
|by Anonymous||reply 165||10/15/2020|
There are too many shenanigans going on by both Trump and individual state election secretaries . I won't believe Democrats will win in typically red leaning states until the election results are officially in.
|by Anonymous||reply 166||10/15/2020|
WTF is R164's story?!
|by Anonymous||reply 167||10/15/2020|
No need now.
|by Anonymous||reply 168||10/16/2020|
INDOOR Trump seniors' rally right now. They're--no joke--dancing to YMCA waiting for the Cheeto in Chief.
Total DL catnip.
|by Anonymous||reply 169||10/16/2020|
Trump live on CNN now at FL seniors' rally, lying through his teeth.
His face is weirdly sunken.
|by Anonymous||reply 170||10/16/2020|
Correction: CNN cut away from live coverage after 5 minutes because there were too many lies to fact check.
|by Anonymous||reply 171||10/16/2020|
The puffiness in his face is gettin' real weird lately.
|by Anonymous||reply 172||10/16/2020|
That was hilarious, R169.
|by Anonymous||reply 173||10/16/2020|
R1699 Ironic how only the Village People are the only music act that is allowing Trump to use their songs at his rallies. Also ironic that Trump's homophobic anti-gay marriage supporters are dancing along to a song about gay men hooking up at the local athletic club.
|by Anonymous||reply 174||10/17/2020|
Florida Latinos are prime targets for receiving disinformation from bots on social media apps
|by Anonymous||reply 175||10/17/2020|
Those bots are laughable.
|by Anonymous||reply 176||10/19/2020|
Wake up Democrats!
Florida EV as of 10:30 AM
Dem 34,825 Rep 28,888
48/67 counties reporting
|by Anonymous||reply 177||10/19/2020|
[quote] Democrats are kicking Republican ass in early voting in Florida.
Today on Politico:
There is uncertainty, especially, about younger voters, who are returning ballots at a slower rate than older ones. That is typical, wrote Michael McDonald, who directs the Elections Project, in an analysis of the early vote last week.
Still, he said, “I predict in the coming weeks the Democratic narrative will change from euphoria over the apparent large leads in early voting to concern that a disproportionately large number of younger voters have yet to return their mail ballots.”
In any other year, Democrats would have a time-tested, if imperfect way to address their turnout concerns — thousands of volunteers and organizers knocking on doors to register voters and prod them to return their ballots. But Biden abandoned a door-knocking campaign due to concerns about the coronavirus until the final month of the election, ceding traditional field operations to Trump.
The effect that decision will have on the outcome will be impossible to fully quantify until the election is over. But it is one likely reason that Republicans have been able to make registration gains in several states, including Florida, where the GOP has significantly narrowed the party’s voter registration gap with Democrats.
“One big known unknown right now is how many Democrats return their ballots,” said Nick Trainer, the Trump campaign's director of battleground strategy. “In ‘16, you would have had a Democrat volunteer or operative knocking on a voter’s door in Orlando reminding them to return the ballot on their kitchen table or go to the polls. That’s not happening today.”
Yet many Democrats continue to suspect so-called quiet or shy Trump voters still exist — those who refuse to tell pollsters they support a deeply polarizing president. Many Republican Party leaders, especially at the local level, are convinced of it.
In addition, while Trump is behind in critical states, he is close to or within the margin of error in many of them. And that’s “after a f---ing historically awful year,” said Jeff Roe, the Republican strategist who steered Ted Cruz’s 2016 presidential campaign.
For Trump, he said, “The path ain’t closed.”
|by Anonymous||reply 178||10/19/2020|
There are a couple of reasons you see a large Republicunt presence in the Cuban community. For a start they fled a socialist country and they worry that the Dems will lean too far in that direction and it likely makes them nervous. Another reason is many of them are Catholic and have conservative religious beliefs and think abortion is wrong. That’s just what I figure their reasoning might be.
|by Anonymous||reply 179||10/19/2020|
This is how you win Florida
|by Anonymous||reply 180||10/19/2020|
Final Florida EV Update:
Rep 134,349 (+2,937) Dem 131,412 NPA/Others 48,169
Miami-Dade/Sarasota voted today but their returns will be available at 8am tomorrow
|by Anonymous||reply 181||10/19/2020|
#BREAKING @NBC6 Over 40,000 votes were cast in Miami Dade County on the first day of #EarlyVoting surpassing 2016 numbers. The final numbers will post online after all sites close.
|by Anonymous||reply 182||10/19/2020|
Florida Vote-by-Mail (VBM) Requests at 5,768,904 (45-31 DEM) with D advantage of 801,504
VBM Return Rate at 45% statewide
|by Anonymous||reply 183||10/19/2020|
Florida: In-Person Early: 313,930 (Rep +3k)
Vote-By-Mail: 2,631,580 (Dem +476k)
Statewide turnout is at 20%
|by Anonymous||reply 184||10/19/2020|
Early returns in Florida show the pre-Election Day electorate is currently trending younger than four years ago.
Florida voters under 65 years old accounted for about half the ballots cast, marking a 12-point uptick compared to this time in 2016.
|by Anonymous||reply 185||10/19/2020|
Duval County Early Voting Day 1:
In-person: Democrats: 15,866 GOP: 9,512 NPA: 2,837
VBM: Democrats: 42,014 GOP: 23,761 NPA: 11,969
Total: Democrats: 57,883 GOP: 33,289 NPA: 14,810
|by Anonymous||reply 186||10/19/2020|
You girls just "leaning" left, might wanna take a hint from those cubans in Florida. Just sayin'
|by Anonymous||reply 187||10/19/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 188||10/19/2020|
I wouldn't blindly assume early-voting registered Republicans are Trump voters. Party membership in Florida is a public record, and there are a lot of Floridian Republicans who are closet Democrats because they'd otherwise take HELL from their families if they officially switched.
On the other hand, I'd say Florida's INDEPENDENT voters are a major wildcard. A lot of true-believer Trumpets without family pressures quietly switched to 'independent' a year or two ago to avoid scorn from coworkers & customers, but have houses whose front yards are shrines to Donald Trump.
That said, I think it's safe to say that 99.997% of ballots cast by Florida's registered Democrats will be votes for Biden.
IMHO, 5-10% of registered Republicans in Florida will be voting for Biden. There are a lot of "never-Trump" Republicans in Miami, Orlando, and Tampa... and probably twice as many "never-AGAIN Trump" Republicans in the same cities.
Southwest & Northeast Florida are the hardest of hard-core Trump coastal strongholds. In my parents' city, a Biden bumper sticker would probably get your car keyed in a parking lot. But... that same pressure to not publicly dare to show support is quietly turning into angry grim determination to secretly vote for Biden, if only for the sheer joy of watching their neighbors cry when Trump loses.
It's also noteworthy that Trump's message of, "vote for me, or angry black people will riot in your town" elicits chuckles in Naples. Even my pro-Trump dad cracked a joke about how if Biden wins, MAYBE a black kid from Port Royal will get in his dad's Bentley & drive around Pelican Bay (blowing the horn) for an hour or two. Black protest, Naples-style. :-D
|by Anonymous||reply 189||10/19/2020|
[quote] I wouldn't blindly assume early-voting registered Republicans are Trump voters.
True. It's counterpart to places like Penn (with registered Dems).
|by Anonymous||reply 190||10/20/2020|
NC still has a lot of registered Democrats who vote Republican
|by Anonymous||reply 191||10/20/2020|
This election is going to be so tight and they rethugs have all kinds of stunts at the ready.
But the main play in the last 7 days will come out of nowhere. They will change the topic entirely.
This week, they are focused on picking off the the black vote and depressing turnout.
But there will be a new script
|by Anonymous||reply 192||10/20/2020|
They probably will drop their October Surprise Wednesday or Thursday so that it will be the big debate topic. They also could be waiting to drop it Friday or Saturday just in case Trump has a catastrophic performance and to make it the big Sunday show topic. They likely don’t want to wait until after Sunday to drop it because many millions more will have voted by then.
|by Anonymous||reply 193||10/20/2020|
[quote] But the main play in the last 7 days will come out of nowhere.
|by Anonymous||reply 194||10/20/2020|
[quote] they rethugs have all kinds of stunts at the ready.
Yeah r192, The Republicans hahahahahahahaha. Com' on!!
|by Anonymous||reply 195||10/20/2020|
Too close to call.
|by Anonymous||reply 196||10/20/2020|
This year, at least 75,000 Venezuelans are eligible to vote in Florida. One study found that 66% of Venezuelan voters in the state intend to vote for Trump
|by Anonymous||reply 197||10/20/2020|
Bloomberg’s Spending In Florida Reverberates
October 20, 2020 at 8:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 91 Comments
“Michael Bloomberg’s $100 million investment in Florida to defeat Donald Trump is recasting the presidential contest in the president’s must-win state, forcing his campaign to spend big to shore up his position and freeing up Democratic cash to expand the electoral map elsewhere,” Politico reports.
“Bloomberg’s massive advertising and ground-game spending, which began roughly a month ago, has thrown Trump into a defensive crouch across the arc of Sunbelt states. As a result, the president‘s campaign has scaled back its TV ad buys in crucial Northern swing states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan — a vacuum being filled by a constellation of outside political groups backing Joe Biden.”
|by Anonymous||reply 198||10/20/2020|
So Bloomberg is actually fulfilling his promise?
|by Anonymous||reply 199||10/20/2020|
Yep. But who is helping in Pennsylvania!?
|by Anonymous||reply 200||10/20/2020|
Biden raked in a lot of money last month and is still bringing in big bucks. He has money to spend. He’s running ads here in DC, which is completely unnecessary, because he will absolutely get most of the votes from DC, Northern Virginia, and the Maryland suburbs. So, I can’t believe that Biden’s campaign is hurting.
|by Anonymous||reply 201||10/20/2020|
R68 I used to think the same thing. I live in broward and have found that in past elections the wealthy neighborhoods just to the east of me had a republican candidate sign in every yard. Now I am seeing huge trump signs and huge flags in my neighborhood. The usual trump no more bull*hit flags. It’s horrifying. I would have never guessed that most of these people leant that way. Quite frankly I think that they hang those flags cause they don’t dare hang a confederate flag over their homes
|by Anonymous||reply 202||10/20/2020|
I forgot to add, the Trump yard signs with wire posts are really good for sounding down my piss slit.
But who can do that all the time? I need the wooden stakes attached to my imaginary Trump signs stacked together, 4 stakes or more, in order to stretch out my rectum, hit my prostate and cum.
Those are more expensive, so they're harder for me to find ‚— even in the never-ending ocean of Trump signs that is Florida.
|by Anonymous||reply 203||10/20/2020|
Child pron on the laptop won’t hurt his chances...
|by Anonymous||reply 204||10/20/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 205||10/20/2020|
Floridians care about child rape, especially because Epstein committed so many of his crimes in Florida right next door to Trump, while Trump was partying with Epstein.
Now that we know Trump tried to rape 13-year-old Katie Johnson at one of Epstein's parties, Trump won't be able to overcome Biden's lead.
|by Anonymous||reply 206||10/20/2020|
The lies flow freely through the liberal tears. I'll put money up that Trump will win. Its mind boggling people actually think Biden has a chance. There's going to be a lot of upset on here come election day.
|by Anonymous||reply 207||10/20/2020|
Where will you put up money, r207?
Are you ready to put up $100 now that Trump will win this election on BuddyBet?
|by Anonymous||reply 208||10/20/2020|
r114 ignores this at his own peril:
|by Anonymous||reply 209||10/20/2020|
Democrats being nearly matched by GOP in Dade County is bad sign
MIAMI-DADE Day 2 Early Vote: Rep 16,521 Dem 16,146 NPA/Other 9,263 Total 41,930 MIAMI-DADE Day 2 VBM: Dem 19,425 Rep 9,010 NPA/Other 8,779 Total 37,214
|by Anonymous||reply 210||10/21/2020|
President (Florida) Biden (D) 51% Trump (R) 47% 10/17-10/20 by Civiqs (B/C) 863 LV
|by Anonymous||reply 211||10/21/2020|
Biden's pulling ahead BIG in Florida!
Back to a 5-point lead in multiple polls:
|by Anonymous||reply 212||10/21/2020|
If Trump loses Florida his odds of winning reelection diminish considerably.
|by Anonymous||reply 213||10/21/2020|
R213, 99% of those following the election here already know that.
|by Anonymous||reply 214||10/21/2020|
Pundits on CNN discuss his other electoral college options with Ohio and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin being a likely path.
|by Anonymous||reply 215||10/21/2020|
cubans have an anti democrat propaganda youtube chanel made alex otaola. he tried to make it seem like blm are marxist that want to destroy our cities. now, they are linking blm with some far left riots in chile to prove that the democrats wants to bring these kinds of riots to the united states and start burning churches etc like communists are doing in chile.
|by Anonymous||reply 216||10/21/2020|
R210, do those numbers include both in-person voting and voting by mail?
|by Anonymous||reply 217||10/21/2020|
California tech millionaires/billionaires have been donating to a Democratic PAC. I read about this yesterday, but cannot find the article now. One of the guys was Moskowitz from Google. And they're supporting Hegar for Senate in Texas against Cornyn.
|by Anonymous||reply 218||10/21/2020|
biden has to clearly debunk the republican strategies toward venezuela and cuba. the democratic party must explain the readon why santions do not work to bring down those regimes. most venezuelan and cubans still believe the republican' promise that their sanctions will destroy those regimes. biden has to clearly say that all the united states can do, since it wont go to war with any of these two countries, is to sanction those countries and that these measures just wont work at all.
democrats will have a better chance of succeess with the cubans. as many cubans are already seeing that after more than 60 years those republicans economic sanctions for cuba are simply a failure. democrats can say that since the population of cuba is only 11 millions that it is extremely easy for the goverment to make that amount on a yearly basis and that the governement doesnt even spend 5000 dollar per capita. we dont have democrat politicians in miami who can truly explain this to cubans and break obce and for all their expectations on republican sanctions, which they use to gain votes.
|by Anonymous||reply 219||10/21/2020|
Latest from Florida.
|by Anonymous||reply 220||10/21/2020|
It fukin changes every day.
|by Anonymous||reply 221||10/21/2020|
|by Anonymous||reply 222||10/22/2020|
@umichvoter99 BTW there are 628,412 registered Democrats in Miami-Dade county. Which means there are 408,076 raw Democratic votes still sitting out there. If you know anyone who knows anyone, please work on making sure they vote. That's the entire focus.
|by Anonymous||reply 223||Last Friday at 4:50 AM|
We need emergency intervention in Florida. Get these Democrats to the polls!!! Now!!!
|by Anonymous||reply 224||Last Friday at 4:50 AM|
|by Anonymous||reply 225||Last Friday at 5:01 AM|
FLORIDA Biden 49% (+2) Trump 47%
@StPetePolls/@Fla_Pol, LV, 10/21-22
|by Anonymous||reply 226||Last Friday at 5:16 AM|
Any post debate polls?
|by Anonymous||reply 227||Last Friday at 5:26 AM|
Florida Presidential Polling:
Trump (R): 50% Biden (D): 46%
Rasmussen / October 21, 2020 / n=800 / Online
|by Anonymous||reply 228||Last Friday at 7:28 AM|
R228, that would translate into 2-4 point lead for Biden in all other polls, which is consistently stable for the past months.
|by Anonymous||reply 229||Last Friday at 7:31 AM|
|by Anonymous||reply 230||Last Friday at 7:33 AM|
Florida correct link
|by Anonymous||reply 231||Last Friday at 7:34 AM|
Biden, Harris, Obamas should camp out in Miami/Orlando, Philly/Pittsburgh, Dallas/Houston, ATL, Detroit, Cleveland/Columbus, Milwaukee, and RDU/Charlotte/Winston-Salem.
|by Anonymous||reply 232||Last Friday at 7:35 AM|
Florida: Turnout by party (as of last night - obviously has grown since then):
Dem: 39.8% GOP: 32.5% NPA: 24.7%
|by Anonymous||reply 233||Last Friday at 7:43 AM|
From Meredith College:
NORTH CAROLINA: Biden 48%, Trump 46% From Susquehanna Polling & Research:
FLORIDA: Biden 46%, Trump 46%
|by Anonymous||reply 234||Last Friday at 11:14 AM|
Projected shifts in Florida electorate Since Trump won by 1.2 points in 2016: ...Whites with no degree: -2.1% ...Whites with a degree: +0.1% ...Blacks: +0.6% ...Hispanics: +0.9% none of these shifts are favorable to the president
|by Anonymous||reply 235||Last Friday at 1:23 PM|
Dave Wasserman: Dems are deluding themselves if they think rural white voters aren’t going to turn out. It’ll be through the roof.
To me, the biggest remaining question mark is rural *nonwhite* turnout - esp. in FL/GA/NC/TX.
|by Anonymous||reply 236||Last Friday at 1:32 PM|
Both sides are depending on turnout at this point.
|by Anonymous||reply 237||Last Friday at 4:15 PM|
Although 85-90% of republicans are voting for Trump, the percentage of Republicans not supporting him is twice the percentage of Democrats not voting for Biden. Thus, it’s not entirely accurate to assume party registration equals a vote for the corresponding candidate.
|by Anonymous||reply 238||Last Friday at 4:22 PM|
Here's the summary from a Times article:
"Among Latina women, Biden leads Trump by a whopping 34 percentage points (59 percent to 25 percent). Among Latino men, Biden’s lead is only eight points (47 percent to 39 percent). These patterns are similar across both Latino college graduates and those without a degree.
"Stephanie Valencia, the president of Equis Research, which focuses on Latino voters, told us that its polls suggest that Latino men may have even moved slightly toward Trump this year. If so, they are the only large demographic group to do so."
"… what has alienated so many older, female and suburban voters is a key part of Mr. Trump’s appeal to these men, interviews with dozens of Mexican-American men supporting Mr. Trump shows: To them, the macho allure of Mr. Trump is undeniable. He is forceful, wealthy and, most important, unapologetic. In a world where at any moment someone might be attacked for saying the wrong thing, he says the wrong thing all the time and does not bother with self-flagellation."
If those numbers hold up, and the undecideds split, then Biden would win the Hispanic vote nationally by something like 22 points, roughly 60-38, given a couple of points to third party. Hillary won Hispanics by 38 points, 66-28. That's the reason a state like Florida is tighter than it otherwise should be, given so many areas that have shifted toward Biden.
This survey is interesting because Hispanics always tilt unusually toward a presidential incumbent, but I had never seen it broken down by gender. Maybe it has always been the males who are accounting for the bulk of that change.
|by Anonymous||reply 239||Last Friday at 5:02 PM|
The media are making Biden’s innocuous comment re phasing out oil eventually the top story. Not all of Trump’s crimes and lies. Jesus. They found their angle to bring it to the wire.
|by Anonymous||reply 240||Last Friday at 5:07 PM|
Sorry, guys, better start planning for 2024, it ain't happening this year. All the cool candidates from across the board and Biden is whom you came up with?
Go find your next charismatic Bill Clinton and start now. Four more years and the country will be ready to swing back to something new as usual.
|by Anonymous||reply 241||Last Friday at 5:13 PM|
[quote] "In a world where at any moment someone might be attacked for saying the wrong thing, he says the wrong thing all the time and does not bother with self-flagellation."
This summed it up.
|by Anonymous||reply 242||Last Friday at 5:16 PM|
Today's turnout numbers in #Florida (w/o Miami-Dade):
Dems: 156,902 (34.53%) Reps: 199,216 (43.84%) NPA/O: 98,310 (21.63%) Total votes: 454,428
#flapol #sayfie #election2020
|by Anonymous||reply 243||Last Friday at 5:34 PM|
Once Florida breaks off and sinks, we, as a nation, can rejoice.
|by Anonymous||reply 244||Last Friday at 5:37 PM|
Of course not.
Why would Boris want to include Florida's most populous county in his turnout numbers?
|by Anonymous||reply 245||Last Friday at 7:06 PM|
Sorry, psycho @ r241, the Turd Reich ain't happening this year. All the cool candidates from across the board and a batshit, failed casino owner agent of the Russian mafia who shits his pants before his dictator role models is whom you came up with?
Sorry, Boris, better start planning for 2024. I hear Godzilla and Voldemort are available. Go find your next charismatic psychopath and start now. Four more years and the country will be ready to swing back to the Bronze Age in your mind again. But you won't win.
|by Anonymous||reply 246||Last Friday at 7:16 PM|
Oh, look, St. Pete polls just put Biden ahead of Trump today, just like Survey Monkey.
Just like most of the other pollsters before Rasmussen rigged their results as usual to favor the Republican.
|by Anonymous||reply 247||Last Friday at 7:18 PM|
Uh-oh, looks like Florida added 1.1 million young voters between ages 18 and 34 since 2016 and 65% of them are voting for Biden!
What's going to happen when those 1.1 million liberal voters are added to the 1.4 million liberal voters freed after Florida repealed the voter suppression with Amendment 4 in 2018 and those are added to the millions of Florida seniors who don't want to die early, Boris?
OOPS, BITCH, YOU LOSE!
Toodle-loo, Turd Reich!
|by Anonymous||reply 248||Last Friday at 8:00 PM|
Look what happens to the early voter turnout in Florida when you DO include Miami-Dade County and all ballots cast so far:
FLORIDA 2020 GENERAL ELECTION EARLY VOTER TURNOUT AS OF 10/23/20:
Nice try, Boris! It's too bad Republicans can only run on lies anymore.
|by Anonymous||reply 249||Last Friday at 8:10 PM|
|by Anonymous||reply 250||Last Friday at 8:15 PM|
Miami-Dade's yesterday numbers:
Vote-By-Mail (21,966) Dem: 9,324 NPA/Other: 6,480 Rep: 6,162
In-person Early (42,929) Rep: 16,402 Dem: 14,989 NPA/Other: 11,538
CUMULATIVE MIAMI-DADE Dem: 244,649 Rep: 167,442 NPA/Other: 140,954
|by Anonymous||reply 251||Last Saturday at 5:17 AM|
@umichvoter99 Democrats only netted 1431 ballots yesterday in Miami-Dade. Republicans have not only made strong inroads in the early in person voting. They are now getting a decent portion of VBM.
|by Anonymous||reply 252||Last Saturday at 5:18 AM|
Florida‼️- 5.2 million Floridians have voted, 55% of all who voted in 2016.
By party affiliation: Democrats - 2,289,645 Republicans - 1,899,530 No Party - 1,029,570
Usually the GOP outvotes us early, but this is a close race. We need to work to get out the vote in FL!
|by Anonymous||reply 253||Last Saturday at 6:16 AM|
🚨TODAY is the last day to request a mail-in ballot if you live in Florida. Democrats lead over Republicans of already cast votes is shrinking by the day. Make your voice heard. #VoteBlueToSaveAmerica
Democrat > GOP lead margin:
10/22- 462,774 10/23- 427,517 10/24- 390,115
|by Anonymous||reply 254||Last Saturday at 8:06 AM|
"Toodle-loo, Turd Reich!"
One of our more "special" posters. Try to imagine what he/she looks like.
|by Anonymous||reply 255||Last Saturday at 10:11 AM|
|by Anonymous||reply 256||Last Saturday at 1:48 PM|
Yep, Repubs crashed NC’s early vote too
|by Anonymous||reply 257||Last Saturday at 2:01 PM|
[quote] By party affiliation: Democrats - 2,289,645 Republicans - 1,899,530 No Party - 1,029,570
"No Party" usually means Repub (or Bernie supporters).
|by Anonymous||reply 258||Last Saturday at 2:02 PM|
I’m getting worried about reports of massive turnout of Trump goons intimidating voters with raucous noise and in your face antics at polling places, especially in Pennsylvania
|by Anonymous||reply 259||Last Saturday at 2:24 PM|
The Florida Democratic Party is a disaster. They don't reach out for voter registration or turnout.
I wish Democrats would realize that and replace their leadership.
|by Anonymous||reply 260||Last Saturday at 2:27 PM|
Independents and "No Parties" are breaking for Biden this year: 46% versus Trump's 44%.
Not enough to win, President Cuck á l'Orange!
|by Anonymous||reply 261||Last Saturday at 2:27 PM|
r256 owned himself with:
[quote]The Democratic advantage was still huge as of Saturday morning: 387,000 ballots.
WOMP, WOMP, Boris!
|by Anonymous||reply 262||Last Saturday at 2:31 PM|
‘Florida Man Wouldn’t Even Do This Stuff’
- Barack Obama on Trump at rally
|by Anonymous||reply 263||Last Saturday at 2:34 PM|
Back of the envelop math for Florida. Dems lead ballots cast. By raw vote the lead is 364,162. By percent, it is 42.89% Dem, 36.43% GOP, 20.67% others.
GOP has more remaining registered voters who have not vote yet. The margin there is 234,158. (1/2)
|by Anonymous||reply 264||Last Saturday at 3:09 PM|
|by Anonymous||reply 265||Last Saturday at 5:17 PM|
Gillum was far too liberal for Florida. Socialism fear exploded. The Miami Herald and other Florida media reported on that immediately. Nominating Gillum was like nominating Sanders. Nominating Gwen Graham would have been like nominating Biden. All the difference in the world in terms of teflon, calm, and margin for error. Socialism would not have stuck. Florida Cubans are more right wing right now due to that idiotic nomination and the theme it enabled, of all Democrats as radical socialists. Graham led every pre-primary poll against DeSantis. Gillum trailed those polls. He got a bump of euphoria after the primary and everyone tried to pretend the ideology didn't matter. Then an astounding 46% of Floridians said Gillum was too liberal for the state.
That is a world record number. It should not be possible. It should not be possible even if Gillum's campaign theme was, "I am too liberal for this state."
Florida midterms are always much older, much whiter, and much more conservative than presidential years. The conservative liberal relationship shifted wildly from 36-25 in 2016 to 39-22 in 2018. That is all the difference between a swing state and a conservative state. But since our primary voters were totally clueless toward that type of shift in a Florida midterm, they brainstormed to nominate Andrew Gillum in a conservative landscape.
It doesn't matter if Gillum gave good speeches and was passionate. He was a poor ideological fit. For example, that 39-22 is almost exactly like an Ohio or Iowa ideological breakdown in a presidential year. Ohio 2016 was 39-20. Iowa 2016 was 40-23. Does anyone honestly believe we could get away with nominating Andrew Gillum in Ohio or Iowa? It was only the ineptitude of Ron DeSantis and the national slant of 2018 that made the race as close as it was. But now we're stuck with DeSantis and all these deaths and disaster due to bypassing Gwen Graham for an Andrew Gillum who obviously hadn't even been competently vetted within our own party.
I will never get over it. Obviously not as devastating as Hillary but I think about it every day.
|by Anonymous||reply 266||Last Sunday at 5:42 AM|
FL counties w/ highest turnout of registered voters so far:
1. SUMTER: 58% 2. Collier: 55% 3. Martin: 50% 4. Lee: 47% 5. St. Johns: 46% 6. Nassau: 46% 7. Indian River: 46% 8. Monroe: 45% 9. Charlotte: 45% 10. Sarasota: 45%
|by Anonymous||reply 267||Last Sunday at 9:02 AM|
So what’s the path if Biden loses Florida, North Carolina, Texas and Arizona? What if he loses Pennsylvania, is that it?
We need to get rid of the electoral college if he wins. This wouldn’t be a nail biter at all if there was no electoral college.
|by Anonymous||reply 268||Last Sunday at 9:06 AM|
Other than high turnout, what are the party splits in Sumter? Seems to be bellwether of whether 45 can win FL
|by Anonymous||reply 269||Last Sunday at 9:08 AM|
[quote] So what’s the path if Biden loses Florida, North Carolina, Texas and Arizona?
Those are all traditionally red states, R268. Biden doesn't need to win them and isn't expected to. If he does, then it's a landslide. The focus is on Mich, Pa, Wis - the swing states, where he seems to be leading.
|by Anonymous||reply 270||Last Sunday at 9:20 AM|
2016: Sumter, 69% for Trump, 39% Clinton
|by Anonymous||reply 271||Last Sunday at 10:16 AM|
Collier was 62% Trump
|by Anonymous||reply 272||Last Sunday at 10:16 AM|
Lee was 59% Trump
|by Anonymous||reply 273||Last Sunday at 10:17 AM|
St Johns was 65% Trump
|by Anonymous||reply 274||Last Sunday at 10:18 AM|
Nassau was 74% Trump
|by Anonymous||reply 275||Last Sunday at 10:18 AM|
Sarasota was 54% Trump
|by Anonymous||reply 276||Last Sunday at 10:19 AM|
Monroe was 52% Trump
|by Anonymous||reply 277||Last Sunday at 10:19 AM|
Charlotte County was 62% Trump
|by Anonymous||reply 278||Last Sunday at 10:20 AM|
Only nine of Florida’s 67 counties voted for Hillary
|by Anonymous||reply 279||Last Sunday at 10:21 AM|
R268, I would think if Biden doesn't win PA and Florida he would be in some trouble.
And it would make a Trump victory more likely.
|by Anonymous||reply 280||Last Sunday at 10:24 AM|
Winning Florida is super difficult. Biden is more likely to win Arizona, Maybe even NC
|by Anonymous||reply 281||Last Sunday at 10:26 AM|
We used to hope for huge Democratic votes in Miami-Dade to offset Republican totals elsewhere, but this year Republicans are running unusually strong in early voting in M-D.
|by Anonymous||reply 282||Last Sunday at 10:27 AM|
Miami Dade : 608K Votes 40% of total reg Broward : 509K votes 41.2% of total reg Palm Beach 393K Votes 39.4% of total reg
Florida Total 5.7M Votes
|by Anonymous||reply 283||Last Sunday at 10:31 AM|
Did anybody read that dense, right-wing Fake News feed @ r266? What's the Cliff's Notes version?
|by Anonymous||reply 284||Last Sunday at 1:47 PM|
Politico calls Florida for Biden.
|by Anonymous||reply 285||Last Sunday at 2:02 PM|
Fuck party registration.
Exit polls of ACTUAL EARLY VOTERS show 58% HAVE VOTED FOR BIDEN.
TRUMP ONLY HAS 39% OF THE VOTE SO FAR.
|by Anonymous||reply 286||Last Sunday at 2:06 PM|
R285, not really. He’s ahead right now, but Trump will get the majority of his votes on Election Day. Biden needs to run up his firewall as high as he can get it. It all depends on turnout.
|by Anonymous||reply 287||Last Sunday at 2:07 PM|
Another problem for Boris and Il Douche is that 68% of Floridians voted before Election Day in 2016 and Florida announces its vote tallies daily.
We know that Biden is going to win the early vote and we'll see the supermajority on Monday, Nov. 2 in Florida.
|by Anonymous||reply 288||Last Sunday at 2:25 PM|
Oh but let’s keep letting Cubans into the country.
|by Anonymous||reply 289||Last Sunday at 3:41 PM|
SW Florida is *so* hardcore-Trump, there was literally not a single Republican for ANY office in the primary back in August who even dared to damn Trump with faint praise. Had the primary been porn, every candidate would have been shoving each other aside to eagerly service him and take his load on their face & in every hole possible.
We're talking about an area that's had shouting matches at county commission meetings between old people terrified of dying from c19 and libertarian nutjobs trying to make it a criminal act for businesses to refuse entry or service to the non-masked. One guy was literally foaming at the mouth when a commissioner asked him how he reconciled his anti-government-interference-with-private-businesses ideology with demands for the government to force businesses to accommodate their demands. I wish someone had gotten the guy's reaction on video as the other commissioners chuckled. It was truly Youtube/TikTok-worthy. I swear people like him have literally no self-aware sense of irony or hypocrisy. Gub'mint bad, bad, evil... until Home Depot & McDonalds corporate offices decree nobody can enter without a mask... then, the gub'mint needs to ban masks.
|by Anonymous||reply 290||Last Sunday at 10:29 PM|
R282 Cubans!! That’s a big reason why.
|by Anonymous||reply 291||Last Monday at 1:54 AM|
48% of democrats and 43% of republicans have voted in Florida
74/81 breakdown in 2016
|by Anonymous||reply 292||Last Monday at 5:41 AM|
🌴🏖️ FLORIDA 🏖️🌴
5,960,798 votes cast (mail + in-person EV)
Democratic: 2,534,813 (42.5%) Republican: 2,179,256 (36.6%) NPA/Other: 1,246,729 (20.9%)
Dem lead decreases to 355,557
~314,141 ballots were processed today
|by Anonymous||reply 293||Last Monday at 5:45 AM|
Cuba - 85
|by Anonymous||reply 294||Last Monday at 6:02 AM|
Man accused of stealing bulldozer to destroy Biden signs in Florida
|by Anonymous||reply 295||Last Monday at 8:12 AM|
Democrats are playing in a battleground map of 17 states—when all they needs to do is flip the right three.
|by Anonymous||reply 296||Last Monday at 8:12 AM|
BREAKING: Trump Pulls Florida Ads as Cash-Poor Campaign Enters Final Week @MarioDParker via @bpolitics
|by Anonymous||reply 297||Last Tuesday at 11:07 AM|
WOMP WOMP, Brokeahontas!
|by Anonymous||reply 298||Last Tuesday at 11:46 AM|
RCP moved FL in Trump's column
|by Anonymous||reply 299||Last Tuesday at 1:04 PM|
The guy in that photo is NOT a younger Cuban.
At my polling place in Broward, there were about 50 cars parked in the lot. Two had enormous Trump flags mounted on the pick-up park.
They have to add the fanfare, or everyone would realize it's literally just two guys.
|by Anonymous||reply 300||Last Tuesday at 1:23 PM|
Deplorables, that’s why.
|by Anonymous||reply 301||Last Tuesday at 1:57 PM|
[quote] RCP moved FL in Trump's column
I saw that as well. He's pulled into lead, but barely.
|by Anonymous||reply 302||Last Tuesday at 2:24 PM|
R299, stop fucking lying. It keeps moving back and forth and it was always a toss up state in RCP. Not that I care much about RCP.
|by Anonymous||reply 303||Last Tuesday at 2:42 PM|
Florida VOTE-BY-MAIL (9:15 PM UPDATE)
Democratic: 1,939,852 (+628,557) Republican: 1,311,295 NPA/Other: 948,456 Total 4,199,603
UNRETURNED BALLOTS: Democratic: 741,195 (+182,613) Republican: 558,582 NPA/Other: 496,168 Total: 1,795,945
|by Anonymous||reply 304||Yesterday at 5:28 PM|
GOP turnout advantage in Miami-Dade is still increasing. 55% of MD GOPs have voted vs. 49% of
. That's compared to 48% GOP turnout statewide and 51% Dem turnout. That's 39k extra votes Dems would have right now if we were just matching GOP turnout there.
|by Anonymous||reply 305||16 hours ago|
NBC/Marist poll of Florida Biden 51% (+3 from Sept) Trump 47% (-1) Oct 25-27, +/- 4.4%
|by Anonymous||reply 306||16 hours ago|
|by Anonymous||reply 307||15 hours ago|
How many times do we have to talk about the damn Cubans as if it's new? They've always leaned Republican.
|by Anonymous||reply 308||15 hours ago|
Because we're looking for generational change, r308. I belonged to a group that outsiders expect to be conservative/ Republican. It was more Democratic (including me) than most would guess. So, while I realize stereotypes may have a grain of truth, they're not always right.
|by Anonymous||reply 309||13 hours ago|
People forget that radical or significant generational change is the exception not the rule. Most young generations end up adopting the beliefs and views of their ancestors. They grow up in our in and absorb the values of their parents and grandparents.
|by Anonymous||reply 310||13 hours ago|
Well, Democrats still have more registered voters in Florida overall, more early votes in and Biden is winning all the latest polls.
|by Anonymous||reply 311||12 hours ago|
But Democrats need to turn out more voters in pivotal Miami-Dade
|by Anonymous||reply 312||12 hours ago|
Florida demo is shifting, look where Biden campaign makes stops in the final days. It's not Miami or Broward. We get too obsessed over every little detail. Like Cubans and trying to convince every lazy Dem voter to vote. While Dem turnout is important, in swing states like FL, it's not them who deliver the win. Biden's strategy has been to target white voters who voted Trump or didnt vote last time. Based on all data its working.
|by Anonymous||reply 313||12 hours ago|
How is Orange County doing)
|by Anonymous||reply 314||12 hours ago|
In the Monmouth Florida poll, 58 percent of voters have already voted.
Among those who already voted, Biden leads by 20 points, 59% to 39%.
Among those who have yet to vote, Trump leads by 15 points, 53% to 38%.
|by Anonymous||reply 315||11 hours ago|
[quote] Based on all data its working.
|by Anonymous||reply 316||10 hours ago|
r315 So based on these #'s, assuming 100% turnout for those who have yet to vote and 0% rejected of those who voted, 50% for Biden, 45% for Trump and 5% for neither. It is indeed close but 5% seems high for the rest
|by Anonymous||reply 317||10 hours ago|
TOTAL REGISTERED DEMOCRATS IN FLORIDA: 5,203,795
TOTAL REGISTERED REPUBLICANS IN FLORIDA: 5,020,199
TOTAL REGISTERED UNAFFILIATED: 14,065,627
Boris's beloved "ground game" in Florida couldn't register more voters than the Democrats have, especially with all the new and independent voters the primary brought in.
Why didn't the Florida GOP attract more registered voters if they "knocked on a million knobs per day?" There might be a chance that a Republican lied.
And those 14 million Unaffiliated voters are skewing BIDEN nowadays. What's a Boris to do?
|by Anonymous||reply 318||10 hours ago|
In-person voting doesn't matter if the Democrats' voters still outnumber Republican votes. As of today:
Florida Democrats with a 206K vote lead over Republicans (2.99M vs 2.78M). 1.77M mailed ballots to be counted.
|by Anonymous||reply 319||10 hours ago|
Unsurprisingly, this reflects how the surveys say everyone is going to vote:
BIDEN: 50% TRUMP: 48%
Oct. 24-28 Monmouth University
|by Anonymous||reply 320||10 hours ago|
Florida looks like a gun cocked to Biden's head in that photo above.
|by Anonymous||reply 321||9 hours ago|
Broward Co., FL just passed the turnout mark of 60% of all registered Democrats having voted. Overall turnout stands at 54% of all registered voters and almost 83% of 2016's total vote. Reminder: greater turnout in Broward = greater margin for Dems (why Biden is there today).
|by Anonymous||reply 322||8 hours ago|
r318 your math is incorrect. The entire population of Florida (including teens and children is 21,000,000. The registered voters you listed add up to 24,000,000. I suspect that the non-party affiliated voters number is a misprint. There are probably 4,500,000 unaffiliated
|by Anonymous||reply 323||8 hours ago|
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