**OFFICIAL** 2018 Midterms Elections Thread Part 4! RESULTS!

So did America save itself?

**OFFICIAL** 2018 Midterms Thread Part 3!

Link to previous thread.

And I'll carry over here. The first election result is Dems taking over the governorship of Guam, something the GOP has held for the past 8 years. Not high profile, but it's something dammit.

[post redacted because linking to dailymail.co.uk clearly indicates that the poster is either a troll or an idiot (probably both, honestly.) Our advice is that you just ignore this poster but whatever you do, don't click on any link to this putrid rag.]

So what do you guys think the end result will be?

Dems winning both house and senate? Winning just house, winning just senate? Not winning either?

I'm hoping all the voter suppression stuff wasn't enough but I learned from 2016 to not expect good things and none of the senators are known pedophiles so we won't pull an Alabama on other deep red states.

YASSSSSSS

Florida....

R5 - Dems win House by 13 majority, Repubs keep Senate +1, Dem Governorpalooza~ (Go Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan! She's amazing but it's all Stacy Stacy Stacy).

Early exit polls: Health Care most important issue

[quote]winning just senate?

This is basically impossible. If the Democrats win the Senate if means we are facing a blue tsunami bigger than anyone anticipated, and they will win the House by huge magins.

CNN EXIT POLLS

This election is about Trump

About 4 in 10 voters turning out to vote across the country choose health care as the most important problem facing the country, and more, 7 in 10, say the nation’s health care system needs major changes. About 2 in 10 each choose the economy and immigration as their top issue, and 1 in 10 say it’s gun policy.

Calling the Poll Troll!

Oh my god I want Dems to win so badly but I just have a sinking feeling about this. There's so much that can be done to favor the other side ... low voter turnout, Russian interference, illegal and complicit miscounting. My fingers are crossed but the neck & neck aspect of so many races troubles me. Shouldn't Dems be projected to win by double digits, but so many races (including my backyard) are a dead heat. Nailbiting time.

WTF, the exits have higher Trump unfavorables but also higher % of people against impeachment and unfavorable of Mueller? How do you square that?

In Michigan it has been pre-existing conditions non stop by the Democrats

Gerrymandering needs to end. Might end in Michigan thanks to prop 2. Where else are people voting on it?

What are some of the best live steams or TV for election results? No cable here.

Basically I am cautiously optimistic that this will be a very good night by the Dems. By that I mean winning 40-some seats in the house, comfortably more than the 23 they need to flip it. I expect most of the red state Democrats to survive and that we can potentially flip Nevada and Arizona. Mind you this is not Senate control (which is pretty out of reach), but it would be a god-send of a night.

Of course, I could easily be wrong. I'm as nervous as anybody.

Beto!!

Michigan, Utah, Missouri, Colorado could end gerrymandering. It's on their ballots.

R17 try YouTube TV. Free trial. Has all the channels.

Voted yes on2 in Michigan

R17, here

R22 — nice!

[quote]I learned from 2016 to not expect good things and none of the senators are known pedophiles

He was a HEBEPHILE, R5, not a pedo. Don’t make me post that Wikipedia entry again.

Yeesh.

[quote]Russian interference, illegal and complicit miscounting

Both of these are gonna happen, especially the latter let's be real

At this point I'm just hoping dems can hang onto the number of senate seats they have now. If they lose even just one more it'll be impossible for anything good to get done.

R25

If they survive this senate map only losing net one seat that would still have to be considered a political win actually r27. Not what you want to hear, but it is the truth.

Triumph the insult dog is actually high-brow humor, ironically.

That was so hilarious.

Exit polls coming in....

Early exits:

56% say the country is on the wrong track

47% strongly disapprove of Trump

I’m bullish on the senate. If 10% of repugs vote dem in stateside elections, they the senate turns blue. More or less.

It’s very possible.

[post redacted because linking to dailymail.co.uk clearly indicates that the poster is either a troll or an idiot (probably both, honestly.) Our advice is that you just ignore this poster but whatever you do, don't click on any link to this putrid rag.]

R14 - I think it comes down to the general populace being sick and tired of constant NEGATIVITY, no matter where it comes from. You raise an interesting observation!

Beto was a punk rocker ??

R32 I can see Trumpsters being unhappy with him but STILL voting for him.

please please please r33

Is that hag hanging her purse strap on JFK's nipple?

Early exits:

43% support Kavanaugh confirmation

47% oppose it

Beto is so sexy I can’t stand it. His smooth skin, y’all body and huge hands. Yummm

Tall.

I'm a bag of nerves!

Early exits:

63% of first-time midterm voters going for the Dems

me too r43

R36, yes he was.

where is the Poll Troll? Poll Troll threads are the real election threads

NYT Results page:

Beto said he wasn't running for president if he loses tonight. Why the hell not!!!

Thanks R21 and R23. Much appreciated.

I'm getting scared bitches.

Florida's gonna go for Rick Scott again, aren't they?

I think bat boy is going to FINALLY be sent packing.

CNN Results page:

“Is that hag hanging her purse strap on JFK's nipple?”

R39 - Take a closer look - those are her sunglasses. Not that that makes it any less weird . . .

Here it comes.

I need a Xanax ...

It's raining pretty hard in NYC tonight. I voted before work, but I only have about three quarters of a bottle of wine and I think we're going to need more tonight. And the liquor store is across the street...

Like I said in the previous thread, my vote has very little effect on anything, but it was basically a straight D ticket. And almost all women. I couldn't bring myself to vote for Cuomo, so I wrote in Cynthia Nixon and Kathy Hochul. Upon reflection, I wish I'd written in Nixon and DL Icon and NY Semi-First Lady Sandra Lee.

Ended up doing Yes-No-No on the ballot questions.

Indiana sounds like a scary place. Red zone.

LOL! Anyone else catch MSNBC's opening? A bit overly dramatic, non?

I get it, r53. When the polls close, I'm gonna watch some movies and go to bed early. I’ll read the news tomorrow morning. I can’t bear another night like the one two years ago.

Electionland from ProPublica, Google, others.

[quote]Florida's gonna go for Rick Scott again, aren't they?

Latest forecasts show Nelson beating Scott.

And Gillum beating DeSantis.

But obviously the races in Florida are still close, so we'll have to wait & see the final results tonight.

[quote]A group of Georgia voters have filed a federal lawsuit in Atlanta to enjoin Brian Kemp from "exercising any further powers of the Secretary of State's Office in presiding over the 2018 general election, in which he himself is a candidate."

This won't do anything, will it

McGrath lost. Noooo!!!

Lawsuit again Kemp.

R66?

For the elders like me, who still watch cable, what network are you watching?

McGrath hasn't lost yet. There's only been a few hundred votes counted

MSNBC all the way.

Watching msnbc nothing on McGrath

Kentucky ^ (McGrath)

Donnelly losing in Indiana, NOT a final vote. He's the Dem incumbent. Fuuuuuck.

FUCKKKKKKKKk Braun ahead

Here

Republican 10% ahead in very early returns in Indiana senate.

This could change.

But am I allowed to say FUCK INDIANA! FUCK INDIANA! FUCK INDIANA!

[quote]McGrath lost. Noooo!!!

Republican Barr is leading in the early votes now in, but the race isn't over yet.

Late polls showed the race almost tied, so it should narrow as the night proceeds.

KY and Ind all districts Reps are ahead. Not looking good.

How can you tell whose going to win when they've only counted a few thousand votes??

I'm not sure if I can watch much longer ...

Yeah, I'm going to pop back into this thread later before everyone here gives me a heart attack with their interpretations of results before they're even close to being counted.

I'm in Indiana. I'm worried about Donnelly, it will be close, but there are only like 2000 votes counted so far, so that means basically nothing.

R59 VOTN I just can’t with Cuomo either. If there ever is another DL New York meet up and women are welcome at that one I’ll tell you my Cuomo story.

[quote]Donnelly losing in Indiana

Late polls for Indiana showed Donnelly's lead narrowing after he voted against Kavanaugh.

He had a bigger lead earlier in the Fall.

But he still had a narrow lead in some polls, and the 538 forecast gives him the edge.

Texas

Guys FF and block the trolls like r66.

It'd be great if McGrAth could win or be very close to start us off on a good night.

*SLAP*

Pull yourselves together!

So, what's Husted stolen so far today?

[quote] If there ever is another DL New York meet up and women are welcome at that one I’ll tell you my Cuomo story.

Oh, my darling... you can tell us here. We're here for you.

Thanks r87. Done!

VOTN AND Poll Troll.

It’s a DL reunion!

Della? Who else is here lurking?

I love the way Wolf Blitzer bosses around John King.

Is McGrath the honorary lesbian gal?

What good are exit polls when over 35 million voted early.

I'm expecting repubs to pick up a couple senate seats and hold the House by maybe ONE seat.

But with delayed counting of mail votes and court challenges it won't be decided tonight anyway. I'll be watching netflix, same as I did in2016.

For Indiana, Gary, Indiana which is very Democrat, the polls close an hour later than the rest of the state because they are the same time as Chicago while the rest of the state is on eastern time, so wait for those returns to come in before you decide what is final there.

I’m not ready. I was going to take a shower and light candles and play relaxing music and roll a joint.

Stop the presses!

I thought she's an out lesbian.

Lots of young people waiting in line in Arizona on MSNBC right now.

Kentucky and Indiana are very red. My hopes there weren't high to begin with.

Calm down, Jackies, it's early.

That line in AZ looked like a Taylor Swift ticket line

I was watching MSNBC when they started to interview this old woman in Texas and I had her pegged as a Ted Cruz supporter and then she opened up her coat to show her Beto t-shirt and started crying. It was touching.

r105 stop spamming all the threads with the same fucking news stories you nitwit.

[quote]CNN is reporting the Dems are losing every race so far. Getting trounced by the Republicans.

That's because the only districts reporting right now are Republican areas in Indiana & Kentucky.

22 year old who just voted all Democrat in South Carolina here! The majority of people in my polling place are AA and it was a great turn out, even at 6 PM. My parents who also live in SC voted all Dem was as well.

I haven't read the entire thread yet but about the Issa story... how can the retiring incumbent concede defeat? He's retiring. Wouldn't it be the guy running for his seat who'd need to concede?

Beware the gloom trolls in this thread ...

Hey Elder Lez, I'd like to hear your story.

I really hate how the long lines in urban areas due to voter suppression tactics (and just having more than 5 people in your county) make it so they're some of the last to report.

I'm aware that the small precincts always report first. Still. About to pour a glass of wine.

We are still less than 1% of the vote in KY6.

It’s late in Europe. Like always I get to sleep and when I wake up many of the results will be in. I just hope I won’t wake up into same kind of nightmare I did in 2016. The morning I couldn’t believe the news. Hopefully dems have learnt their lesson and will have victorious results.

Nice, R108. Thank you for voting!

I'm not going to worry about Kentucky and Indiana. How many minorities really live there? The young kids dancing in the voting line in AZ are excited to vote as they should be

Thank you Hun R108.

R106 I just logged on to DL and it is the first time I posted it, so STFU you stupid fucking dumbass

Please F&F and block r120

Funny photo of McConnell voting today -

Sometimes I wish we really did split the country and then see who thrives and who maybe begs to be let back in/reunify.

That Arizona ASU report was awesome.

Calm down everyone. Kentucky and Indiana House wins would be huge, but not necessary for Dem control.

[quote] how can the retiring incumbent concede defeat? He's retiring. Wouldn't it be the guy running for his seat who'd need to concede?

Precisely my thought when earlier I saw the Daily Mail story. He personally conceded when he chose not to run, but the seat is not his to concede.

r120 is also the "McGrath lost" troll

Waiting on Virginia-10. Throw out Comstock.

It's just a couple trolls trying to fuck with people r125, if people would just FF them we could be rid of their bullshit.

I think the we will pick up Arizona and Nevada Senators. But who do we lose?

R123 It's not really north vs south and fly over states, it's urban vs rural (and white/straight/etc vs minorities tbh). Much more difficult to split that way. Now if you forced all the rural and conservative people in general into just a few states and closed them off then yeah I'd like to see that.

Heidi in ND seems like a sure goner r130.

ugh all this waiting is so annoying. I want it to be 3 hours from now when results are rolling in

R125, but Donnelly's win in Indiana is key to taking the Senate. Without him, no hope of that happening.

In Indiana most the state will show up red, but most of the Donnelly votes will come from just three counties, Marion (Indianapolis), Lake County ( Gary), St. Joseph ( South Bend). Expect most of the rest of the state to show up Red. Monroe County (Bloomington, Indiana University) might go red but we aren't talking a lot of votes out of there.

Wonder what horrible shit Kemp is doing right now to cheat.

Rural, republican counties being the first to report always fucks with people every.single.election.

Buckle up. We’re in for a bumpy night.

r117, if you mean representational minorities, more than 52% if you count all the women.

Dana Bash wearing virginal white tonight.

"Based on these early numbers, here's what we know: Dem ballot gains in Clark are canceling out usual Election Day losses in Washoe and rurals. So it comes down to this: If GOP getting crossover votes and/or indies going their way, the marquee races will be tight. If not...."- Jon Ralston.

Who's Jon Ralston??

Remember the suppression in North Dakota.

The guru of Nevada politics.

[quote]Waiting on Virginia-10. Throw out Comstock.

Comstock has been trailing in every poll for months, so she is one of the most likely Republicans in the House to be defeated tonight.

Will this thread going to part 4 affect the midterms?!

r144 also I hate her stock photography site.

[quote]CNN is reporting the Dems are losing every race so far. Getting trounced by the Republicans.

Is this person also a troll? This is a very trollish thing to post, this early after the first polls have closed and the count has barely begun.

Also, who cares about KY and Indiana?

What r143. You'd be hard pressed to find someone who knows Nevada politics better than Jon Ralston.

WKYT TV in Lexington just reported that McGrath has a lead in the absentee ballots, and about a 3,000 vote lead in the precincts reporting in Fayette Co (Lexington).

Yes it’s a troll. She does this every election. FF to oblivion.

I love you, Midterms Concern Troll @ R145.

The other TROLL trolls all need to be FF’d and blocked. Stupid degenerates.

Jon Ralston is an expert on Nevada numbers, and has been studying voting statistics in NV for years.

He predicted last week that Rosen (D) will beat Heller (R) by 2 points tonight.

I wish every important state had a Jon Ralston. He actually found some posting errors by Secretary of State and had them correct them!

KY and IN are important.

We need Donnelly to keep his seat in the senate.

And KY6 flipping means we are in for big Democratic wave tonight. Don't freak out if it doesn't, but it is the earliest indicator of a wave election.

I am tempted to turn off the tv, close my laptop, silence my phone, read a book, and read the news in the morning.

This stress is too close to 2016.

Look out, Chris Matthews has joined the MSNBC panel. Hope everyone is wearing a tarp.

[quote]This stress is too close to 2016.

MARY! We don't know anything yet. We haven't really started.

But do whatever makes you feel better.

I'm playing random YouTube videos on my TV. My only news source at the moment is the NYTimes, Twitter, and this thread. Lovely pinot noir, though.

R155, yes. I'm having a weird flashback feeling. Not comfortable.

You can watch a live stream of MSNBC here. Chris Matthews and Brian Williams are insufferable (and Kornacki is his usual hyper self), but Rachel Maddow makes it worth it.

The only good thing about this night is that I started a diet a few weeks back and I feel so nervous that I'm not hungry at all despite having not eaten since lunch.

R155, you shouldn’t be stressed. This is the highest midterms turnout in, what, almost 50 years? This is the highest level of engagement in many of our lifetimes. You could worry if the turnout was *pathetic*— that would be bad news. This is great news.

One other thing about Indiana. Hillary lost there tremendously. The race for Senate there tonight, judging from the 1% of the vote that’s been tallied, is a lot tighter than that.

[quote]Wonder what horrible shit Kemp is doing right now to cheat.

For one thing, he pulled the plug... literally...

Thanks for putting it in perspective r162

Hahaha

[QUOTE]GOP gubernatorial candidate Brian Kemp also had a voting issue today. When he tried to vote, his voter card said "invalid."

R160, how DARE you. Brian Williams is the greatest. What has he done to annoy you?

FF for r164.

I wish the trolls would at least try a new line.

I’m an Australian and I’m madly refreshing to see the results. My fingers are crossed, the whole world needs a blue wave tonight.

[quote]I’m already seeing a ton of red on CNN and it’s not loooking good. Republicans way ahead in every race.

The only one that was even expected to be close was KY6, and even with the minimal returns, it's narrowed considerably.

R163 When does Georgia finishing polling? Were they the ones that was told to stay open later due to people not being able to vote early on?

What does psychic kitty say?

Rural votes get counted first. The map will always look very red in those areas where cows outnumber people.

MSNBC is showing 67% of voters wants to keep Roe V. Wade as it is while 24% want to overturn it, so why is this even an issue?

R 141, is that the good news that it sounds like? My understanding is that GOP is not likely to get much of the Independents so am I reading that correctly that it looks like a good D night?

I see R164 cleared its cookies, or switched from phone data plan to wifi, or opened a private browsing window, or something.

Fuck off R164. We’re onto you. We’re all watching the same results, so don’t even bother.

Yes r176. Jon Ralston is predicting the Dems will take over the senate seat and governorship in Nevada. The numbers he is seeing today back up that feeling.

Also of note, the repugnant Kim Davis is on the ballot for Clerk in Rowan Co Kentucky. Remember her? Frau who refused to issue marriage licenses for gay people.

26 y/o from Oklahoma here! Just finished voting. The women who worked the polls today (lolz) were excited as my tiny, rural community hit 100 ballots filled today for the first time! Exciting times, it is major turnout for us here too!

#Vote4Drew #bluewave

Hi fellow Aussie. I'm in Europe so it's already 12.40 am but I feel I need to stay up late enough to know that the House looks good for the Democrats. Finger's crossed too - it impacts our American friends the most but as you, the world needs to see a repudiation of Trump and all he and his cronies stand for.

With only 1% of the vote in KY6, it is already very close.

[quote] The map will always look very red in those areas where cows outnumber people.

Cows can vote in rural areas?

Was McGrath/Barr supposed to be a dead heat?

R124 can you or someone else post a link of said report ?

R181, you should go to bed. The House hinges on CA and their polls don’t close until 12AM Pacific Time. They might not know for days. Pace yourself.

R181 - nice to hear from another Aussie. Exactly, repudiate the Cheeto!

Yes, R185.

Final polling for Kentucky 6 showed the race basically Tied.

Originally the Dems weren't expected to be able to win it r185, but as indicators looked surprisingly good it was switched from lean R to toss up.

A dem win there means we are definitely in for a nice wave.

R186 maybe you could go to the MSNBC website and see if you can find it.

Thanks R187 but I can give it another hour or so and another cup of tea. I work from home so can sleep all day tomorrow.

Ari Melber is one hot Jew.

CNN has Democrat McGrath ahead with only 1% of the vote.

Kentucky's website has JACK SQUAT!

R185, McGrath and Barr are basically tied, which is fantastic news. If Lucy can carry this, it is a better than expected outcome.

While it doesn't matter much to us, Guam elected a Democratic governor, which is a party switch. The governor-elect is a woman, and the lieutenant governor-elect is gay.

As someone with a serious dork fetish, I'd forgotten how hot Kornacki can be.

Kentucky 6 results are now falling into line with the latest polls.

It will be interesting to see if other polls for other districts also end up being this accurate.

Kentucky 6th has less than 5% of the vote in, might want to curb your enthusiasm. Either way.

I’m binge eating.

Great to hear from those of you in small towns, etc.

I’m streaming CNN and the dem candidate pulled ahead in Kentucky. Obviously early.

Anywhere the exit polls are "inaccurate" had the vote hacked. Exit polls are the only accurate polls.

I need a break. Gonna catch up on Days of Our Lives.

Scotland here - I'm streaming MSNBC live to follow the bun-fight. I'd forgotten just how frequent your ad breaks are compared to here in the UK. I was rather hoping for non-stop, uninterrupted, no-holds barred Steve and Rachel all night long.

Oh Lord, PLEASE!!!!! Smite Rick Scott!!! Smite 'em!!! I want Nelson and Gillum to win. That will be a double kick in the ass for that filthy piece of shit.

[quote]CA and their polls don’t close until 12AM Pacific Time.

That's not accurate.

They close at 8pm PST.

It looks like NYT already called the Kentucky district for the Republican

Why has CNN already given Indiana Senate to the Repugs on their site??

I think we need to look for small counties that hold their vote totals. That happened a lot in 2016. These small 2000 person counties not turning in the totals for no reason anyone could figure out and, surprise surprise, they were always Repug heavy and had just enough votes to make the difference.

NYT just posted the needle and I just had Nam flashbacks

They called KY05, which was not expected to be close.

R206 I have no clue what you are looking at but you are wrong.

Who are the Lesbians voting for?

I didn't know people outside the US knew about MSNBC, R203. Wow.

Because the person is trying to troll people r210.

Re Indiana/Donnely, this is what one of the people on the 538 live blog said ten minutes ago:

Looking for signs of what’s happening with Democratic incumbent Sen. Joe Donnelly in Indiana? In Bartholomew County, which had 1 percent of the state’s vote in 2016, a bit more than one-third of its precincts have reported. Trump won it by 33 points in 2016, and Donnelly lost it by 8 points in 2012. Currently Donnelly trails there by 9 points, which is close to his 2012 result when he won statewide by 6 points.

We’re both wrong, R205. They close at 11PM.

I'm ready! Got my Dove chocolate bites, My Stoli, My Baked brie

[quote] I didn't know people outside the US knew about MSNBC, [R203]. Wow.

I am not R203 but anyone in any country that frequents DL would know about MSNBC.

7 PM polls about to close.

r204 I smite Rick Scott with you.

McGrath pulled ahead on the Times.

I don’t know how I thought I could get through this without chocolate.

Bernie Sanders and Tim Kaine projected ELECTED.

Oh god Georgia starts counting. Polls closed except for that one county.

WOLF IS SCREAMING PROJECTIONS!!!

Loooord Georgia will be painful.

Kemp needs to be arrested.

I'm going to throw up. Gagging. Anxiety

[quote] Oh god Georgia starts counting. Polls closed except for that one county.

How many Russian votes will Kemp allow? The answer: Just enough.

MARY!!!!!!! r226

DURR I was looking at the wrong part of Kentucky somehow. Ignore me

Scott (R) leads Nelson (D) in early Senate numbers from Florida.

2% in.

Another here who needs chocolate. Dammit.

But r226 I'm right there with you

Too nervous to cook. Ordering Chinese. Still probably won't eat it.

Kemp doesn't need Russian votes, he just got rid of all the black people which would've been like half of the votes against him.

Me too, R226. If FL goes Repub, I’ll b crying all night.

So far I'm seeing more repubs ahead, ugh. Time to take a break. I'll check in later on.

Better get your tissues now R235

I'm a fucking nervous wreck. I'm literally shaking right now. I'm scared. I hope the democrats pull it off tonight.

Kornacki is hilarious.

DeSantis (R) leading Gillum (D) in FL GOV race early numbers.

But it appears to be mainly Republican counties reporting.

Democratic strongholds in Southern Florida aren't in yet.

I binged on fried chicken.

Now I think Nelson (D) and Gillum (D) just pulled ahead in Florida.

The early vote is always Repug because the small rural areas report first. The suburbs come in next. That's where the Repug women switching to Dem will kick in. Then, the Democratic urban areas report last.

Florida broke my heart last time, it mustn't happen again

Florida looking better now even without South Florida counting.

Gillum in lead.

R243 If republican women didn't care about Trump admitting to grabbing pussies they won't care about anything else.

Willie Giest is hosting MSNBC coverage from 2 AM - 6 AM Eastern Time.

No, they don't R215. Polls close in CA at 8pm. You're looking at the times in EST.

Come to my results party. You'll be fine. Until 3 PM tomorrow.

Orlando chiming in, I walked to my local polling place (Supervisor or Elections) on Kaley ave (the main hub) was told they were only accepting filled out ballots and were doing the early vote entries, and to go to a church 3 miles down the street. WTF I said to myself and left, as I left I talked to one of Gillum supporters on the corner who ended up going out of his way to drive me to the church so I could cast my vote. Fucking cool as hell on him! I did have to Lyft home, but, whatever I did my part.

I'm just confused why we rely on churches....

At least Florida will be one of the first states to go when the water rises more.

R243, that's what we were saying and expecting in 2016 with WI, PA, and MI...god that was awful. I am optimistic about the House tonight. The Senate is a long, long shot and even if Rs retain it--I would love to Ted Cruz lose to O'Rourke.

Kornaki is so handsome. Total husband material.

What color is Chris Matthews hair tonight?

Don’t plan on him letting anyone answer a question fully without being interrupted in the middle of it.

I think Maddow secretly hates him.

Wanna see daddy Brian Williams top Steve Kornacki. BB or course.

You're wrong, R247. Repug women are flipping in the suburbs now.

Hopefully Michigan had enough of the poisoned water already.

Steve Kornacki is going to have a massive heart attack if he doesn't cut back on those triple lattes.

FYI, CNN's stream is free tonight (no login required)

My psychiatrist looks like Ted Cruz.

Thanks r259

Michigan is voting on legalized pot, so that will get out the younger vote like nothing else.

CNN has the Democrat ahead in the Florida Senate, Florida Governor and Georgia Governors' races! Yipeeee!

St Petersburg flipped from red to blue so far. They went for Trump two years ago and look to be going strongly blue this time.

[quote] Me too, r226. If Florida goes Repub, I'll be crying all night.

You mean for Senate? It's already Repug, and Scott being reelected was predicted. Don't worry about the senate; we need to flip the house.

And Guilliam is ahead of Desantis, so it isn't over yet.

That's Gillum.

[quote]Scott being reelected was predicted.

What do you mean?

Link r265 on Scott claim?

Let’s leave the stats to the pros, thanks.

LIVE STREAM IS ONLY AVAILABLE IN USA, WHY??? SO UNFAIR

What about the bodybuilder vote?

NYT does not have Gillum ahead :-(

Scott is ahead, ugh.

R265, Nelson (D) is the incumbent Senator for Florida.

And latest forecasts show Nelson should beat Scott tonight and be re-elected.

[quote]NYT does not have Gillum ahead :-(

NYT results seem to be lagging compared to other sites.

[R269] try this link

The polls have been extended in three Gwinnett county (Georgia) due to problems with voting machines and long waits. They are all in minority precincts. The republicans tried to stop the extended hours but a judge ruled against them. One is open until 9:25pm.

R259 does MSNBC have a free livestream ?

[quote]LIVE STREAM IS ONLY AVAILABLE IN USA, WHY??? SO UNFAIR

Try here.

R269, here’s an MSNBC live stream:

R269 Try going to cnn.com (change the version from International to US) and you should get the live stream in the middle. It works for me at least, and I'm in Britain

Dems are leading in KY6 with 17% of vote in

What are other sites besides NYT which has a paywall?

So it's going to be "It's the economy stupid" when all is said and done again?

R276 !!! I want to believe this will help push Kemp to losing and yet...

Hey Poll Troll, why has CNN had Indiana Senate as a Repug win for the last half hour? They called it before they called Virginia and Vermont. Can't see how that works without Gary and Indianapolis in.

R269, a CNN Live Stream:

These early returns in the key races are meaningless.

[quote]Hey Poll Troll, why has CNN had Indiana Senate as a Repug win for the last half hour? They called it before they called Virginia and Vermont. Can't see how that works without Gary and Indianapolis in.

CNN has not called Indiana.

Braun (R) is leading, but it's still early.

Here’s another CNN Live Stream if the other one I posted doesn’t work. For those outside of US:

I need a little (serious) help. One of my good friends of several years confessed to me that he has NEVER voted because he grew up as a Jehovah's Witness. He longer attends the church but can't shake the not voting thing. This guy is the one work buddy I always talk politics with and he's a self professed Democrat and hates Trump. He'a black dude married to a white woman.

He's never told me that he doesn't vote. I FREAKED when he told me today and told him it was the same thing as not having a life saving surgery because one didn't want a blood transfusion.

I need a way to talk to him about this and I can't really come up with one. Any ideas?

MSNBC

A Democratic candidate for Congress in Virginia is named Cockburn.

I think we're all feeling it!

Queeny Tim Kaine projected winner in VA.

[quote]Nelson's 7 point margin in Pinellas County, Fla. early/abs vote is not a good sign for Scott.

[quote][R160], how DARE you. Brian Williams is the greatest. What has he done to annoy you?

Oh, brother. Brian Williams, the pathological liar??! THAT Brian Williams???!

White House officials are downplaying the polls and expressing skepticism

As they await results, White House officials are downplaying the polls and expressing skepticism, pointing to polls in 2016 as being off the mark.

They are hopeful it’s the same situation this time around.

“The President’s message on immigration is resonating and as we saw in 2016 I don’t think the polls reflect that," one White House official said. The source also says President Trump is “laying low now and watching tv like the rest of us.”

(TRANSLATION) They managed to SHUT HIM UP!!!!

[quote] What are other sites besides NYT which has a paywall?

You can click on all the races at this link no paywall, just click on the tabs that interest you.

Gillum is doing better than Clinton did almost everywhere in Florida. That is a good sign.

I think everyone is really interested in Beto, Abrams and Gillum, right?

NYT said no paywall tonight.

Nelson (D) and Gillum (D) have opened up 4-5 point leads in Florida now.

And that's before the Democratic strongholds in Southern FL are in.

And Jared Polis, cause I’m in Colorado

Dade is reporting R301

[quote]I need a way to talk to him about this and I can't really come up with one. Any ideas?

Tell him that he will be doing the work of Jesus by voting. Healthcare, taking care of the sick, brother's keeper, etc.

r251, gurl you cannot be a last minute lady in Florida. I live in South Florida and people were confused because locations that where used for early voting were CLOSED today. If you waited until Election Day to vote, you had to report your correct precinct to cast a vote in person!

R296 Hopefully this means that dems are gonna do really well and WH is just trying to not have Trump and his voters blow the hell up.

Or they're just signaling that Russia is gonna fuck shit up again.

The CNN election results map has Indiana as called for the Repugs. Bright red. The only other states colored in are the ones they've called.

House races are vital r299, thats what we have to win.

KY6 is looking pretty good so far.

Early votes are entirely counted in Hillsborough County, home to Tampa. (346,000 votes)

Senate

Nelson: 55.09%

Scott: 44.61%

Governor

Gillum: 54.94%

DeSantis: 43.77%

To all our friends worldwide who are watching along with us, THANK YOU for spending your time here. It's great to know we have worldwide solidarity.

People who don’t vote on purpose really turn me off. I just don’t get that. It’s actually a fun thing to do.

Weird, R290. Someone called in to the Michaelangelo Signorile show two days ago with your same exact story.

If Florida goes blue I’m gonna spend some time there this winter. How refreshing that would be.

R307, CNN has not called the Indiana Senate race.

Mike Pence's brother was elected in a House seat, though.

We love you [R310]. Just don't screw it up!

R307 No they don't Look at the key. That bright red means a lead of more than 10%. The colours won't change based on it being called, it's just about the current lead.

[quote]Dade is reporting

Thanks, R303;.

It started just after I posted.

Virginian here. Tim Kaine's win was a given. The race that has me chewing my knuckles is Dave Brat (vile Repug who won Eric Cantor's seat) vs. Dem/progressive Abigail Spanberger. He's a complete asshole. So hoping Spanberger pulls it out.

R302 I'm in Colorado too. I've talked to so many people that don't know Polis is gay even though he is very open about it and takes his husband everywhere. No one here cares about his sexual orientation and I think that shows how much formerly red Colorado has changed for the better.

BTW;

Beyoncé wants you to know she voted for Beto O'Rourke

with 41 percent reporting in the Kentucky 6th, and McGrath leads Barr 53 percent to 46 percent

CNN is reporting these areas with Rethugs in the lead (temporarily) to string along their Dem audience so we can stay up all night and stress. I will not be fooled by their Jedi mind tricks gurl!

Spanberger is leading so far.

Seeing how these vote tallies change so much, I'm so glad we don't have them in Britain. I enjoy our two hours of absolute boredom waiting for results over the heart-attack inducing leads flipping every couple of minutes!

C'mon, Amy! That early KY6 win would be amazing, it really means we are in for a nice night.

People are willingly voting for a man named Brat???

MMPH, Chuck Todd talking like it's going to be a Democratic Congress.

Which are the races we need to be watching?

For those of us who arent familiar with all the key races adding -D and -R to candidates names would be great if you can. But if you cant, thanks anyway.

Steve Kornacki has a raging hard on

Barbara Cumfuck's going down in Virginia!

Is he married?

[quote]Beyoncé wants you to know she voted for Beto O'Rourke

Too bad she didn't endorse him beforehand when it actually would have mattered

On the Kim Davis race in Rowan County, with 12 of 19 precincts reporting: Davis (R): 1783 Caudill (D): 2172

[Bold] YES! PLEASE! WHAT R329 SAID! THANK YOU!

Thanks, Voice (and great to have you on the board), fingers crossed Spanberger holds the lead.

So, if McGrath (D) is declared the winner in Kentucky, that's a pretty good bellwether for Dems for the rest of the night, no?

R328, watch the race in Maine-02.

If Jared Golden (D) beats incumbent Repubilcan Bruce Poliquin, 538 says it's a tipping point district that will indicate that Dems are on their way to winning the House.

[quote] Beyoncé wants you to know she voted for Beto O'Rourke

I'm howling, first time she says something is just 3-4 hours before polls close there.

Update on that bitch face Kim Davis....Kim Davis race in Rowan County, with 18 of 19 precincts reporting: Davis (R): 3234 Caudill (D): 3841

where is Della? Sure hope she’s ok. Maybe she’s hiding under the bed?

why are results so slow? when will we know if we won or not

McConnell was voted out ? Please tell this is true.

Yes, R326! He's a horror and aptly named.

[quote]So, if McGrath (D) is declared the winner in Kentucky, that's a pretty good bellwether for Dems for the rest of the night, no?

Yes.

Also watch the race in Maine-02.

If Jared Golden (D) beats incumbent Republican Bruce Poliquin, it will be a sign that Dems can win the House Majority.

Is this a gay guy who is challenging Davis?

Lots of blue on CNN

Feeling a little more relaxed

[quote]So, if McGrath (D) is declared the winner in Kentucky, that's a pretty good bellwether for Dems for the rest of the night, no?

Correct.

Yes r337!

It will be a a strong indicator that Dems have the House.

The Poll Troll is my FAV!

Yertle is not up but could lose his leadership. Long shot but fingers crossed.

[quote]When the polls close, I'm gonna watch some movies and go to bed early. I’ll read the news tomorrow morning. I can’t bear another night like the one two years ago.

I'm sort of doing that too. Right now, I'm watching a movie and avoiding some of the TV coverage on the election. But, I might tune in later to see what's going on.

Go Amy!!! McGrath (D) looking good with 60 percent in.

Southern Florida now reporting in larger numbers.

Nelson's lead is increasing.

Our boys grown up and now a full fledged doctor. *blushing*

Steve King's (R) campaign not allowing the media into his event

[QUOTE]Well, now no media is being allowed in to his event. Crews drove over 3 hours to provide our viewers equal coverage in Iowa's 4th Congressional district only to be held outside the door.

McGrath (D) in KY is ahead now.

YES!!!!!! Democrats are winning y'all, I'm so happy. Keep it up.

McGrath (D) needing a final push from the Frankfurters!

Gwinnett County, GA is a voting mess. I live in the affluent northern end of the county (yes, predominantly white) and voted in 15 minutes. There were at least 10 voting machines. In the southern end of the county which are predominantly African American, there were three hour long waits with only three voting machines. More were brought in after it hit the news. They also didn't provide power cords in the minority areas so after the batteries in the voting machines died people weren't able to vote. It doesn't take an Einstein to see what was happening here.

The best thing was that Brian Kemp's voter card showed up as invalid when he tried to vote. I'm sure that they fixed it for him.

VA-10 flips to the Democrats!

VA 10th district called for the Democrat. Republican incumbent Comstock loses.

If the Dems win big tonight I imagine the feeling I'm going to have is that euphoria you feel after you survive a car crash or something!!

MSNBC first blue flip reported! Whoooo

Virginia district 10 has officially flipped blue; magic number is now 23.

Wow, Bill Nelson winning by 6 points with 46% of the vote in.

BUH-BYE, REPUBLICUNTS!

Georgia is a fucking disgrace.

Virginia 10 flipped!

BYE-BYE BABS!!!!!

I keep wondering when these TV people go to commercial, I would love to see the mad dash they make for the restrooms.

Wexton (D) called over Comstock (R)

Congratulations to Congresswoman Wexton, and as a former resident of the Old Dominion, you're welcome.

I’m worried about Indiana senate though. Please assure me.... but pundits seem to say it looks rocky.

How is Conor Lamb doing?

Pence's older brother just won an election. Two of them now. Blech!

BREAKING: Greg Pence, older brother of Vice President Pence, has been elected to Indiana's 6th Congressional District, according to ABC News' projections

I grew up in VA-10 and my parents are still there, as are the parents of a very close friend -- all of them voted for Wexton (D)!!!!

Virginia should mandate a bi-partisan business initiative to become the #1 manufacturer of warming lube.

The product should be named:

Comstock & Cockburn Warming Gel

If Kemp wins what can we even do about what he did to win? Some voters have filed a lawsuit against him but i feel like that won't fucking do anything.

What's up with Beto?

I love that the numbers show that wherever Dotard goes, numbers drop.

[quote] How is Conor Lamb doing?

Pennsylvania voting goes on until 8 PM eastern time.

Early Democratic lead in the numbers for OHIO GOV.

Beto results still being decided polls in Texas close at 8 PM eastern time.

Texas hasn't closed yet and Beto's hometown, El Paso, will close a whole hour later than the rest of the state.

[quote]How is Conor Lamb doing?

Lamb is expected to win comfortably tonight.

The Republicans basically pulled out of the race against him about a month ago.

Someone has got to tell Steve Kornacki to tone it down a notch. Why is he yelling?

My chest is tight, y’all.

Manchin (D) leading in early numbers for West Virginia.

This tweet about Comstock was hilarious.

[quote]One of the most puzzling things this cycle is gonna be how much money the NRCC spent on Barbara Comstock so she could lose by 13 points instead of 15.

[quote]Someone has got to tell Steve Kornacki to tone it down a notch. Why is he yelling?

He only makes a little over$250K/year????

DISGRACE!

He needs a new agent

Steve Kornacki's a buffoon...

Kornacki is always frazzled r386. It is his "thing"

Nobody credible is predicting that the Democrats will take the Senate. But Democrats will make all the gains — maybe even match the Republicans' 50 seats.

when do last polls close?

Do you reckon Steve K's this intense in the sack?

Steve Kornacki was rather normal on his shows prior to getting the election reporting gig. I am assuming someone higher up told him to go loud and exaggerated in his speech and he has went with it ever since.

OMG R386 I was like a few moments from posting that. Dude nearly kung-fu kicked my eardrums with his voice.

I get it ! You like numbers and explaining things, but simmer down now.

Poll Troll I love you :)

The Dems are still looking good for KY6, 58% of the vote in.

People on Twitter are so funny.

[quote]when do last polls close?

Hawaii time.

4%.in Ga. but a huge lead for Kemp-R. Hoping is just early bit it's about 48K between the two.

I know daddy Beto won't win but damn would that be the most amazing thing if he did. Why do people in Texas even keep voting for Cruz? He's so unlikable.

Gwinnett County GA's poll hours have been extended; FUCK YOU, KEMP!

Where the fuck is everyone???? WAKE UP!!!!

[quote]he has went with it ever since.

thud

The media better report how much Kemp cheated if Stacey Abrams loses. I think I heard Georgia has a 30% black population. Blacks should be ruling the state with the help of white liberals.

What's happening in Georgia is criminal.

I like Kornacki’s schtick. He’s cute too

Nate Silver says things are looking good for the Dems to take the house

[quote]It's always hard to know, with a live election night model, whether you've got things set up too conservatively or too aggressively. But our model really likes how things are going for Democrats in the House so far.

Isn’t the guy running against Kim Davis one of the guys she denied a marriage license?

YAY That's my district! Goodbye Barbara Comstock!

I love Poll Troll too! Somebody else might dial it back a bit.

Polls do indicate that crooked asshole Kemp will beat Abrams r406 though.

Plus one for Dems in the House.

Kim Davis appears to have lost. The clerk in Rowan County, Ky., became a folk hero to social conservatives after refusing to issue same-sex marriage licenses. She trails Democrat Elwood Caudill by 54 to 46 percent, with 89 percent of precincts reporting.

R406 We all know that media won't report what Kemp did. They'll just say "Kemp put a lot of effort into his win", which is technically true but makes it sound like he went door to door instead of literally denying black people their right to vote.

Cordray (D) has a decent lead on DeWine for OHIO GOV with 17% of the vote in:

Brian fucking Kemp needs to be in prison. He’s a snake.

r402, they don't vote for him. The machines count for him.

CNN, CNBC call Jennifer Weston over Republican incumbent Comstockk!

FIRST PICKUP OF THE NIGHT! Yay,. Democrats!

R415, great news. Her race hasn't gotten the coverage you'd think it would. thank god

Republicans hold the Florida seat vacated by Ron DeSantis.

What's appalling is that it is as close as it is in Florida. That fucking state.

Kentucky is almost tied now with 70% reporting. Dammit!

I'm just happy to not have to see another fucking pro/anti campaign commercial on every fucking channel between Judy, Peoples Court, Dr. Phil and whatever other shitty day time shows I watch. The millions of dollars these fuckfaces spend on promoting themselves is sickening. May they all get ass cancer and die a slow painful death.

Sherrod Brown holds his Ohio Senate seat.

Thank you Poll Troll, we love you.

[quote]Sherrod Brown holds his Ohio Senate seat.

Yup. That was expected since he's been leading by double digits in the polls.

Dems also looking strong so far in the Governor's race.

Polls closing in the Central Time Zone.

Canadian here... can I ask... how are your votes counted? Is it all computerized? How quickly is a race declared?

I'm so glad it looks like the Democrats are flipping some Governors' seats. Hope the legislatures go blue too.

Democrats may be flipping a house seat in South Carolina. The Myrtle Beach-Florence area.

KY flipped back red

Each state is different r430, there is no nationwide system how elections are run.

*KY6

Yes, the 8 o’clock numbers. Getting real.

FL-27 flips to the Dems!

Nelson seems to be performing stronger than Gillum so far in Florida.

Florida 27th has flipped!

VA-5 stays Republican.

For an ugly Cow. Kim Davis sure likes to fuck. Rumor has it she was too interested in nabbing husband #4 than concentrate on her race for public office.

BETO TIME is cumming!

Shalala in!

How is that Bigfoot pron guy winning?

Kim Davis is into anal and scat.

If KY-06 is really close either way, that's a great omen!

Warren reelected in MA

Donna Sha-la-la! WINS!!!

Democratic Senators Warren, Murphy, Cardin, Whitehouse and Carper all Projected to be Re-Elected.

Steve Schimdt looks like he's in a daze on MSNBC.

Prayers for daddy Beto

Democrats need 21 to flip the House. How many number of races do we have where that's actually possible? Anyone know?

Dear Lord, please smite Brian Kemp. He is a piece of shit, dishonest and vicious and incompetent. He is a hateful man, so smite him, Lord. Also if you have time smite Karen Handel. The Republicans in Georgia are hateful Trumpanistas who promote hate. Smite 'em!

California will seal the House flip.

Rumor is that Trump is considering Cruz for Attorney General if he loses tonight

WOLF (D) re-elected as PENNSYLVANIA GOV

Ohio keeps their Democratic Senator in the US senate! YAY!!!

BAKER (R) re-elected as MA GOV.

R451, there are about 30 toss-ups.

"Election 2018 exit poll analysis: Record high turnout for nonwhites in Georgia races"

C'mon Spellman, AKA's, and Delta's, bring your sister over the finish line!

Spanberger holding the lead. Please god let her win so I can laugh in Brat's face next time I see him at Walmart.

Florida governor is insanely close. Not looking good.

"People are saying" r454?

R394, West Coast always closes at 7 pm PST or 10 pm EST.

FLORIDA SEN & GOV races are narrowing.

Beto is leading at 66%

California takes forever to count so if we're waiting on them to flip the house, we may not know for weeks. I hope we don't need those CA seats.

R460, does Brat work at Walmart?

[quote]Rumor is that Trump is considering Cruz for Attorney General if he loses tonight

Well, that will piss Miss Lindsey off!

Jeezus! NTY says that Amy McGrath (D) is leading by only 20 votes!

R459 Pleeeeease god let there be enough of them to counter the ones Kemp threw away.

Who would vote for Bill Nelson but not Gillum? Racists?

Hooray, The Poll Troll! Your hair is on point tonight!

I know Fayetteville is meant to be good for McGrath so I’m hoping with only 80% reporting she has more to pick up yet.

The panhandle votes coming it made things closer in FL.

THE BITCH LOSES!!!!

"Rowan Co. Clerk Kim Davis Loses Bid For Second Term"

Okay, r465... the polls closed literally seven minutes ago, we have a loooong way to go.

13% of vote in for TEXAS and Beto leads by 18 points.

But Texas, like California, is a big state, and there are a lot of votes left.

She has a lot vote left there r473.

BETO! BETO! BETO!

R467, he shops there. I was in there buying shampoo one day and encountered him. My face must've registered the shock because he gave me a terrible scowl.

Are we still looking for returns in the Democratic parts of FL?

McGrath up by 2000 votes again in KY6.

Dems are probably gonna lose Florida. The panhandle is gonna ruin it.

538 also went from +40 dems to +36 dems.

Democrat live odds PLUMMETING in the 538 live forecast!!

[quote]Who would vote for Bill Nelson but not Gillum? Racists?

Race could be a factor in FL.

But part of it may also be that Nelson is better known than Gillum.

Nelson has been well-known in Florida for decades.

Gillum is new.

Nelson has some popularity in the panhandle.

Ugh, one member if the Pence family is enough

Glad Kim Davis lost

Ha Ha Kim Davis lost big in Kentucky.

Mat Staver and Mike Huckabee must be so angry.

I know it's early, but Georgia doesn't look good for Stacey. The vote suppression must be massive.

Lots of central Florida still needs to be counted. Central Florida typically swings the state one way or another.

I wouldn't put it past Trump to call Rick Scott and Vlad and tell them to hack those votes in Florida. He was probably looking at Gillum and sake fuck no!

I think Kornacki is one of those guys who will really get handsome in middle age.

R489 It was. The average wait in some Georgia counties was THREE HOURS. Guess what color most of the people in those counties were.

It’s 2016 all over again

Virginia and Florida house flips were districts hillary won in 2016. Not a surprise they flipped. Talking about Wexton and Shalala.

Blackburn (R) leading Bredesen (D) in early TENNESSEE numbers.

It's shocking to me that Kemp can get away with voter suppression, that nobody can stop him.

The democrats hav had some victories r494

Someone help Steve Kornacki

GA gubernatorial race will probably end in court.

Kim Davis, I got tired tired of your adulterous, nepotism, and discriminating bullshit.

Steve Kornacki has a flat ass.

R500 Wasn't there already one lawsuit filed today?

Uhhh dems house chances just dropped quite a bit

I'm starting to feel sick again like I did in 2016. It was just around this time of night, too. Ugh.

Beto is done— he needed to be up 30 in the early vote count to even have a chance

Looks really “offish”, this is shaping up to be underwhelming and truly not good.

Rick Scott now ahead in FL with 87% of the vote in.

Hawley (R) has a narrow lead on McCaskill (D) in early MISSOURI numbers.

Florida, Georgia and and Tennessee are catastrophic for democrats.

R503

[quote]A group of Georgia voters have filed a federal lawsuit in Atlanta to enjoin Brian Kemp from "exercising any further powers of the Secretary of State's Office in presiding over the 2018 general election, in which he himself is a candidate."

I think Blackburn is going to beat Bredeson. I hate that. I knew that the Govenors race would stay red but I guess we needed a pedo to get people to vote Democrat like Alabama :/

Hope Beto wins. Cruz is such a phony.

[quote]Rick Scott now ahead in FL with 87% of the vote in.

That was just 87% in a single county.

Bad things happening in Florida.

This voting seems fucked up again. Late totals trending Repug as more urban areas come in? WTF???

538 says dem's chances of taking the house are now 68%.... down from like 80 or 90 something before.

[quote]Florida, Georgia and and Tennessee are catastrophic for democrats.

Florida Senate & Gov races can still go Dem when Southern Florida comes in.

And Georgia & Tennessee were always long shots for the Dems.

Florida never fails to disappoint and disgust.

Georgia Governor race will require a run-off if no one reaches 50%. There is a Libertarian Party candidate that was polling around 3%.

[quote]And Georgia & Tennessee were always long shots for the Dems.

Yeah, neither Abrams nor Bredesen was expected to win.

Sadly, the reality is a ton of our fellow citizens deeply want this country to SUCK and they're tenacious in their voting habits. I don't know what to say. Obviously anyone who isn't a millionaire has no valid reason to keep putting Republicans in office, but that is what we're married to.

538 says dems 2 out of 3 chance, Repugs 1 out of 3 chance at this moment

MSNBC says FL is 90% in.

Someone give me some hope. I'm feeling ill.

68% to 66%

Not good

Dem candidate leading the incumbent Republican in Texas 22.

How in the fuck is DeSantis beating Gillum for Governor in Florida ?....and even more absurd, how in the fuck is Scott ahead of Nelson ?

FL Senate and Gov. both virtually 50-50 with 89-90% of vote in.

At least in 2016 I waited until 11 to go to bed.

I don’t think it’ll be that late tonight. Florida is neck and neck and I think that says a lot. Georgia is not going as planned either.

Ugh.

NYT says FL is 60% in.

Same results tho. Who's right?

Fucking Florida. Just cut that useless piece of land off.

I will be crushed if we lose tonight. Esp for the young people who seemed energized. We don’t live in a Democracy - your vote and voice really don’t matter Unless you live in a swing state.

Florida is trending bad, not just tonight either. We have to face reality that culture is helping Trump and Republicans

Yikes, hate to be the bearer of bad news but the 538 forecast keeps dropping for Dems.

I need more to drink. Guys, what is wrong with our country.

God, is our wave turning into a dribble. I really can't take this. I'm tempted to turn off MSNBC and watch some rerun of some shit saved on my DVR. This is a last hope for this country. Can you imagine what Trump and the GOP will do to the poor and to healthcare and people of color and gay people and how we will be served on a silver platter to Russia and the gloating if we don't win at least the House. I've given up hope of the Senate and for most of the governors.

This is feeling like 2016 all over again. A few minutes ago I threw up my dinner. I'm having PTSD about it sinking in that Trump one.

WTF is wrong with Americans. They believe bullshit about caravans and don't give a fuck if they lose healthcare? When did so many become so stupid?

Uhhh 538 says we'll only pick up 28 seats

Poll Troll do you think Gillum can pull off FL?

Trump energized his base with judges, anti trans policy, and immigration. It’s a winning formula that will henceforth be repeated

Are the Dem parts of Florida in yet?

Oh God this is like 2 years ago.

Why are people here calling FL? There's only 64-5% of the vote in. They haven't even brought anywhere near all f the vote in Tallahassee.

Kim Davis is toast!

"Kim Davis, the Kentucky clerk who went to jail in 2015 for refusing to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples, has lost her bid for reelection. Democrat Elwood Caudill Jr. defeated Davis by a comfortable margin."

28 seats are enough to win the House.

Wth r532, this isn't a electoral college during the midterms. The people vote for who will represent them. No swing states today.

28 seats is enough to flip the house

R539 Half of the Miami and surrounding precincts aren't in yet, so fingers crossed

Dear god, 538 now has the Rs at 60% chance to retain the HOUSE.

I think Dems can do it in Florida. There are hundreds of thousands of Dem votes still out there.

This is all Kanye West's fault.

I WANT THE SENATE TOO!

538 live update just changed to the GOP being favored to keep the House.

I don't think I can follow this anymore.

R527 I think Scott picked up some support with how he handled the response to the hurricane. He did well there.

Looks like R540 and some others are concern trolling.

R543/R545 It's been dropping for the past hour. And it's still dropping as I write this comment.

This is not 2016. Way too early to start thinking doom and gloom

CNN confirms a Democratic pickup in FL 27.

Yep. The real time forecast on 538 has Dems oick8ng up 20 seats. I’m sick.

[quote] 538 says dems 2 out of 3 chance, Repugs 1 out of 3 chance at this moment

Or put another way repub chances doubled since yesterday's forecasts.

As for Florida's vote tally does that include the panhandle which is in a different time zone and closes an hour later from the rest of the state ? That has taken people by surprise before.

Remember, Nelson is the Senator that slipped that Russia was playing with the election in Florida...and it was confirmed. Im sorry, same with Georgia....there is no way that Kemp would be even tied with Abrams. Not to mention Cruz, who recent polling shows as leading. Cruz still uses Cambridge Analytica, Kemp plays his dirty tricks in the open, and its been repeatedly reported that the machines in Georgia were hacked.

We cannot keep allowing this shit to happen. And NO I ABSOLUTELY DO NOT BELIEVE THERE ARE THAT MANY PEOPLE WHO WILL VOTE GOP WITH ALL THE SHIT THATS HAPPENED.

You guys keep screaming at people that don’t agree with you. Keep calling people grandmas who vote republican nazis and just being cunts in general.

Look at what it gets us. They are kicking our ass and all we do is claw at eyes. Maybe sit —regroup and win a goddamn election.

I'm not concern trolling. Look at the posts of others. Nate Silver is now predicting Rs keeping the House; when the evening started he had a 7 in 8 chance the Ds would take it. SHIT!

Exactly

That Kim Davis creature is now available to work for Trump. Maybe she’ll replace Nikki Haley to be the new UN Ambassador.

538 is ridiculous -- 60 seconds ago it gave Republicans a 60% chance of holding the House, not it's down to 42%.

So we're republicans are keeping the house...I want to vomit.

Realtime 538 finally put the Dems back as favorites for the House, guess some encouraging numbers came in.

Plus two for Dems. The only number that counts is 23.

Ain't no Donkey being kicked tonight, r560.

Oh, Donna!

It’s back up to 25 and Dems as 57% chance to take House.

These numbers change Way TOO MUCH. I think I’m going to ignore that whole thing.

538 is all over the place...probably trying to cover their ass whatever the eventual outcome is

Oh, now he has them back up to 4 in 7—that's unlike 2016. I'll try to calm down.

[quote]538 is ridiculous -- 60 seconds ago it gave Republicans a 60% chance of holding the House, not it's down to 42%.

It's just a model. It spits out stuff as it constantly gets fed in the data, it is just the current probability based on what we know and that changes every minute.

James Carville: This is not going to be a blue wave.

Ben Jealous loses Maryland governor. Sad.

Nate Cohn:

[quote]Kind of flying blind a bit right now, but I basically see the Democrats hitting expectations well-educated suburbs but the GOP outperforming expectations in more conservative areas

James Carville is on MSNBC is all doom and gloom

Desantis still in lead with 91% in according to CNN

Come on California. They're the firewall when it comes to the House.

Florida is a cracker SHITHOLE full of ignorant redneck morons and always will be.

Miami will save Florida.

I'm worried about Congressional Districts.

But Carville is correct, sadly. I was hoping for more.

The Florida vote is making me sick

Need new thread soon

Climate change will take care of Florida soon enough.

Florida still hasn’t added Miami Dade and Broward which lean Blue

Carville looks like one of those creatures they found at Roswell.

Yeah r582 I am hoping to everything that the Democrats will still squeak out control of the House, but this is night going to be some HUGE night for the Dems. We already know that sadly. Adjust your expectations.

I’m off to watch Murder, She Wrote or Jonathan Cross.

I’d really like for this political climate to end already.

RE 538

[quote]NATHANIEL RAKICH8:27 PM You may have noticed that our real-time forecast has moved toward Republicans in the House. It’s being too aggressive, in my opinion. The model sees that a bunch of “likely Republican” districts (particularly in Florida) are now 100 percent likely to go red. But there hasn’t been the chance for Democrats to clinch many equivalent likely Democratic districts.

Explanation for 538's changing predictions

[QUOTE]You may have noticed that our real-time forecast has moved toward Republicans in the House. It’s being too aggressive, in my opinion. The model sees that a bunch of “likely Republican” districts (particularly in Florida) are now 100 percent likely to go red. But there hasn’t been the chance for Democrats to clinch many equivalent likely Democratic districts.

Guys, looks like Florida is gone.

Fuck the white trash in that state!

The Immigration issue is killing Democrats

[quote]but the GOP outperforming expectations in more conservative areas

So basically from now on we should just assume that many conservative voters are lying about who they're voting for?

They're very clearly aware that pop culture is disgusted by them liking Trump and republicans in general so they are hiding it, just as they did in 2016.

Kim Davis is done. The Liberty Council's Mat Staver parading her around anymore would be a losing cause.

No more trophies, plaques, certificates, greeting the Pope, and trips to Romania for her.

Damn . Blue wave dead .

Oprah's candidate losing. Oprah will never be president.

Nate Silver:

[quote]It's always hard to know, with a live election night model, whether you've got things set up too conservatively or too aggressively. But our model really likes how things are going for Democrats in the House so far.

Okie here. Results are starting to trickle in. It'll be close for Governor here too! Kendra Horn(D) also so far is leading incumbent Steve Russell (R) for US House. That's very strang! of course only 1% reporting so far

There is no need for them to hide it. They have plenty of company

[quote] we should just assume that many conservative voters are lying about who they're voting for?

Not lying. Just refusing to say, or ignored by the pollsters so not factored in.

Bob Menendez wins his New Jersey senate seat.

Chris Cuomo looks wan and drawn!

ANOTHER tragic case of overconfident Democrats and progressives

That tweet was from 45 minutes ago r598, sadly the data doesn't look as promising anymore.

Miami - please bring us good results......... I’m trying really hard to keep positive.

Stop w the white bashing R131- I made calls for Democrats in border states and overwhelmingly talked to whites who hated Trump (and a couple of Latinos who loved him).

It was a huge mistake for Democrats not to have a cogent unifioed National Message and theme

Blue wave has turned into a blue trickle.

Trump is going to be insufferable.

[quote]It was a huge mistake for Democrats not to have a cogent unifioed National Message and theme

They did. They ran on healthcare. They were remarkably on a unified message.

Why are we assuming that these are hidden voters and not just vote manipulation? We knew they were going to do it.

If the blue waves peters out yet again, we really do have to adjust our forecasting/expectations about progressives. Talks/types big on social media but never fucking shows up in actual results.

They lied, r607.

Nelson & Gillum can still win Florida since there are a lot of votes left in Broward & Miami-Dade.

Agree R612. Funny how the polls always turn out to be wrong in favor of Repubs.

Carville hasn’t aged since 2016. He’s looked exactly the same for years now. Is he a vampire or something?

part 5

....

White trash ruins everything.

Immigration. Trump's strategy working, though based on fears and lies. Perez laughed it off, and it is costly.

**OFFICIAL** 2018 Midterms Elections Thread Part 5! RESULTS!

PLEASE GO TO PART 5

Nate SIlver: "Well, I'm trying to do 6 things at once -- we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts."

Thanks, Nate, for almost giving me a heart attack.

Poster upthread made a great point. How do we know if these are actual votes or manipulated tallies?

CUNTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!

ASSHOLES!!!!!

............