[R431] The original assertion made was that "DM had no chance in hell at getting an AA medal, even if she hit all four routines." Period.
And that's an overreaching statement given what we can extrapolate from the events in Atlanta. Given the scores she did receive for the routines she nailed, it stands to reason Dominique would've gotten similar scores within the same range (give or take a few tenths) had she reproduced them. You keep saying the team scores are inflated, they're inflated...but several gymnasts achieved the exact same score between multiple phases of the competition. Miller scored a 9.862 on beam for team, AA and EF for a similarly executed routine. She also got the exact 9.787 for bars in team and AA for the same executed routine. Podkopayeva scored the exact same 9.887 on floor for the AA and EF (both executed flawlessly). Khorkina got the same 9.850 bars score in the team and EF.
Therefore, this notion that Moceanu's scores would've automatically been reduced for a routine that was executed exactly the same between team vs AA, just doesn't hold water to me. It's perfectly reasonable to assume, for example, that Moceanu would've gotten the same 9.850 beam score (or close to that) for the same routine she did in team competition. Same for bars and floor. She scored lower on bars in the AA not because of inflation (or deflation?), but because she heavily piked her dismount at the end, which should've been in the layout position. That was a huge deduction. That's why she didn't get in the 9.8s.
So, following your logic, all Moceanu's scores in Atlanta where she did well (scoring 9.8 or above) was inflated, regardless of whether in team or EF. Only in the AA was she scored fairly and accurately? That doesn't make sense. She scored very well when she hit, and scored badly when she faltered. She was probably one of the most fairly scored gymnasts at the games.
I think it's perfectly reasonable to assume her scores in the AA would've aligned closely with her team scores if she managed to hit her routines again in the AA. Maybe not exactly the same scores, but certainly within the 9.8 range, and maybe even exactly the same. It happened for other gymnasts.
Again, if everyone was on their A-game that night, I agree, Moceanu most likely wouldn't have won a AA medal--simply because there were better gymnasts than her.
BUT...that was not the original premise. The original assertion was simply that she didn't have a chance in hell if she went 4 for 4--and that I disagree with. If the field performed and scored what they did that night...and Moceanu instead hit everything...she would've easily medalled.
There were better gymnasts, yes, but they weren't *THAT* much better that a perfect Moceanu couldn't touch them.