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US tomato prices could jump as soon as Monday

If tomato prices jump because of new tariffs on the Mexican-grown produce, restaurant owner Teresa Razo says her businesses could go bust.

“I give it three months, and then we go bankrupt,” said Teresa Razo, owner of two Argentine-Italian restaurants in Southern California.

On July 14, a nearly three-decade-old US-Mexico trade agreement may give way to 20.9% tariffs on most Mexican tomato imports. That could mean higher prices for Americans at the grocery store, at the pizza parlor — anywhere that uses tomatoes. And for some small businesses, higher prices could close them down entirely.

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by Anonymousreply 18July 14, 2025 6:05 PM

The tomato tariffs are among the latest examples of President Donald Trump’s chaotic tariff policy, which has shaken up global trade, left companies uncertain how to plan for the future, and made Americans nervous about where the world’s biggest economy could be headed.

Field-grown tomatoes cost US shoppers about $1.70 per pound as of May 2025, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Consumer tomato prices could rise by about 10% and demand may fall by 5% as a result of these tariffs, according to Timothy Richards, a professor of agribusiness at Arizona State University.

The United States is the top market for Mexican tomato exports, according to the US Department of Agriculture. In a June report, the department found that the new tariffs would likely lead to a drop in tomato imports and higher prices.

Some US growers say it’s about time for the tariffs, which are meant to fight “dumping,” or the practice of selling cheap exports into a foreign market to undercut homegrown products.

The Tomato Suspension Agreement has been in place since 1996, essentially setting a floor for tomato imports. The Commerce Department announced in April it was withdrawing from the agreement because the “current agreement has failed to protect U.S. tomato growers from unfairly priced Mexican imports,” according to a statement. That, in turn, will result in the 20.9% duties on most Mexican tomato imports.

“For more than three decades, five consecutive agreements have failed to stop the illegal dumping of unfairly priced tomatoes into the U.S. market from Mexican producers,” Robert Guenther, executive vice president of the Florida Tomato Exchange, told CNN in a statement. Guenther added that he believes the trade agreement has harmed American farmers.

It’s an accusation disputed by Walberto Solorio, a Mexican tomato grower and president of the Baja California Agricultural Council, which represents more than 120 tomato growers.

Solorio told a CNN producer that small violations by some Mexican producers have not been enough to warrant the collapse of the entire agreement.

“I see it as more of a political issue than a commercial one, not logic or numbers,” Solario said. “Everything indicates, within reason, that the agreement should prevail and that the agreement has been fulfilled.”

Consumers and businesses may feel the pinch.

by Anonymousreply 1July 14, 2025 6:44 AM

Who's left to pick them?

by Anonymousreply 2July 14, 2025 8:24 AM

Why this is bad news for Italian-American firefighters and their monthly cooking duties.

by Anonymousreply 3July 14, 2025 8:48 AM

Oh well, this is what Trump voters said they wanted.

But I have to wonder, do any of them think they are better off with the tariff commotion Trump is causing?

by Anonymousreply 4July 14, 2025 8:52 AM

SO MUCH WINNING.

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by Anonymousreply 5July 14, 2025 8:55 AM

All she has to do is to get her neighbors to give her the extra tomatoes that they have grown in their gardens. She'll be inundated.

by Anonymousreply 6July 14, 2025 1:05 PM

All we care about is: can we get extra ketchup for free at the fast food places?

by Anonymousreply 7July 14, 2025 1:39 PM

But Andrew Ross Sorkin says that companies [italic]and[/italic] consumers have already accepted and built in pricing elasticity in this tariff-turvy world and the outlook is bright!

by Anonymousreply 8July 14, 2025 2:28 PM

Who needs tomatoes? Ketchup works just as good in taco salad!

by Anonymousreply 9July 14, 2025 2:31 PM

My tomatoes are gearing up for a great season.

Now, if the weather would cooperate...it's been mid 70s - 80F here for most of the summer, whereas by this time, we would have had weeks of 93+ days (we've only had maybe 4).

Either way, my 8 tomato plants should keep me well fed from August - October/early November.

by Anonymousreply 10July 14, 2025 2:57 PM

Good thing I have acid reflux.

by Anonymousreply 11July 14, 2025 3:41 PM

Does this mean there will be no more ketchup throwing in the WH dining room by DUMP?

by Anonymousreply 12July 14, 2025 3:43 PM

The price of everything is going up and it's all on Trump.

by Anonymousreply 13July 14, 2025 4:19 PM

Are eggs still $12 a dozen?

by Anonymousreply 14July 14, 2025 4:25 PM

Will no one think of nonna's Sunday gravy???!!!

by Anonymousreply 15July 14, 2025 4:29 PM

[quote] All she has to do is to get her neighbors to give her the extra tomatoes that they have grown in their gardens. She'll be inundated.

Who are you talking about?

by Anonymousreply 16July 14, 2025 5:43 PM

Teresa Razo, R16

by Anonymousreply 17July 14, 2025 5:53 PM

I thought it was just their beans that jumped!

by Anonymousreply 18July 14, 2025 6:05 PM
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