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Do you think the Census will make the Dems have a narrower electoral college path in 2024

Based on this article, New York, California, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Illinois and Rhode Island are all likely to lose house seats (an in effect EC votes) due to declining populations. Texas might gain as many as 3 new EC votes

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by Anonymousreply 20November 22, 2020 9:01 PM

Florida and Texas are going to gain the most EC votes, so the change will be better for Republicans.

by Anonymousreply 1November 19, 2020 5:04 PM

AZ CO and OR will gain votes, so it's a trade off, especially of the dems finally can get NC

by Anonymousreply 2November 19, 2020 5:06 PM

From my count, it is a swing of 5 electoral votes in favor of red states. If the current electoral map holds, 5 votes wouldn't change the presidential election.

by Anonymousreply 3November 19, 2020 5:06 PM

I don't understand why all these people are moving from blue states to red states. I think we should all make a concerted effort to shout at them more frequently and loudly about the advantages of living in California and New York, and how Texas doesn't have a government that cares enough about them to try to give them everything they want.

by Anonymousreply 4November 19, 2020 5:26 PM

R4 What?! The more educated blue voters who move to red states the better -- AZ, GA and NC are within our electoral grasp.

by Anonymousreply 5November 19, 2020 6:29 PM

Pelosi can & should add about 100 new House seats to her building in Biden's first 100 days but she won't based her her past stupidity.

Dems need to add new seats to change the EC back to their favor.

The Northeast & now California (dem strongholds) have lost too many EC votes in the past 40 years.

The South & West (repub strongholds) will keep getting stronger if they continue to ignore this problem.

by Anonymousreply 6November 19, 2020 7:00 PM

R4 Texas and Florida have no state income tax. That's a huge incentive. Also, a lot of people from the North East move to Florida for the sun

by Anonymousreply 7November 19, 2020 7:12 PM

[quote]Pelosi can & should add about 100 new House seats to her building in Biden's first 100 days but she won't based her her past stupidity.

And how would you suggest she accomplish this? Go back to high school before you post again.

by Anonymousreply 8November 19, 2020 7:17 PM

With the hundreds of thousands of Californians moving to Nevada I would think that Nevada would get more EC.

by Anonymousreply 9November 19, 2020 7:18 PM

Wikipedia says that each congressional districts is made up of an average of 711k people. That means that a state's population would have to swing by over 500k from one census to another before they can lose/gain a seat

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by Anonymousreply 10November 19, 2020 7:24 PM

For the last 20 years, Montana was the state/ CD with the highest average population per House rep. The whole state of 900k had just one rep. They will get a second congressional district starting 2021

by Anonymousreply 11November 19, 2020 7:27 PM

R8 The US Constitution doesn't set the number of House seats in stone.

The 435 number has been frozen for 100 years now.

This article touches on some of the issues...

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by Anonymousreply 12November 19, 2020 7:34 PM

r12 The point is that Nancy barely has a majority to work with, and something like this is just not going to happen.

by Anonymousreply 13November 19, 2020 7:36 PM

R13 The point is a slight majority is still a majority.

Most on the DL insist on abolishing the EC. That idea is "just not going to happen" material.

by Anonymousreply 14November 20, 2020 3:19 AM

No, running Kamala Harris for President will make the Dems have a narrower electoral college path in 2024.

by Anonymousreply 15November 20, 2020 3:23 AM

California's population keeps increasing but we still lose representation? We just can't catch a break.

The Dems need to start acting like Republicans and pass redistricting laws with the majority they have. The Repubes did it. The Dems need to do the same if they want to survive as a party.

by Anonymousreply 16November 20, 2020 3:41 AM

Trump and the Supreme Court have fucked around with the Census and the Census Process to the point that the current Census “count” is completely invalid.

Biden needs to Executive Order a new Census ASAP to capture the true count of Americans and where they are living.

by Anonymousreply 17November 20, 2020 3:46 AM

R17 dont you trust the results of the census?

by Anonymousreply 18November 21, 2020 2:25 PM

bump

by Anonymousreply 19November 22, 2020 9:00 PM

R16 Um this happens to NY every decade. If you grow slower than other states, you can lose seats.

by Anonymousreply 20November 22, 2020 9:01 PM
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