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Do you think the Census will make the Dems have a narrower electoral college path in 2024

Based on this article, New York, California, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Illinois and Rhode Island are all likely to lose house seats (an in effect EC votes) due to declining populations. Texas might gain as many as 3 new EC votes

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by Anonymousreply 2011/22/2020

Florida and Texas are going to gain the most EC votes, so the change will be better for Republicans.

by Anonymousreply 111/19/2020

AZ CO and OR will gain votes, so it's a trade off, especially of the dems finally can get NC

by Anonymousreply 211/19/2020

From my count, it is a swing of 5 electoral votes in favor of red states. If the current electoral map holds, 5 votes wouldn't change the presidential election.

by Anonymousreply 311/19/2020

I don't understand why all these people are moving from blue states to red states. I think we should all make a concerted effort to shout at them more frequently and loudly about the advantages of living in California and New York, and how Texas doesn't have a government that cares enough about them to try to give them everything they want.

by Anonymousreply 411/19/2020

R4 What?! The more educated blue voters who move to red states the better -- AZ, GA and NC are within our electoral grasp.

by Anonymousreply 511/19/2020

Pelosi can & should add about 100 new House seats to her building in Biden's first 100 days but she won't based her her past stupidity.

Dems need to add new seats to change the EC back to their favor.

The Northeast & now California (dem strongholds) have lost too many EC votes in the past 40 years.

The South & West (repub strongholds) will keep getting stronger if they continue to ignore this problem.

by Anonymousreply 611/19/2020

R4 Texas and Florida have no state income tax. That's a huge incentive. Also, a lot of people from the North East move to Florida for the sun

by Anonymousreply 711/19/2020

[quote]Pelosi can & should add about 100 new House seats to her building in Biden's first 100 days but she won't based her her past stupidity.

And how would you suggest she accomplish this? Go back to high school before you post again.

by Anonymousreply 811/19/2020

With the hundreds of thousands of Californians moving to Nevada I would think that Nevada would get more EC.

by Anonymousreply 911/19/2020

Wikipedia says that each congressional districts is made up of an average of 711k people. That means that a state's population would have to swing by over 500k from one census to another before they can lose/gain a seat

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by Anonymousreply 1011/19/2020

For the last 20 years, Montana was the state/ CD with the highest average population per House rep. The whole state of 900k had just one rep. They will get a second congressional district starting 2021

by Anonymousreply 1111/19/2020

R8 The US Constitution doesn't set the number of House seats in stone.

The 435 number has been frozen for 100 years now.

This article touches on some of the issues...

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by Anonymousreply 1211/19/2020

r12 The point is that Nancy barely has a majority to work with, and something like this is just not going to happen.

by Anonymousreply 1311/19/2020

R13 The point is a slight majority is still a majority.

Most on the DL insist on abolishing the EC. That idea is "just not going to happen" material.

by Anonymousreply 1411/19/2020

No, running Kamala Harris for President will make the Dems have a narrower electoral college path in 2024.

by Anonymousreply 1511/19/2020

California's population keeps increasing but we still lose representation? We just can't catch a break.

The Dems need to start acting like Republicans and pass redistricting laws with the majority they have. The Repubes did it. The Dems need to do the same if they want to survive as a party.

by Anonymousreply 1611/19/2020

Trump and the Supreme Court have fucked around with the Census and the Census Process to the point that the current Census “count” is completely invalid.

Biden needs to Executive Order a new Census ASAP to capture the true count of Americans and where they are living.

by Anonymousreply 1711/19/2020

R17 dont you trust the results of the census?

by Anonymousreply 1811/21/2020

bump

by Anonymousreply 1911/22/2020

R16 Um this happens to NY every decade. If you grow slower than other states, you can lose seats.

by Anonymousreply 2011/22/2020
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