R16, I’m not the person to whom you addressed your question to, however, I believe he will be re-elected as of this morning. I did not believe that until this morning, and I have a well reasoned argument as to why.
***FULL DISCLOSURE: Life long liberal /progressive/ yet also somewhat Centrist leaning on certain policies and definitely centrist regarding the economy. NOT a Republican nor will I ever vote Republican. Just wanted to clear the air here, before the Boris accusations fly. Thanks. ***
R16, please allow me to continue.
Back in 2016, I got a VERY uneasy on election week. So uneasy, in fact, that I felt it necessary to have the uneasiness assuaged & dissuaded here on DL. I opened up a thread I believed I named, IIRC, (paraphrasing) : “I am a rational adult, who is experiencing paranoia, and think Trump is actually going to win this election”. Again, that was the gist of the thread title and o will make an attempt to find it. If someone else can or does find it before I do, please link it. TIA.
So, yes. I came here & started this MARY!!!” type of thread, because I had my ear to the ground and was picking up what I call “lying in signals”, which basically means that when someone asks you a question, like, “So are you voting for Hillary?, and you answer, “”Of course I am!”, yet your voice and micro expressions, coupled with body language (even if remaining totally still), say “Fuck NO!”
I, and all of us, are able to tell when someone is lying within microseconds of the lie exiting the liars lips. Even the best ones cannot get away with it because it is impossible to do. The exceptions we make for this is when we suspended disbelief, for watching a film or a play or a TV series, for example. It is a visual medium of observation, and while we also use cues while reading something, it is perceived differently when adjusting for fictional literature, and is specifically adjusted for different cues, when observing a film. Same thing when we are observing the news, which we adjust differently if parsing between an opinion narrative or a “just the facts” narrative when watching the news. We also adjusted and perceive differently for actual, in person, face to face interactions and for observing “in real time” interactions with people who are communicating verbally, while in our close proximity where audio and visuals are not completely, yet pretty much, clear, & unobstructed.
Now, the reason why we depress the ability to pick up these signals, is because of cognitive biases formed via familiarity. And familiarity isn’t just formed because you know someone well and see them repeatedly. It is also formed by all the layers that include environmental biases, provided by location, or even weather, or time of day.
Anyhow, I was out of my element and my usual environment when I observed others in different locations throughout this specific week, proceeding the 2016 election and was subject to different scenarios, such as sitting in Starbucks, or waiting in line at Target, where I observed as a non-involved party, what people were discussing and most were discussing the election. I was also in what I believed at that time, to be a liberal and progressive enclave, in the south.
What I saw, without expectation of it, were people lying to one another when asked, “Are you voting for Hillary or Trump?” The repeated answers were, “Hillary”, and they were repeatedly, LYING.
It startled me, and stayed with me for several days as I continued to observe-attempting to disprove my gut, because analytically and data wise, I was supposed to be wrong.
I’m rarely ever wrong when it comes to my gut. Most of us are also never wrong when it comes to our guts. Again, this is not a special Spidey-Sense. This is called intuition, and it is called intuition because it is not analytical. I remembered that and went with it. Sensing my fears were insane yet correct. So I came here and posted about it, and was obviously attacked immediately, DL style, for concern trolling. Yet I was authentic. Not trolling at all.