What the polls may - and may not - tell us about next year's election
"We also shouldn’t read too much, pollsters and political handicappers say, into the variations in how different Democrats fare against Trump in these polls. Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders might enjoy the biggest margins simply because they have the highest name ID among the 2020 Democratic field. It doesn’t necessarily mean that they would wallop Trump whereas Kamala Harris or Pete Buttigieg would struggle. It might just mean fewer Americans have heard of them.
But we can still learn something from these surveys. Their message is pretty simple: Trump looks weak. The president is lagging in the low 40s in head-to-head polls, consistent with his stubbornly low approval ratings. A lot of Americans seem to be fully committed to or are actively considering voting for somebody else. That’s not where the incumbent, after three years in office, should be if they want a second term."
Offsite Linkby Anonymous | reply 4 | September 13, 2019 2:44 PM
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This is what we've been saying all along - Biden and Sanders have a huge inbuilt advantage at the outset of the Democratic nominee race due to their name recognition but this says nothing at all about their abilities or appeal once it's Trump Vs D. You can see that advantage eroding as the other key players (i.e. Warren and Harris, principally) get more exposure/airtime.
by Anonymous | reply 1 | September 13, 2019 11:06 AM
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The only erosion around Kamala is Kamala's. Come on, she's not gonna happen. It's going to come down to Biden v. Warren.
by Anonymous | reply 2 | September 13, 2019 11:12 AM
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Don't vorry, Donald. Ve take care of you. Four more years.
by Anonymous | reply 3 | September 13, 2019 12:54 PM
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The more I see/hear from Kamala, the more I can't get behind her. I'm not entirely sure what it is, but she just comes across as insincere to me.
by Anonymous | reply 4 | September 13, 2019 2:44 PM
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