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*New Democratic Primary poll*: Warren rises; Biden & Sanders stable

JUNE 24, 2019

New poll from Morning Consult released tonight:

KEY TAKEAWAYS

1.) For the second week in a row, Warren continues to grow her vote share. Biden and Sanders remain unchanged from last week. Elizabeth Warren sees a +2 rise to 13% of the vote, 6-points behind Sanders. Warren’s rise does not appear to have come at the expense of Sanders: In the past six weeks, Warren has gained 5 points of vote share while Sanders has remained steady.

2.) Elizabeth Warren’s rise from a second to first-tier candidate is clear. From being virtually tied with Harris and O’Rourke in April to becoming the clear third- choice candidate, Warren saw a 10-point increase in net favorability since February. In that same time period, Biden’s net favorability has fallen 9-points.

**

Joe Biden (38%) 0

Bernie Sanders (19%) 0

Elizabeth Warren (13%) +2

Pete Buttigieg (7%) 0

Kamala Harris (6%) -1

Beto O'Rourke (4%) 0

Cory Booker (3%) 0

Andrew Yang (2%) +1

***

The following candidates received 1% or less of the vote: Amy Klobuchar, Kirsten Gillibrand, Julian Castro, Tim Ryan, John Hickenlooper, Tulsi Gabbard, Michael Bennet, John Delaney, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Jay Inslee, Eric Swalwell, Seth Moulton and Marianne Williamson.

**

This week’s report features surveys with registered voters conducted from June 17, 2019 to June 23, 2019. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region.

Our Democratic Primary results are reported using 16,188 interviews with registered voters who indicate they may vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. For those who say don’t know or no opinion, they are asked to pick a candidate they are learning towards, which are factored into the results. The margin of error for potential Democratic primary voters is +/-1%.

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by Anonymousreply 2June 25, 2019 6:02 AM

Full report from Morning Consult:

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by Anonymousreply 1June 25, 2019 5:44 AM

Interesting that Andrew Yang is doing better than Klobuchar. Klobuchar was thought be a real contender, but her candidacy appears to be dead in the water.

Also interesting that Harris and O'Rourke aren't gaining any traction and can't break double digits.

Warren has the advantage of being the only top-tier candidate in the first night of the debates this week. She will probably get nearly all of the attention from the first debate, which may give her even more momentum and boost her numbers even more.

Of course, it's still very, very early, but this seems to be shaping up as a three-way race between Biden, Sanders, and Warren (with Buttigieg still having an outside chance).

by Anonymousreply 2June 25, 2019 6:02 AM
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