Oscar Nomination Predictions in Variety

Never forget all the years they took the bait from Harvey Scissorhands.

Theres 50 threads for that movie because some pedo troll is obsessed with it.

I've not been to the cinema in years because the fare Hollywood churns out is CRAP!

Really. Hollywood is shite.

Will Phantom Thread become a dark horse?

Meryl will win.

CMBYN isn’t getting a thing.

It would be nice if Rachel Weitz got some recognition.

Call Me by Your Name doesn’t deserve any nominations.

Lois Smith deserves at least one, maybe two. I would be happy to see her win Best Actress for Marjorie Prime and Best Supporting Actress for Lady Bird.

Are they ever going to nominate Andy Serkis for anything?

He was entertaining in The Last Jedi, but I would put him up for War for the Planet of the Apes.

Andy Serkis would be a controversial pick, but a good one. I think other actors would feel a bit put off by someone whose performance is tied so tightly to CGI.

I wonder at some point soon if there will be a special awards category for “actors” who are completely generated by a computer, like “Peter Cushing” in The Force Awakens. I think the award would go to the creators of the image. At least I hope so.

FIlm, gaming, and augmented reality will probably collapse into one another at some point, changing a new generation’s entire perspective on the medium/media.

Who is going to get a boost from the #metoo movement?

Glad Mary J is getting in. It's a revelatory performance on level with Diana Ross in Lady Sings the Blues.

Shame that Carrie Fisher couldn't snag a Supporting Actress nomination for Last Jedi.

^ I know a lot of us loved seeing Carrie Fisher in the movie, but it was more sentiment on our end than the performance on hers.

The audience I was in laughed when she was flying through space like a slow-mo Superman.

R13, Mary J. Blige does nothing distinguishable in Mudbound. I’ve been somewhat baffled that she had been cited throughout the season for that performance. It’s perfectly fine and serviceable, but I think she is getting mentions because of the novelty of her acting. To mention that performance in the same breath as Diana Ross in Lady Sings the Blues is absolutely ridiculous.

I think Blige will ultimately be replaced by Octavia Spencer at the Oscars or a dark horse candidate from Get Out (Allison Williams or Catherine Keener with a Betty Gabriel spoiler).

[quote] I’ve been somewhat baffled that she had been cited throughout the season for that performance. It’s perfectly fine and serviceable, but I think she is getting mentions because of the novelty of her acting

The same could be said about Allison Janney, who's been doing a variation of the same character for several years now on television. I've no idea why people are acting like that performance is so groundbreaking. It's not.

And Allison Williams?! You've GOT to be kidding me.

Mary. Allison, and Laurie are getting in. The other two are up for grabs. Mary might even get a Best nomination too.

^ A “best” what? As opposed to “getting in” what?

I thought Allison Williams played a rather effective villain in Get Out. And I am not really a fan of hers.

The most risible of these predictions are for best supporting actress. Mudbound needed to be in one hundred theaters even to be eligible.

Blige and Washington? 10% of the nominations for 12% of the population. Looks like will get it right this year.

[quote] Theres 50 threads for that movie because some pedo troll is obsessed with it.

At least [italic]Silver Spoons[/italic] left it to your imagination.

I'd love to see Daniela Vega nominated for A Fantastic Woman, which will hopefully win Best Foreign Film!

I haven't seen I, Tonya but I really don't understand how a movie based on a true story that looks campy as hell is getting more mentions than Battle of the Sexes, another movie based on a true story. Emma Stone should be nominated for Best Actress over Margot Robbie. I realize she won last year but her performance in Battle of the Sexes was excellent, and the movie itself was also really good.

I have read that Steve Carell would be the dark horse nom for Battle of the Sexes.

Do the new allegations against James Franco guarantee a shutout for it?

Does the pay scandal with Mark Wahlberg and Michelle Williams mean a sure nomination for her?

Christopher Plummer may get a nom just for erasing Kevin Spacey.

Michelle Williams may get one for being a team player and getting financially fucked in return.

I haven’t seen the film, but I would like to see both of them get nominated. They are worlds more talented than Mark Wahlberg. He should just stick to Transformers shit that is calibrated to his level of talent.

No nomination for James Franco. 5 women are accusing him of sexual harassment. One was coerced into oral sex.

“Call me By your name” will win best picture!

That boring piece of highbrowish travelogue shouldn’t even get a single nomination.

The appeal of it completely escapes me.

[quote] That boring piece of highbrowish travelogue shouldn’t even get a single nomination.

I'm sure Jumanji was more down your alley, but, that's the beauty of the free market: there's something for everyone.

Oh, a "travelogue". Drink, everyone! The latest buzzword to attack this movie after the age difference, the lack of nudity, and dismissing it as elitist all fizzled out.

Two lackluster leads with no chemistry, loads of scenery. What the hell else is it than a travelogue? Are you the posters of the 5,000 threads about this piece of hollow tripe?

97% of the critics on Rotten Tomatoes disagree with you R33. I, personally, loved Call Me By You Name.

You are welcome to your opinion. Other's may have different thoughts of the movie.

I think the really fun coup would be for Metcalf to win the Oscar after losing everything else to Janney

Stay tuned

R35 - Metcalf was winning practically everything from the critics, Janney is the populist groups' darling.

ZZZZZZZZzzzzz

Oh, that’s very original r37.

Because of the timing, Franco still has a chance for a nomination.

It seems if he showed up at the ceremony, he’d cause an uproar, though.

If the Academy has any sense of self-preservation, they'll nominate Wonder Woman, along with Patty Jenkins. Otherwise, the telecast will see record low ratings again, and the Oscar will continue its decline into irrelevancy. Few people have seen the other potential nominees. Take out that thing called "The Florida Project" and put WW where she ought to be.

R39 There's also the problem of Casey Affleck presenting Best Actress this year. Word is they're not inviting him to present. They're gonna have Kirk Douglas do it.

R34 I loved it too. It seems like when it first came out it had Oscar buzz all over it. For some reason that seems to have waned.

Just saw CMBYN last night, and LOVED it! It was a full house on a Saturday night with an audience full of gays, lesbians, and straight women. The acting and musical score was superb, i especially loved the last scene with the father. And, Armie Hammer is a Dreamboat!

Forgot to mention, everyone clapped at the end of the movie.

In this year of white trash, Margot Robbie will be runner-up to Frances McDormand.

Ronan should be taking it home for Lady Bird, but I think McDormand will win too.

I think McDormand’s Golden Globes speech really helped her in the race. Besides that, she gives a great, full-throated performance. The character is unlikable, but you’re kind of roped into rooting for her because the entire town seems to be coming for her.

Will Bening trump over Streep for the 5th slot?

[quote]I broke down and saw Call Me By Your Name yesterday. It was boring as fuck and nearly hollow to the core. I don’t get why it has fifty threads on DL.

What did you think publicists do all day?

No one is paying for publicists to post on DL, which has about 100 readers.

Some people just like CMYBN, and want to discuss it.

I don’t understand how anyone is interested in Golden Girl’s, but I’m not going to bitch at those who are. I simply ignore threads which I’m not interested in.

You might try it.

When it’s clear that a publicist is pushing a product on DL, I don’t read the the threads about it.

love to see a buncha upsets.

call me by ur name should win ev thing its nom for!!!!

also shape of water hope wins lots...

mary j was vanilla, i vote nuthin for mudbound , cept for the hot garret hedlund who moved me...

yay sally hawkins! and armie!!! and timothee!!!!

but the voters are hacks so really exquisite films like call me by ur name often go by unnoticed in pathetic usa award shows...

around the world its being heralded as the best thing since blue cheese....

CMBYN is winning nothing. It’s far too creepy and molesty.

I haven't yet seen CMBYN. Usually it's the type of movie I'd love, but from what I've seen and read it does seem creepy and molesty. A couple friends who saw it told me not to bother. It seems really odd that, in this period of meToo and all the sexual allegations coming out, this movie would be so popular.

Could a fan of the movie explain that to me, (and please in a respectable manner if you want to try and win me over). Ditto for those who feel as R53 feels. Thanks.

No way to pretend it wasn't a shitty year in film.