Is anyone following the Pennsylvania primary tonight?

Shit! I hope my sister back home remembered to vote.

I usually call her most mornings but I didn't today. Oh well.

I'm selling my vote in the general election this being a swing state and all. It will go to the highest bidder on ebay.

“Write-in candidates” beat Biden 52% to 41% in Armstrong County, in the Pittsburgh suburbs. That looks like a complete outlier relative to every other county in the state where Biden pulls ~90% with Dean Phillips in single digits and write-ins in the low single digits, but maybe it’s on the level?? Regardless, STOP THE STEEL!

I was wondering what was going on in Armstrong County.

Otherwise Biden is doing well

Armstrong county is not a suburb of Pittsburgh. It is fully rural Pennsylvania.

I'm seeing Biden with almost 80% in Armstrong County now (on OP's link), not 41%, with almost all votes in.

Another kickass night for President Joseph R. Biden!

Biden also has significantly more votes in raw numbers than T-Rump so far, 830k to 702k. Pennsylvania is OVAH T-Rump!

There's a special election in rural PA and the Dem.is overperforming

[QUOTE]Let me tell you, Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles are watching Nikki Haley get 38% of the vote in Bucks Country and not liking what they see at ALL.

Will wealthier and more educated folks stay home or, gasp, secretly vote for Biden,?

People always spin election results to be something favorable to their side, spinning to whatever degree is necessary to achieve it. I don't put any stock in election results "analysis".

“Gettysburg, wow.” —Professor D. Trump

Somewhat higher D turnout than R—over 1 million vs. 946k—and Biden got 922k versus Trump's 789k.

[quote] People always spin [bold] election results [/bold] to be something favorable to their side

If you win, that’s generally how it works.

Votes are not polls.

This might help for comparison:

In 2016, when Trump beat Clinton in the general election, there were 1681427 votes cast in the Democratic primary and 1594475 votes cast in the Republican primary, so more votes for Democrats than Republicans in the April 26, 2016 primary. In the Republican primary, Trump got only 57% of the vote against Cruz and Kasich.

Will the pattern be the same with the general election when Trump got more votes? Only time will tell.

It's hard to make that comparison, R16, when in 2016 no incumbent was running and both primaries were contested (Clinton and Trump each got about 56% in PA). This year *both* major candidates are effectively incumbents, Trump having a clear track record from 2017-21 as well as claiming not to have lost in 2020, and each has only minor competition in the primaries. Also, PA has been trending blue since Trump got in.

There’s no way to know yet whether this year’s repeat of the 2016 pattern will lead to the same result.

Christ, I worked for the PA state government for 10 years and I never even [bold]heard[/bold] of Armstrong County.

There are 67 counties in PA, which is the exact same number of counties in Florida. I've always found that odd.

I always used to tell my students that I am a fountain of useless tidbits of information.

R19, you're not missing anything

Is R3 our Bucks County Yard Sign Troll trying to make Armstrong County happen?

R16 That depends: will Jim Comey be releasing public letters to media outlets besmirching the Democratic candidate ten days before the election? Stay tuned!

[quote]That depends: will Jim Comey be releasing public letters to media outlets besmirching the Democratic candidate ten days before the election? Stay tuned!

If you want to go down the list of excuses that Hillary has tried to use, you have like 99 to go.

Ron Brownstein:

Over 20% of GOP primary voters in all four key suburban counties outside Philadelphia just voted for Haley, a candidate who left the race over a month ago, in case anyone is wondering whether suburban resistance to Trump is behind him

Summer Lee, far-left pseudo-Squad House member also beat her moderate primary challenger.

Sure, R18, anything can happen, but no matter how many "comparisons" you fish for, there's no close similarity between the 2016 primaries and those this week beyond the slightly greater number of D voters than R and the result that both winners got the nom.

that haley won as well as she did is very telling

I'm feeling really good about how well Biden is doing. In spite of the media undermining him and his administration at every turn. But I want to caution against getting over confident. It is a lonnnng way to November. This is April. We have more than 6 months to get through and a lot can happen. Turn out is critical. And lets get informed about who is running for local offices like the courts, judges, and legislatures. We need to look at the down ballot races. We have to seize control of the state legislatures. Every seat we can carve out is a gain. And we need to focus on State Judges. I follow some of the younger activists, and right now David Hogg, the Parkland survivor activist, is out campaigning for Legislative districts in places like Florida and other states. So is Indivisible and MoveOn. So get involved. Last night I got one of those Surveys ahead of the Georgia Primary on May 21 and they were about local offices, state legislative seats, and judges. Sadly, I didn't recognize half of the names, so I need to find out what's going on.

R26, although there’s a similarity between the 2016 and 2024 Pennsylvania primary with the Democrats again getting more votes than the Republicans, it’s not necessarily an indicator that Trump will win again. It may be that the number of Democratic votes being greater than the number of Republican votes in their primaries is as irrelevant in 2024 as it was in 2016. Democrats can certainly hope so.

[quote] right now David Hogg, the Parkland survivor activist, is out campaigning for Legislative districts in places like Florida and other states.

If Republicans are paying for him to do that, it would certainly be a good investment on their part.