OK, OP I will give you my very true honest opinions.
I don't think the performance Jennifer Lawrence gave was good enough for her to win a Best Actress Oscar. I'm sure she did a good job, just not "Best Actress" good.
I have to say my top favorite is Jessica Chastain. I thought she was compelling as hell in ZD30. Riveting. I'd like to see her win acknowledgement. In general, she & NAomi Watts demonstrate a range with their various performances that makes them among the most interesting actors and accomplished artists working today.
I will not be sorry or angry if Naomi Watts gets an Oscar. I think she is probably one of the finest actors of her generation. I love to watch her whether it's the kind of humanity she brings to a silly disposable character like King Kong or the nuanced performance in The Painted Veil. She's brilliant.
Emmanuelle Riva and Jean Louis Trantignant were brilliant and Amour is moving and beautiful. I hope it wins best foreign film. It deserves acknoledgdment. I have to wonder how much of a stretch these characters were for them, in all honestly.
I thought the little Wallis girl was delightful and beautiful to watch, but no. Not Best actress material. Not yet.
For what it worth, I hope Robert De Niro gets a supporting Oscar for Silver Linings. I hope Daniel Day Lewis gets best actor, and Sally Fields gets Best supporting Actresss. Steven Spielberg should get an Oscar for Best director and Lincoln should win Best picture.
I like Tommy Lee Jones a lot. But he was playing another version of Tommy Lee Jones. I was deeply disappointed that David Strathairn and James Spader were overlooked. They should've been nominated.
Hopefully Tony Kushner will get an award for best adapted screenplay. I hope David O Russell gets an Oscar for writing an original Screenplay.
Lincoln should win Best picture. I have a feeling Life of Pi may sneak in there. I really have no interest in seeing Argo get any more recognition.
But I bet it will, because really I see the contest as a blood sport pitting Clooney against Harvey Weinstein. I think Clooney & AFfleck are nailing down all the other awards to make Harvey look stupid when or if he wins anything for SLP.