PPP: Hillary Clinton Would Lead Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio In Florida 2016
WASHINGTON -- Hillary Clinton would lead Florida politicians Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio among Sunshine State voters in the next presidential election, according to a new survey from the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling, which called her "a force to contend with" in 2016.
Clinton, who enjoys wide support nationally, took 49 percent to former Republican Gov. Bush's 44 percent, and 50 percent to Republican Sen. Rubio's 46 percent in the poll. Voters were asked to consider potential matchups in the 2016 presidential race.
The secretary of state was also the overwhelming favorite in a hypothetical Democratic presidential primary in Florida, taking 65 percent in a field of nine possible candidates. She was trailed, distantly, by Vice President Joe Biden, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren.
Clinton easily won Florida's Democratic presidential primary in 2008, but she faced little opposition because the state had been stripped of convention delegates.
Florida Republicans favored their state's politicians over other potential GOP nominees, giving Rubio 31 percent and Bush 26 percent of the vote in a hypothetical primary field that also included New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan. About half of Republicans said that Bush should run for president, and 62 percent that Rubio should run.
The PPP poll surveyed 501 Florida voters between Jan. 11 and Jan. 13 using automated phone interviews and has a margin of error of 4.4 percent. The poll included oversamples of 401 Democratic voters and 436 Republican voters, with margins of error of 4.9 and 4.7 percent, respectively.
Well, they do and they don't. They begin to give you a sense of who may have enough support to run, build a fundraising network, and intimidate other rivals out of the race.
But obviously by the time of the actual election year, some of the numbers can change once other candidates emerge and take away some of the support from those with the initial name recognition.
Well, if Hillary can win Florida over both Rubio and Bush, then she would win the presidency, and fairly easily at that. Of course, it's still extremely early, but fun to think about, nonetheless.
Rubio appears to be the early Republican favorite for 2016 from every poll I've seen so far. If he can't win FL, though, it's game over. He did a stupid thing this week by coming out against any new gun control restrictions. That may help him in a Republican primary, but it hurts him with Independents and women.
I need the winner of the 2012 election to at the very least be [italic]inaugurated[/italic] before I can bother caring about the 2016 election.
It's like asking us to care right now about the prospects for the 2020 Olympics.
"Rubio appears to be the early Republican favorite for 2016 from every poll I've seen so far. "
R3- Rubio could win, but it still is really early.
Rubio is very young and untested, and Republicans generally don't go for candidates under 50 (or even 55), unless they are sons of former Presidents. It isn't clear whether the money people will support him. Rubio now is not in the position that Romney was in 2009 or McCain was in 2006.