PICTURE: Argo/ Les Miserables / Life of Pi / Lincoln / Zero Dark Thirty
BRITISH FILM: Anna Karenina / Best Exotic Marigold Hotel / Les Miserables / Seven Psychopaths / Skyfall
DIRECTOR: Michael Haneke / Ben Affleck / Quentin Tarantino / Ang Lee / Kathryn Bigelow
ACTOR: Ben Affleck / Bradley Cooper / Daniel Day-Lewis / Hugh Jackman / Joaquin Phoenix
ACTRESS: Emmanuelle Riva / Helen Mirren / Jennifer Lawrence / Jessica Chastain / Marion Cotillard
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Alan Arkin / Christophe Waltz / Javier Bardem / Phillip Seymor Hoffman / Tommy Lee Jones
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Amy Adams / Anne Hathaway / Helen Hunt / Judy Dench / Sally Field
No McConaughey for "MM" in Supporting.
No Watts for "Impossible" in Lead.
Should be very interesting when the noms are read.
Ben Affleck for acting in Argo is a surprise; no one had recognized him for that previously. Will probably be replaced by Denzel in Flight tomorrow.
Otherwise everything looks as expected. Will probably be one of the more anticlimactic Oscar nominating slates.
Very interesting BAFTA nominations. Best actress nods for 2 French actresses: Riva and Cotillard ... I think it will be Riva's turn this year though Cotillard is the critics' darling, but she had already won, and Riva in her 80s is astounding.
Trintignant not nominated for Best Actor though Haneke gets Best Director nod. I imagine AMOUR will scoop some major prize being the arthouse crossover hit of the year.
LINCOLN, LEZ MIZ and ZERO DARK THIRTY, HITCHCOCK or the Tarantino have not actually opened publicly here in the UK yet...and no director nod for Spielberg but yes for Quentin ! Affleck may be the dark horse here.
THE MASTER only gets best original screenplay and actor nominations ... I still dont want to see it.
Ben Affleck is a good director but everybody knows his acting is a joke.
Hooper not getting nominated in his home country is a major indication of how his direction is being viewed. He sinks the movie's award chances.
IMO both Bardem and Dench will both win for supporting roles. Also Sam Mendes should have been in the director pool instead of Bigelow.
Aaron Taylor-Johnson should get a supporting nomination just for being so gorgeous in Anna Karenina.
I just can't imagine a Best Supporting Actress slate that doesn't include a first-time nominee. It's the one race that most often has at least one (last year there were four). I've also been seeing several articles about Ann Dowd on various sites. Her personal story and the fact that she's exactly the kind of journeywoman actress for which Best Supporting Actress was originally intended to honor, could all work in her favor tomorrow.
I find it interesting that we have potential re-matchups between Helen Hunt/Judi Dench (this time in BSA) and Tommy Lee Jones/Leonardo DiCaprio in the spear race. Calls to mind their former showdowns in 1997 and 1993, respectively. Those were both hotly contested at the time and seem to be cited over the years as examples where the lesser performance prevailed.
Les Miz? Maybe they were watching a different version than I was.
r11, maybe people liked the film and you didn't. Maybe your opinion is your opinion and not a fact. Maybe you don't know everything. And maybe you have poor taste.
Les Mis got 4 nominations. Plus nominations for Best Picture and Best British film.
r1, Hooper was snubbed along with Spielberg, even though Lincoln is a strong front-runner for the Oscar.
Affleck gave a good performance in ARGO but to nominate him over John Hawkes, Denzel Washington, and Jean Louis Trintignant is ludicrous.
Having said that Affleck gave a much better performance than Phoenix, whom everyone is raving about because his performance is wildly dramatic and actory.
Spielberg should have done himself some favors and not resorted to his trademark over the top moves in the last 20 minutes of the otherwise fine Lincoln. Having said that, his direction is far superior to Tom Hooper's uneven and sometimes inept mounting of Les Mis. Thank God BAFTA did not nominate Hooper.
Ben Affleck - Best Actor nomination?
Denzel Washington was robbed.
How the F**K is Affleck nominated and not Washington? Did anyone see Flight?
And I'm probably in the minority opinion, but Philip Seymour and Amy Adams were awful in the pretentious "Master" I feel the awards shows just go through the motions at this point, and probably don't even watch the performance individually, without taking into account past performances, reputations, "who's due for something?" etc. Its really too bad. This looks like a Golden Globes list - not even as credible.
At least Helen Hunt and Javier Bardem were not overlooked - in my opinion, easily, the Best supporting actors this year - and I've actually seen everything thus far, with the exception of Zero Dark Thirty (yet).
Ahem, ok I'm settled now - that I remember Hollywood is a business and like "high school" - the best doesn't always win
Where the hell is John Hawkes? You nominate Helen Hunt, but not Hawkes? I realize it's a crowded Best Actor field, but Affleck and Jackman ahead of Hawkes!
r4, it's also Christoph, and not Christophe.
He's not a Frenchman.
It's Judi, bitch.
r18, meet r4
R19, I hadn't signed my full name above, so the first post doesn't count.
Interesting that Tommy Lee Jones was nominated for Supporting Actor for 'Lincoln'. Could that happen at the Oscars tomorrow too?
[quote]Otherwise everything looks as expected. Will probably be one of the more anticlimactic Oscar nominating slates.
Are you serious? Best actress only has 2 locks, Chastain and Lawrence, there are like 10 contenders for 5 spots in supporting actor, supporting actress only has 3 locks, Hunt Hathaway and Field. Will Kidman or Dowd make the cut? both of them? Dench, Smith or Adams? Same with best director; Is Hooper finally out for good? Haneke, Tarantino and Russell, all strong candidates for that last spot.
It's been the most interesting race in years
Of course it will happen, r21
And I think Bradley Cooper is also a sure thing for a best actor nod tomorrow. He made it to all the precursors, and before you say Tilda Swinton remember that "We need to talk about Kevin" was a very difficult film and Cooper is the star of a critically acclaimed rom-com.
[quote]I think Bradley Cooper is also a sure thing for a best actor nod tomorrow.
How did we get to the point where Bradley Cooper is an Oscar contender?
What if Ben wins BOTH nominations and Matt gets so excited he runs up and tongue kisses him?
And how did we get to the point where someone like Jennifer Lawrence, who has virtually no acting ability, is now a regular Oscar contender?
Apparently R26 hasn't seen "Winter's Bone". I mean, that scene where she has to cut off her dead father's arm much? That cry was so real, it was almost painful to hear.
I hate how people like R24 automatically use someone's filmography against them without seeing the film that person is being touted for. Cooper does a swell job in SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK. If you think he can only do HANGOVER and rom-com tripe, then you're mistaken. Watch the film before you make stupid judgments.
I could say the same thing about Hugh Jackman, r24
And Jennifer Lawrence has no acting ability? bitch, please.
Awards season is fun but stop acting like the Oscars are something other than a popularity contest with the ocasional deserving winner. Mary Pickford won the second lead actress in the history of this show back in 1930 and she was dreadful, they lost their credibility right there. Nothing new.
[quote]I could say the same thing about Hugh Jackman
I agree with you on that one. I'm hoping he is not nominated. He shouldn't even be in Lés Misérables - he has no ability either.
R26 = troll
R31 = Jennifer Lawrence fangirl
It's a popularity conntest usually attached to a worthy performance.
And very often, it's not a popularity contest at all. Kathy Bates, Marion Cotillard, Emma Thompson, Geoffrey Rush, Jean Dujardin, were hardly 'popular', or even well-known, before they won. They just delivered great work that couldn't be ignored.
In any case, Emmanuelle Riva needs to be nominated tomorrow, or I will cut a bitch.
If they got their act together, they'd also nominate J-L Trintignant.
Plus Ann Dowd! We need a battle of the Ann(e)s in the supporting category.
I don't think Hunt is a lock for a nomination.
She is, r34.
Amy Adams is also a lock for a nomination at this point, and stands the best chance of winning it.
And I agree that Bradley Cooper is a shitty actor. Even Madonna has given a good performance or two, but I doubt anyone would call her a great actress.
Adams lost out on SAG though, r36. That takes away her lock. I'm rooting for her, but I'd say she's got a chance of being left out.
Since the nominations are tomorrow, is anyone interested in making their final guesses?
Also, Supporting Actress is just a fucking mess this year. I've seen both Lincoln and Les Miserables, and personally, I thought neither of them were terribly impressive.
No Rachel Weisz for Deep Blue Sea?
Judi's nomination was for .... ?
Don't tell me SKYFALL. That's pure British jingoism.
That slot should have gone to Dame Maggie Smith for MARIGOLD HOTEL, if they wanted to nominate a British National Treasure.
DiCaprio could not be bothered to make a choice whether his character loved his sister or dick.
The pacing of Lincoln was slower than the economic recovery.
For Best Actress I'm going with:
Riva (please!), Lawrence, Chastain, Watts, and Weisz
....with hopefully Riva for the win but most likely Chastain. Wouldn't be unhappy if Watts got it either.
Hathaway, Field, Adams, Dench, and Dowd (please!)
...with Hathaway (I know ugh) for the win
If the impossible happens and Anne Hathaway does NOT get a nomination tomorrow, I predict that this site will be down for days due to excessive bandwith usage.
Good, I'm tired of Spielberg and DiCaprio for the same reason: they are such audience-pleasing try-hards I got sick of both these puffed-up, overrated assholes years ago. Especially Spielberg, since every one of his treacly, cloying, '80s schmaltz-movies prove that he's a pedophile TO THE MAX.
WHERE'S THE MERYL LOON!?!?!?!?!!!!!!!!!
Maggie Smith is the most overrated actress out there. She plays the same character over and over and over again, and Marigold is no exception.
It is telling that even BAFTA shut her out this year.
If she gets nominated tomorrow, it'll be because Americans confuse her upper-class characters with good acting.
Judi Dench and Vanessa Redgrave, meanwhile, are truly vesatile actors, who take on different characters with each new film project.
And that is.. the truth.
I am here, r46. Always will be.
Hugh Jackman will get a nomination tomorrow and Smith will likely as well. I think Best Marigold will do surprisingly well with nominations from the Academy.
Hathaway - blech - she'll get the nomination but I hope she's snubbed on Oscar night.
As for Affleck, I felt pretty much like R6 until I saw "Hollywoodland" in which he was excellent. I haven't seen "Argo" yet but I wouldn't be surprised if he gave a respectable performance.
Helen Hunt? Oh for fuck's sake, have we not honored that vile cunt more than enough for her lifetime? (Yes, yes we have.)
Most important of all, let us remain united in denying Oscar employment and audience tickets to the odious Debbie Allen.
Picture (if there's 10): Lincoln, Zero Dark Thirty, Silver Linings Playbook, Les Miserables, Argo, Django Unchained, Moonrise Kingdom, Life of Pi, The Master, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Director: Spielberg, Bigelow, Affleck, Tarantino, Russell
Actor: Day-Lewis, Cooper, Hawkes, Jackman, Washington
Actress: Lawrence, Chastain, Watts, Cotillard, Weisz
Supporting Actor: Hoffman, Jones, Arkin, DeNiro, DiCaprio
Supporting Actress: Hathaway, Field, Hunt, Adams, Smith
Original Screenplay: Zero Dark Thirty, Django Unchained, The Master, Moonrise Kingdom, Amour
Adapted Screenplay: Silver Linings Playbook, Lincoln, Argo, Life of Pi
Dear Meryl Loon,
Are you devastated with these noms?
[quote]I haven't seen "Argo" yet but I wouldn't be surprised if he gave a respectable performance.
OK performance. Kind of stiff and bland. By no means deserving of any kind of nomination.
I am R52. I have been eating my own shit all day!
The Streep troll (tm)
No, I'm not, r52.
Also, keep in mind the noms haven't been announce yet.
So, your question is somewhat nonsensical... and makes you sound like a loon, not me.
Oh Meryl Loon, you make me laugh. Never leave the DL. Thanks for all you do.
I eat shit.
The Streep troll (tm)
I bet most of the people here saying Dowd haven't even seen "Compliance". Dowd was good, but it is a lead role. If she gets a nomination tomorrow it will be category fraud like Steinfeld in "True Grit".
The only thing that was award worthy about the pretentious "Deep Blue Sea" was Simon Russell Beale. Weisz won the NYFCC only because the critics couldn't decide between Lawrence, Chastain and Riva.
Don't fret, r56, I won't.
And you're welcome.
I eat shit.
The Streep troll (tm)
Sorry but to include Ben Affleck & Bradley Cooper in the Best Actor category instead of John Hawkes or Denzel Washington is just absurd. And omitting Speilberg is ridiculous.
Cooper was great in SLP. It maybe be his first good performance ever, but it was good. Affleck was just mediocre as usual.
Love is the Meryl Loon.
[quote]And I agree that Bradley Cooper is a shitty actor. Even Madonna has given a good performance or two, but I doubt anyone would call her a great actress.
If Cooper is nominated or even wins for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK, it won't be a statement saying that he's the greatest actor of all time. Oscars are (supposed to be) about the best performance of the year. So if he were to win, it would be just the Academy's opinion that his performance in SLP was better than the rest in the category.
Like anyone has a shot in hell against Daniel Day Lewis. His is the only name that's consistently mentioned as a winner in his category.
Does Dench stand a good chance of winning the BAFTA for "Skyfall"?
Why am I not nominated, like, ever?
Kristen, you actually have a BAFTA. Of course it was one of those plastic, fan voted awards, so it doesn't really [italic]count[/italic].
Hello??? Aren't the Oscar nominations Tuesday, Jan 15th?