A great Oscar Season - Yes or No?

It seems anything can happen this year with no BP frontrunner. It's becoming harder and harder to make predictions for the other categories, too. Argo, Lincoln, Les Miserables, Zero Dark Thirty, Silver Linings Playbook, The Hobbit, Django Unchained, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Life of Pi, Hitchcock, Rust and Bone...the nominations for picture, director and acting will be well spread about. It's going to be an unpredictable Oscar night, finally!

• You are aware that by the time the Oscars are broadcast, there will have been about two dozen guild and critics societies awards which will have basically anointed the winners, right? Are you new?