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Electoral College Prediction Model Predicts a Romney Win

"Two University of Colorado professors, one from Boulder and one from Denver, have put together an Electoral College forecast model to predict who will win the 2012 presidential election and the result is bad news for Barack Obama. The model points to a Mitt Romney victory in 2012. Ken Bickers from CU-Boulder and Michael Berry from CU-Denver, the two political science professors who devised the prediction model, say that it has correctly forecast every winner of the electoral race since 1980. "Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble," Bickers said in a press statement." So should we care about this? Or are the circumstances of this election cycle make such models less useful than before?

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/22/university-of-colorado-pr_n_1822933.html?icid=maing-grid7|aim|dl1|sec1_lnk2&pLid=195989


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